To The Moon

Crude oil is already near where it was before the conflict. Nobody was sure how long that would last back then. I suspect the price shock could have sparked momentum for increased production, just from the industry reacting to the higher prices. That means we could have a glut coming, taking us below the previous lows of $55 per barrel. If that's true, it means inflation could drop significantly.

Micron fell 11% today. On the same day, Bank of America raised its price target by 58% to $1,500. The Nasdaq was down 2.21%. The KOSPI in Seoul plunged 10%. The entire semiconductor sector got hit. Tomorrow, Micron reports its Q3 earnings. Analysts are expecting $35.3 billion in revenue. Options are pricing in a 14% move. One BofA note sent the Nasdaq down. Another BofA note said to buy the dip. Which desk is right will determine where the AI trade goes from here. $Micron Technology(MU)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The people around Musk believe in him and have been well rewarded for it. It's possible these lockup tiers will pass with minimal insider selling. He also has experience dealing with capital flows from institutional inclusions. The capital structure is set up in a way that it could easily see a 10x increase over the next 12 months.

I see a structural, mechanical liquidation event as inevitable, potentially triggering a liquidation cascade or deleveraging spiral. I'm just not sure when it will happen. For now, I remain bullish and plan to play along, hoping my stop loss doesn't get gapped during after-hours in the event of an overnight -50% global drop. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$  $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Has SpaceX overshadowed Tesla stocks now? I think since SpaceX is way overpriced and overhyped, investors will come back to Tesla soon. It can rebound back to the $500 range.

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Would you believe me if I said the top isn't in until 800 to 850? We likely won't see a sharp downturn until late 2026 to mid-2027. Just like during the 2022 drop, that lower channel from pre-2020 probably won't be touched or tested.

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 206.70!!! This is getting pretty wild.

$e.l.f. Beauty Inc.(ELF)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ BTC.X$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Waiting lines and waitlists for its products... not many companies can say that. ELF is really doing well. Wall Street was right to call for $1000+ before AI overshadowed everything.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  Structure still looks constructive here. Buyers keep defending the rising trendline and the 50 EMA. Last week's spinning top indicates hesitation, not a breakdown. The pattern of higher lows remains intact, showing dip buyers are active. Bears have tried a few times to push it lower, but nothing has stuck. Key level to watch: a break above the triangle resistance could lead to the next leg higher. As long as support holds, the trend stays tilted upward.

$Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ Looking for a base near the 50% fib on the weekly bullish discount. A bounce this week shouldn't surprise anyone, even bears. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$