Has the Gold Rally Gone Too Far? The Risk Behind the Shine
Gold is glimmering again, and investors are rushing in—but this time, things are taking a surprising twist. Amid a booming trading environment in China, a growing number of young people are turning to gold as a "safe" haven. Goldman Sachs recently predicted that gold could reach as high as $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by factors such as geopolitical uncertainty, a weakening U.S. dollar, and central bank demand. On Chinese social media platforms, gold fever is in full swing. Some users are going as far as claiming they’re planning to invest their entire life savings into gold. Others are taking it one step further—borrowing money in hopes of riding the gold wave to quick riches. But here’s where I start to worry. The Emotional Gamble Behind the Glitter Personally, I think it's dange
When I first started investing, I opened my first trading account with Webull. At that time, I was eager to learn about the stock market and read numerous articles and forums online. Through my research, I quickly concluded that the investors who consistently made significant profits were usually those who had the patience to hold their stocks for the long term. Inspired by this notion, I decided to adopt a long-term investment strategy. I wasn’t interested in day trading or flipping stocks within hours or days. My goal was to find solid companies, buy their shares, and hold them for the long haul, trusting that over time, their value would appreciate. The Early Successes of Longer-Term Investing My initial strategy seemed to work well. One of the first stocks I bought on Webull was FFWM (
Rebound Continues: Sell in May Early or Hold Tight?
J.P. Morgan's latest research reveals that the recent U.S. stock market sell-off was largely driven by equity-related hedge funds reducing their risk exposure. While the classic "Sell in May and Go Away" adage has been a popular consideration among investors for decades, the current market situation suggests that it's not so simple to decide whether to sell or hold. This decision hinges on several factors that go beyond the calendar. 1. The Nature of What You’re Holding One of the most important factors when deciding whether to sell in May or hold tight is what you are actually holding in your portfolio. For instance, if you're invested in high-growth stocks or sectors with solid long-term prospects, there might be more incentive to hold onto your positions, especially if you believe in th
3 Winning Days! Will the S&P 500 Smash Through 5500?
The U.S. stock market has been on a strong run, with the S&P 500 logging gains for three consecutive trading days. As of yesterday’s close, the index stood at $5484.77, rising 2.03% from the previous session. S&P 500 (.SPX) While the momentum looks impressive, I’m personally cautious about jumping into stocks at this point. Here's why: 1. Momentum Can Be a Double-Edged Sword Yes, markets have been rising—but rapid gains over a short period can sometimes precede sharp pullbacks. When everyone rushes in, valuations can stretch, and even a small piece of negative news could trigger a wave of profit-taking. 2. Valuation Concerns The current rally has pushed the S&P 500 closer to valuation levels that many consider expensive. Earnings growth might not be able to keep pace with risin
Dead Cat Bounce vs. True Bottom: Where Are We Now?
After a turbulent period of market declines, investors are treading carefully. Every small rebound is met with skepticism. Many believe the recent uptick is nothing more than a dead cat bounce — a short-lived recovery before another plunge in a prolonged bear market. But others argue that certain macro factors, such as a potential shift in U.S. trade policy, could be signs of stabilization and even recovery. So, where are we now in the cycle — at the edge of a true bottom, or just pausing before more downside? What Is a Dead Cat Bounce, Really? A dead cat bounce is a market term used to describe a temporary rally during an extended downtrend. It's usually driven by short-term optimism, short covering, or bargain-hunting — but often fades as the underlying issues remain unresolved. These bo
It’s often said that there are only three types of investors who consistently make money in the U.S. stock market — especially when they stay invested over the long term (typically 10+ years). These investor "types" are: The “Never Sell” Investor The Swing Trader The “Buy More on Dips” Investor On paper, these strategies sound smart — and in many cases, they are. But in practice, none of them guarantee success. Investing is part strategy, part psychology, and yes, part luck. 1. The “Never Sell” Investor Philosophy: Buy great companies and hold them forever. Example: Long-term holders of companies like Apple, Amazon, or Coca-Cola. Why It Works? Compound growth over decades can turn small investments into generational wealth. This strategy benefits from time in the market rather than trying
Rising for 7 Straight Days! Can Keppel Deliver Satisfying Earnings?
Keppel Corporation (SGX: BN4) has been showing strong upward momentum. The stock has now risen for seven consecutive trading sessions, closing at $6.40, up 2.4% from the previous day — and steadily approaching its 52-week high of $7.03. This recent rally has caught the market’s attention, especially with Keppel’s upcoming earnings announcement on April 24. Adding to the excitement, Keppel recently secured nearly $2 billion in new capital commitments across its three flagship funds, raising its total funds under management (FUM) to $4.9 billion. This positions the company well in its transition toward an asset-light, solutions-driven business model. However, despite this positive momentum, I personally won’t be buying Keppel shares right now, and here’s why. Seven-Day Rally: Momentum or Mar
Bitcoin Stands $90,000! Do You Agree Its "Digital Gold" Status Amidst Turmoil?
Bitcoin has once again surged, breaking above the $90,000 mark and trading around $93,700 at the time of writing. As global uncertainty continues to ripple through financial markets, the "digital gold" narrative surrounding Bitcoin has reemerged with intensity. Sentiment is red-hot — the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has risen to 72, deep in “greed” territory. But not everyone is joining the party — and I count myself among the cautious. Despite the hype, I’m not holding Bitcoin, nor do I intend to buy it at these elevated levels. Euphoria or Bubble Territory? Bitcoin’s meteoric rise has always sparked debate. Supporters argue it’s a hedge against inflation, a decentralized store of value, and a key asset in a digitizing world. But at nearly $94,000, I believe we’re reaching frothy levels
Stocks Soar, Gold Slips: Stay Bullish or Brace for a Turn at $3,300?
After a meteoric rise that saw it break above $3,500—topping institutional price targets—gold has finally started to pull back, raising questions about whether the top is in or just a pause in a longer trend. Goldman Sachs recently updated its year-end gold forecast to $3,700, citing upside tail risks that could push the yellow metal as high as $4,500 under more extreme macro conditions. UBS followed suit, revising its own gold target to $3,500. But as institutions grow increasingly bullish on gold, some investors—myself included—are starting to question whether this is a good time to enter. Gold’s Run: Driven by Fear, Rates, and a Dollar in Flux The surge in gold has been fueled by a perfect storm of economic uncertainty, declining real yields, a weaker dollar etc. Central bank demand—par
Nvidia Back to $100! Can Jensen Balance the US-China Chip Tug-of-War?
After weeks of market volatility, Nvidia (NVDA) has rebounded back above the $100 mark, riding the broader tech rally and sustained investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors. But the bigger story isn’t just the stock price — it’s the tightrope Nvidia is walking between U.S. national security policy and global business interests, particularly in China. Jensen’s Balancing Act: Between Washington and Beijing Nvidia is a U.S.-based company, but China remains a critical market. In recent years, Chinese firms have accounted for a significant portion of Nvidia’s data center and AI chip revenue. However, U.S. export controls, imposed to restrict China’s access to advanced semiconductors, have forced Nvidia to develop lower-spec alternatives for Chinese customers —