$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ ๐๐ฅ๐ก $RKLB: 1.618 Inflection Confluence at $42.47, The Highest Conviction Structural Reset Since 2023 ๐ก๐ฅ๐
๐ Iโm Locked On To The Level Institutions Care About
Iโm watching $RKLB sit directly on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $42.47, the same weekly confluence that capped the last 500% advance. Yesterday I saw the flush into $40.26 hit the exact channel floor before snapping back into $43.32. The volume thinning across that zone confirms exhaustion, not distribution. This is where sellers usually run out of fuel.
๐ Iโm Seeing A Clean Technical Reset, Not A Breakdown
On the weekly chart I can see price resting right on the lower rail of the rising channel. On the 4H and 30m charts I can see repeated touches on the lower Keltner and Bollinger bands. That tells me momentum is bleeding off, not collapsing.
My weekly RSI is sliding toward oversold territory, and my stochastic is fully reset. When I see that combination lining up at a major fib confluence, I treat it as a structural rotation point.
๐ Iโm Reading The Volatility Signal As A Confirmation
The VIX 4H chart Iโm tracking spiked to 27.08 before fading. That kind of volatility burst often marks capitulation across small caps. When I see VIX expand then compress, I know the next move usually favours names with strong cadence and high beta. RKLB fits that profile perfectly.
๐ Iโm Watching Options Flow Turn Sharply Bullish
Over the last 72 hours Iโve watched Jan 26 $50 calls out-trade Dec 25 $40 puts more than three to one. Open interest at the $50 strike jumped hard. That tells me large accounts are positioning for upside, not hedging downside. I treat that shift as a signal that smart money is stepping in early.
๐ Iโm Aligning This Pullback Against Rocket Labโs Cadence Surge
Rocket Lab has just completed two Electron launches inside 48 hours across two hemispheres. That brings the 2025 count to 18 launches with 100 percent success. Backlog pushed past $1.3B, Q4 revenue guidance is running ahead of expectations, and national security demand keeps accelerating.
I treat that cadence as the anchor of the long thesis. Iโm not seeing fundamental weakness. Iโm seeing strengthening operational momentum while the chart resets.
๐ Iโm Trading The Next Leg With A Clear Road Map
Iโm watching mid-channel between $44 and $46 as the first pivot. If buyers defend that zone, Iโm targeting $50.75 then $59.72.
If we sweep into the high 30s, Iโm ready to scale in more aggressively. The 2.618 extension at $38.05 lines up with the 200 day around $39. That confluence gives me one of the best risk reward zones Iโve seen this year.
Iโm long RKLB and Iโm scaling into weakness. Everything Iโm seeing on the weekly structure, intraday bands, volatility, and cadence tells me this is a structural reset before the next breakout, not the end of the trend.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐๐๐๐๐
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