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    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      (Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (29Dec25)

      My Investing Muse (29Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news This offshoring jobs to India and other countries thing was already happening. It has been for quite some time. - X user Amanda Goodall L.A.’s entertainment economy is spiralling downward: Work is evaporating, businesses are closing, and the city’s creative middle class is hanging on by a thread. - WSJ "The job market is so bad, people in their 40s are resorting to going back to school instead of looking for work," per FORTUNE “Auto Delinquencies Hit Record High as Consumers Caught Off Guard.” “PYMNTS Intelligence data showed that 34% of consumers who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to pay their bills have had to spend more than usual in the past six months, which in turn has eaten into their savings. The cost of foo
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      (Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (29Dec25)
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      (Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (29Dec25)

      News and my thoughts from the past week (29Dec25) Private equity firms are struggling in late 2025 due to high interest rates, tariffs, and a weak economy. This has created a record backlog of over 30,000 unsold companies, hurting investors (like pension funds and wealthy individuals) by locking up their money longer, delaying cash payouts, and causing returns to lag the stock market. To raise quick cash, more firms are selling small stakes in their own management companies—a trend continuing strongly into 2025 and beyond. This helps the firms but signals ongoing industry weakness that impacts investor returns. (Source is WSJ) - X user Kristen Shaughnessy Debts, deliquencies and defaults from federal, private equity, shadow banking, junk bonds, corporate credit, consumer debts like credit
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      (Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (29Dec25)
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      (Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 market outlook (29Dec2025)

      Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to suggest an uptrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook as they fan outwards. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. Chaiki
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      (Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 market outlook (29Dec2025)
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      How to find great companies (29Dec25) - Part 2 of 5

      Earnings Calendar (29Dec25) There are no earnings of interest in the coming week. Without any earnings, let me share a stock screener setup. How to find Great Companies using a stock screener Imagine we are shopping for a strong, reliable business to own. We want one that’s: Making money (not losing it) Growing a little bigger each year Careful with borrowing (like not having big loans) Not too expensive to buy This screener does exactly that — it automatically checks company reports to find the best ones. Only 12 made the list because it is about quality. The 3 “Report Cards” Every Company Shares (Super Simple Version) All companies must show these three pages of numbers (you can find them free on sites like Yahoo Finance or Finviz). Here’s what to look for in plain words:
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      How to find great companies (29Dec25) - Part 2 of 5
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      (Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar for week starting 29Dec25

      Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 29Dec25) New Year’s Day Closures In the upcoming week, several major financial markets will observe closures in celebration of New Year’s Day. The United States, Singapore, Hong Kong, and China will be closed on January 1st. Additionally, China will extend its holiday and remain closed on both January 1st and January 2nd. In Hong Kong, the market will have a half-day session on December 31st before closing for the holiday. Crude Oil Inventories and Market Outlook It is anticipated that there will be a drawdown of 2 million barrels in crude oil inventories. This reduction suggests an increase in demand at the production site, which may be interpreted as a positive signal for the market outlook. Upcoming FOMC Meeting Minutes The Federal Open Mark
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      (Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar for week starting 29Dec25
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-28

      Preview of the week starting 29Dec25 - How to find great companies?

      Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 29Dec25) New Year’s Day Closures In the upcoming week, several major financial markets will observe closures in celebration of New Year’s Day. The United States, Singapore, Hong Kong, and China will be closed on January 1st. Additionally, China will extend its holiday and remain closed on both January 1st and January 2nd. In Hong Kong, the market will have a half-day session on December 31st before closing for the holiday. Crude Oil Inventories and Market Outlook It is anticipated that there will be a drawdown of 2 million barrels in crude oil inventories. This reduction suggests an increase in demand at the production site, which may be interpreted as a positive signal for the market outlook. Upcoming FOMC Meeting Minutes The Federal Open Mark
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      Preview of the week starting 29Dec25 - How to find great companies?
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-21

      (Part 5 of 5) My investing Muse (15Dec25) - Layoffs, closure, AI bubble?

      My Investing Muse (15Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news New Fortress Energy, a company that builds liquified natural gas terminals, is reportedly in big financial trouble. Bloomberg reports the company has missed interest payments on its loans and says it can’t repay large chunks of debt due soon. To avoid immediate collapse, lenders have agreed to temporarily hold off demanding their money until January 9, 2026. Ford LAYOFFS: 1,600 people at a factory that barely opened. Why? Because EVs didn’t make money... and apparently AI data centers do. They spent $5.8B building the Kentucky EV battery plant. So now, 1,600 workers laid off, EV production cancelled, Plant converted to serve AI data centers & utilities, $19.5B EV profit hit - X user Amanda Goodall Howard’s Appliances, a
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      (Part 5 of 5) My investing Muse (15Dec25) - Layoffs, closure, AI bubble?
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-21

      News and my thoughts (22Dec25) - real estate, electricity & shadow banking

      News and my thoughts from the past week (22Dec25) More than $61 billion has flowed into the data center market so far this year. Hyperscalers are increasingly turning to outside capital in the form of debt to fund the energy-intensive infrastructure. S&P Global expects demand to continue to grow next year, despite high valuations and funding concerns leaving investor worried about a bubble. - CNBC JAPAN TO SELL $530 BILLION OF U.S. STOCKS TO STABILIZE THE ECONOMY. JGB 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 2%, HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE IN 1999. BEARISH NEWS FOR GLOBAL MARKETS. - X user OxNobler Morgan Stanley declares the end of the US recession and eyes early-cycle gains in 2026 - The Edge Singapore China now has a record 3.75 terawatts of power generation capacity. That capacity has dou
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      News and my thoughts (22Dec25) - real estate, electricity & shadow banking
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-21

      (Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (22Dec25)

      Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is now signalling a downtrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have recently converged and are showing a bullish outlook. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. C
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      (Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (22Dec25)
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·12-21

      How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)

      Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro
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      How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)
     
     
     
     

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