To The Moon

$United Continental(UAL)$ 24Q4 earnings highlightsSolid rebound across all business segments (Passenger, Cargo, Corporate), with strong results amid strong economic activity in North America;Passenger Transportation Open Source: Passenger Revenue per Available Seat Mile (PRASM) snapped a six-quarter streak of declines and turned +0.6% year-over-year; Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) declined 1.6%;International revenue growth rebounded to 8.7%, following a decline in growth in the previous three quarters;Passenger load factor remained around 82.3%, with European routes picking up year-on-year to at 81.6% and Asia-Pacific routes currently at 76%, still with room to rise;Considering the likelihood of continued encryption of US-China routes in FY25

SummaryTwo important "beat" factors behind $Netflix(NFLX)$ earnings beatBigger-than-expected subscriber numbers.Nifty, which last announced this figure, fully surprised investors by exceeding expectations by 107%, which is equivalent to a doubling of the market consensus underestimation, with the greatest degree of underestimation in North America and Latin America.There may also be Q3 results after the announcement to be in North America and Latin America to increase the factor.In addition, the market underestimated the global popularity of The Squid Game 2, a commercialized series that "makes money" and is not necessarily an award-winning show, despite the fact that the show is not yet finished and has been conservatively criticized and not high

U.S. bonds rallied at the limit last week, but are still at relatively high levels in anticipation of Trump's inauguration. $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ yield fell back after hitting 4.8%.The current position may be a better opportunity for right side investors to enter the market.Term premium is the main force behind the current round of U.S. bond upward movementBefore the September rate cut, the 10-year Treasury rate was at its lowest at 3.62%.Since then, the 10-year bond rate has risen all the way to a high of 4.8% on January 14th.That's a total increase of 118 basis points (bps).During this period, the 3-month Treasury rate fell about 55 basis points because the Fed cut rates.During the same time period, the term premium between the 10-year and t

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week's CPI release directly rewrote market risk sentiment.The dollar hit new highs since 2022 and 30 year US bond yields broke through to 5% again as a result of the previous extreme pessimism on rate cut expectations, even while considering that the reflation brought about by Trump's inauguration could cause the Fed to raise rates.The good news is that the fall in core CPI has reduced some of the tightness and all three indices have bounced back from overshooting.More importantly next week is when Trump takes office, and with those policies likely to be the first to be released, there are a lot of unknowns for the market. While the U.S. bond market is now more fully priced into the uncertainty $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

The murder of an executive, an asymmetric cyberattack, an embattled pharmacy benefit manager, and rising healthcare costs mark a tumultuous year for $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ On Thursday, the company reported fourth-quarter 2024 results, a rare case of quarterly revenue falling short of expectations while healthcare costs rose.While earnings still beat expectations amid improved operational efficiencies, the stock fell more than 6% and brought down the entire health insurance industry.The Minnetonka, Minnesota-based company was the industry bellwether during earnings season, with its main competitors $None(HUM)$ $CVS Health(CVS)$ $Ele

1. JPMorgan Chase & Co. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ JPMorgan Chase had a strong fourth quarter, with key metrics beating analysts' expectations.The bank reported adjusted revenue of $43.74 billion, significantly beating the widely expected $42.01 billion.Earnings per share came in at $4.81, demonstrating strong profitability.Shares of JPMorgan Chase were up 2% in pre-market U.S. trading.Key performance indicators:Loans: $1.35 trillion, in line with expectationsProvision for credit losses: $2.63 billion, below expectations of $3.04 billionReturn on equity: 17% (vs. 14.1% expected)Return on tangible common equity: 21% (expected 17.2%)Book value per share: $116.07CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized the company's strong performance across all lines of business,

As we've said before in our December CPI outlook:Stocks could move sideways or slightly higher if CPI shows good or neutral conditions.Core CPI growth between 0.17% and 0.23% YoY could push the $.SPX(.SPX)$ index up 0.3% to 1%; if the YoY increase is less than 0.1%, $.SPX(.SPX)$ could jump 1.8% to 2.5%.Let's analyze in detailFrom the CPI composition and weights: the U.S. CPI is a basket of goods and services price level, based on the cost of living of urban consumers to determine the weight.Commodities are weighted at 35.17% and services at 64.83%.In terms of breakdown, food accounted for 13.48%, energy accounted for 6.44%, excluding energy and food is the core CPI, housing has the highest weight of 36.71

Key PPI Data for January 14th:Monthly Change: 2024 The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.2% in December.This was lower than the 0.3% expected and lower than the 0.4% increase in November.Annual change: wholesale prices rose 3.3% y/y, up from 3.0% in November, while this figure also remained relatively high.Core PPI: excluding food and energy prices. unchanged in December, up 3.5% y/y.Read more >>December CPI Comes: Options to Trade a Volatility Short Strategy? Why 5% Matters for the 10-Year Treasury! Which Industry Will Impact The Most!January 15 CPI Index Expectations:The current consensus market expectation for December is:Headline CPI rose 0

The continued climb in U.S. bond yields has gotten a lot of market attention in recent times.So what has driven this round of yields upward?And what are the potential investment opportunities worth tapping into?Core reasons for the rise in U.S. bond yieldsThe current round of rise in US bond yields can be attributed to the following four main factors:Enhanced U.S. economic growth expectations: recent economic data performance has been impressive, intensifying the market's expectations for a stronger U.S. economy.Supply-side shocks: Over-expected issuance of U.S. debt has pushed up term premiums.Weakened expectations of rate cuts: Investors' confidence in future rate cuts has waned.Stronger US dollar leads to liquidity crunch: lack of US dollar liquidity triggers a wave of US bond selling.C

Seeking Alpha's 2024 Best of the Top 10 stocks performed 124% overall, outperforming the $S&P 500 (.SPX)$ by 25%.Among them was selected the bullish $AppLovin Corporation (APP)$.And the Top 10 for 2025 are as follows:$OppFi Inc.(OPFI)$Market capitalization: $651.78 million.Quantitative rating: Strong Buy.Sector: Financial.Sector: consumer finance.Powered by AI-driven underwriting, OppFi Inc (OPFI) leverages its scalable technology platform to provide access to credit for underserved middle-income consumers.The company reported outstanding third quarter 2024 earnings results, with revenues reaching a new high of $136 million.Meanwhile, net income under GAAP more than do