Semiconductors have clearly shifted from last year’s AI storytelling to a hard execution phase. Capital is chasing memory names, while logic and architecture players are under intense scrutiny on real orders, margins, and guidance. This earnings week is less about vision and more about proof. My predictions:AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop I expect $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ to benefit from solid AI accelerator momentum and data center demand, enough to drive a post-arnings bounce. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , despite past issues, could see a relief rally if management shows backlog conversion
My stock in focus today is $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ . Elon Musk’s latest memo highlights Starship’s push toward ultra-high launch frequency, massive satellite deployment & even space-based AI data centers—an ambitious roadmap that will significantly stretch SpaceX’s execution capacity. As Starship resources are increasingly tied to Starlink V3 and long-term Moon/Mars initiatives, outsourcing parts of launch or satellite manufacturing becomes more likely. RKLB stands out here, with a solid Electron launch track record, Neutron progressing, and vertically integrated satellite manufacturing capabilities. This shifts RKLB from a niche launch provider to a potential beneficiary of space industrialization. Even limited outsourcing from SpaceX
January closed green, but for me it was a very unusual start to the year. While the S&P 500 and Dow advanced, the NASDAQ lagged. Value and defensives leading while tech underperforms tells me this isn’t a clean risk-on rally — it’s capital rotating & the market reassessing leadership. The collapse in gold & silver looked like a crowded trade unwinding fast, driven by a stronger dollar & expectations of a more hawkish Fed under Kevin Warsh. Crypto selling alongside precious metals reinforces the same message: liquidity assumptions are changing, speculative assets are feeling the pressure first. Heading into February, I’m staying cautious. A positive January is historically supportive, but it doesn’t rule out near-term digestion, especially with a Fed leadership shift. I’m n
My focus today is on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ahead of its Q4 2025 earnings release after the U.S. market close. Consensus expects revenue of about $1.34B, EPS of $0.23, already slightly above management’s prior guidance, meaning expectations are not low going into the print. Growth continues to be driven by strong AI demand across both government & commercial segments. Government revenue is supported by rising defense spending & contracts like the $448M Navy deal, while commercial revenue momentum remains key, following last quarter’s triple-digit U.S. growth. Ongoing adoption of AIP & tools like AI Hivemind further reinforces Palantir’s position in large-scale data integration. With the stock up roughly 78% in 2025 & o
I remain bullish on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ despite the ~20% pullback since Q3. Expectations are already high going into earnings, with consensus revenue above prior guidance, but the real focus will be on 2026 outlook, especially U.S. commercial growth & free cash flow. If management maintains its track record of raising guidance, the narrative can shift quickly back to forward growth. Historically, PLTR trades more on changes in forward EPS expectations than on valuation alone. Estimates haven’t been revised down despite the selloff, which is constructive. Valuation risk is real, but Palantir has shown before that strong guidance can drive rapid re-rating, as seen in past sharp rebounds. For the earnings guess, I lean 🟡 $140–$16
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I continue to dollar-cost average (DCA) into SOXL because my conviction in the semiconductor sector this year remains strong. Semiconductors sit at the center of nearly every structural growth theme today—AI, cloud computing, data centers, automotive electrification, and edge devices. These aren't short-term fads; they're multi-year demand drivers that continue to expand even through economic cycles. When I look at where capital spending is going globally, chips are clearly a top priority. This year in particular, the industry is benefiting from a powerful combination of AI infrastructure build-out and normalization in cyclical demand. Hyperscalers are still ramping aggressively on GPUs, ne
From my view, Microsoft’s $Microsoft(MSFT)$ drop looks like a valuation reset rather than a broken business. Azure is still growing at a very high level, but the market owned MSFT for acceleration, not deceleration. I’d be cautious but constructive — $400 feels like a reasonable first entry, though I’d scale in slowly rather than go all-in. Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is the clearest winner for me. The +10% move is supported by real ad re-acceleration and visible AI-driven efficiency gains. I wouldn’t chase after a vertical rally, but on consolidation or pullbacks, this still looks like a stock you want to own. Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ delivered objectivel
From my perspective, this move feels less like a normal pullback and more like a liquidity-driven shakeout. When gold starts swinging $100 per minute and CME has to hike margins, that’s not fundamentals talking — that’s leverage being forcefully unwound. Once liquidity dries up, even the strongest narratives get punished first. The Kevin Warsh factor matters here. A hawkish Fed Chair candidate immediately reprices the entire rate and USD path, and gold is extremely sensitive to that shift. I don’t fully buy a 60% crash scenario, but I do agree with Cathie Wood on one thing: this rally went parabolic, and parabolic moves don’t correct gently. For now, I’m not rushing to catch the knife. The $5,000 level is critical — if it stabilizes with volume and volatility cools, that’s a different con
My stock in focus today is $Apple(AAPL)$ , following a strong earnings report and solid forward guidance. Apple delivered an impressive fiscal Q1 and guided for 13–16% revenue growth in the March quarter, even after accounting for iPhone supply constraints. Management emphasized that demand remains strong, and sales could be higher if chip supply were more sufficient. More importantly, the supply bottleneck lies in advanced SoC manufacturing capacity for A-series and M-series chips, not memory. With heavy reliance on TSMC’s leading-edge nodes, Apple’s silicon strategy once again proves to be a long-term competitive advantage rather than a structural risk. Despite rising component costs, Apple expects gross margins to improve to 48–49%, highlight
$Kulicke & Soffa(KLIC)$ I'm initiating a position in KLIC at these levels because the company's product portfolio positions it well for what appears to be the next phase of semiconductor capital equipment demand. Kulicke & Soffa is a leader in wire bonding systems, which remain a core technology for connecting semiconductor dies to packages. Even as advanced packaging evolves, wire bonders are still essential in a wide range of devices — especially power semiconductors, discrete components, RF front-ends, and many legacy technologies that continue to see growth in automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Given the recent uptick in order activity and quoted lead times, it looks like demand for these foundational tools is fin