Yesterday Biden expressed confidence that he would show results in fighting inflation. I thought CPI had to fall to the 5.xx%. As a result, CPI in February was unchanged as expected at 6.0 percent and core was also unchanged at 5.5 percent. Month-on-month, it was slightly higher, at 0.5%.There is a long way to go in the fight against inflation, and a quarter-point rise cannot be missed.$Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ Source of titleclosed $XLF 20230616 32.0 PUT$ $XLF 20230616 32.0 PUT$ ​roll $XLF 20230616 28.0 PUT$

1 $Alcoa(AA)$ reasons for the rise similar to Macy's acquisition drive department store sector. I have been watching the trend of the metal sector since Nippon Steel announced its acquisition of $U.S. Steel(X)$ , and then I waited for this big 8000 lot CALL option order $AA 20240216 40.0 CALL$ . But as a rule of thumb, a large call order is 50-50, so I'd still go with the sell put: $AA 20240119 33.0 PUT$ 2 $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ The bears have finally struck, 20,000 lots of big PUT orders

After more than a month of sideways, bulls and bears are impatient, Powell is also impatient, even said to speed up the pace of rate hikes, so the March rate hike probability of 50 basis points into 70%. ​Yesterday's article mentioned that there are two opinions in the market:Ultra-hawkish rate hike: 50 basis point rate hike probability in MarchDovish: The Fed can live with 3% if inflation doesn't fall quickly to 2%.Before yesterday, the market favored 2 more than 1.At the start of the year, the consensus was for a longer rate rise, not a higher one. There is a consensus that inflation cannot fall quickly, but there is a sense that rate rises need to be gradual and Mr Powell is unlikely to reverse his plan for gradual quarter-point increases. If inflation cannot come down quickly, the Fed'

Here's how this bizarre option strategy was discovered: $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ soared last week on bank earnings, but I didn't see a significant move in JPM options, which I shouldn't have. Then I checked the move in the $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ :$XLF 20230421 33.5 CALL$ Institutions placed 10, 000 lots of near-term options expiring next week on the day before the JPM's earnings report, closed the next day and doubled the price at a rough estimate. It's a list you can't find unless you keep an eye on it.It can be seen that in some significant volatility on the institutions prefer to use ETF options trading. W

mark 3 option transactions, all of which are sell call: $TQQQ 20240419 70.0 CALL$ $SOXL 20240517 50.0 CALL$ $SOXL 20240816 70.0 CALL$ TQQQ sell exercise price 70 I can understand. An out-of-the-money option on delta 0.2 equates to a monthly price move of less than 16%, and the leveraged ETF will fall faster if it moves sideways or down.The SOXL sell ATM call is a little harder to understand, though. Selling at-the-money call options on leveraged ETFs is similar to being bearish, and if chip stocks don't rise, the market has a high probability of a correction.If there are signs of a pull