$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ“ก $RKLB: 1.618 Inflection Confluence at $42.47, The Highest Conviction Structural Reset Since 2023 ๐Ÿ“ก๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Locked On To The Level Institutions Care About

Iโ€™m watching $RKLB sit directly on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $42.47, the same weekly confluence that capped the last 500% advance. Yesterday I saw the flush into $40.26 hit the exact channel floor before snapping back into $43.32. The volume thinning across that zone confirms exhaustion, not distribution. This is where sellers usually run out of fuel.

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Seeing A Clean Technical Reset, Not A Breakdown

On the weekly chart I can see price resting right on the lower rail of the rising channel. On the 4H and 30m charts I can see repeated touches on the lower Keltner and Bollinger bands. That tells me momentum is bleeding off, not collapsing.

My weekly RSI is sliding toward oversold territory, and my stochastic is fully reset. When I see that combination lining up at a major fib confluence, I treat it as a structural rotation point.

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Reading The Volatility Signal As A Confirmation

The VIX 4H chart Iโ€™m tracking spiked to 27.08 before fading. That kind of volatility burst often marks capitulation across small caps. When I see VIX expand then compress, I know the next move usually favours names with strong cadence and high beta. RKLB fits that profile perfectly.

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Watching Options Flow Turn Sharply Bullish

Over the last 72 hours Iโ€™ve watched Jan 26 $50 calls out-trade Dec 25 $40 puts more than three to one. Open interest at the $50 strike jumped hard. That tells me large accounts are positioning for upside, not hedging downside. I treat that shift as a signal that smart money is stepping in early.

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Aligning This Pullback Against Rocket Labโ€™s Cadence Surge

Rocket Lab has just completed two Electron launches inside 48 hours across two hemispheres. That brings the 2025 count to 18 launches with 100 percent success. Backlog pushed past $1.3B, Q4 revenue guidance is running ahead of expectations, and national security demand keeps accelerating.

I treat that cadence as the anchor of the long thesis. Iโ€™m not seeing fundamental weakness. Iโ€™m seeing strengthening operational momentum while the chart resets.

๐Ÿ“Œ Iโ€™m Trading The Next Leg With A Clear Road Map

Iโ€™m watching mid-channel between $44 and $46 as the first pivot. If buyers defend that zone, Iโ€™m targeting $50.75 then $59.72.

If we sweep into the high 30s, Iโ€™m ready to scale in more aggressively. The 2.618 extension at $38.05 lines up with the 200 day around $39. That confluence gives me one of the best risk reward zones Iโ€™ve seen this year.

Iโ€™m long RKLB and Iโ€™m scaling into weakness. Everything Iโ€™m seeing on the weekly structure, intraday bands, volatility, and cadence tells me this is a structural reset before the next breakout, not the end of the trend.

๐Ÿ“ข Donโ€™t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ Iโ€™m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letโ€™s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! ๐Ÿ€

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

@Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerObserver @TigerPM 

# ๐Ÿ’ฐStocks to watch today?(16 Jan๏ผ‰

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment๏ผˆ47๏ผ‰

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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ยท2025-11-21
    TOP
    Honestly your RKLB breakdown hits hard because the chart looks cooked on the surface but the levels still line up clean. The lower bands tapping like that reminds me of how TSLA curled before a bounce. Iโ€™m kinda watching the volatility spike too because that move on VIX looked ugly then cooled off quick. Iโ€™m not saying this pops right away but the structure isnโ€™t broken and thatโ€™s what stands out. Yeah this might be one of those setups that looks bad then flips fast if the flow turns
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies be blue and your trades green ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      KT I like how you picked up on the volatility spike because that shift matters. When the chart holds structure through a VIX burst it usually signals absorbed selling rather than trend failure.
      2025-11-23
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      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Appreciate you jumping in KT, your insight always balances analysis with clarity.
      2025-11-23
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ยท2025-11-21
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    ๐Ÿ“ก Iโ€™m looking at your 1.618 zone callout and it lines up perfectly with what Iโ€™m tracking on RKLB. The volume thinning under 42 does look like exhaustion and not a real breakdown. Iโ€™m comparing this to the way SPCE behaved before its big rotation and the structure feels similar.
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      CCW I appreciate how you linked it to SPCE. Iโ€™m seeing the same exhaustion signature and the volume behaviour supports the idea that this is mechanical rather than structural.
      2025-11-23
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      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Thanks for dropping by CCW, I value how you always challenge the data in the best way.
      2025-11-23
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  • Hen Solo
    ยท2025-11-21
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    ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Iโ€™m going through the weekly channel you highlighted and the structure is incredibly clean. The rotation under the lower rail looks mechanical rather than narrative driven. Iโ€™m using the same approach I used when tracking NVDAโ€™s deeper pullback earlier this year because the confluence zones behaved the same way.
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Appreciate your time HS, you have a rare ability to connect fundamentals and flow.
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      HS your read on the weekly structure matches what Iโ€™m mapping. The symmetry in the channel is intact and that normally sets the stage for a controlled reversal.
      2025-11-23
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  • Mortimer Arthur
    ยท2025-11-22
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    RKLB "$38 line" is legendary support. Anything between $36โ€“40 has been a golden buy zone for over a year. This is where institutions accumulate.
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      MA youโ€™re right about that zone. The 36 to 40 band has held because it blends the fib cluster, the lower channel rail and the 200 day. When technical structure and cadence expectations align like that, larger players usually treat it as a reliable accumulation area.
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Thanks for checking out my post, itโ€™s traders like you that make the journey worth it.
      2025-11-23
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  • Tui Jude
    ยท2025-11-21
    TOP
    Iโ€™m reading your levels around 44 to 46 as the first real momentum pivot and it makes sense when I map it against the Keltner compression on the 4H chart. Iโ€™m watching how COIN respected its lower band recently because RKLB feels like the same kind of overshoot then snap pattern.
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      TJ your COIN comparison is sharp because both names showed the same lower band interaction. Iโ€™m tracking the momentum slope closely since it usually dictates the timing of the rotation.
      2025-11-23
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      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Always appreciate your feedback TJ, youโ€™ve got a brilliant read on sentiment and structure.
      2025-11-23
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  • Venus Reade
    ยท2025-11-22
    TOP
    Now is the time to start analyzing RKLB. Likely no real news until Q4 earnings in Feb.

    How much risk in betting on good news? And when will everyone else start betting on good news?

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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      Youโ€™re right that the quiet periods often set the stage for the next move. Iโ€™m watching how RKLB behaves at these confluence levels since that usually shows when sentiment starts shifting ahead of earnings. The risk is waiting too long for confirmation.
      2025-11-23
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      I see this phase as the opportunity to map scenarios before the broader market focuses on RKLB again. Timing is the only real risk. The consolidation zones normally show me when expectations begin to firm ahead of the next catalyst window.
      2025-11-23
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  • Wesley926
    ยท2025-11-22
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    ็Ÿฅ้“ๆˆ‘ไธบไป€ไนˆ่ฆไนฐๅฎƒๅ—๏ผŸๅ› ไธบ่ฟ™ไธชๅ…ฌๅธๅฐฑๅœจๆˆ‘ๅฎถๆ—่พน[ๅผ€ๅฟƒ]
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      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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      Wesley926 I understand that connection completely. When a company operates in your own backyard you get a clearer sense of its capability and the pace of activity on the ground. Proximity often gives insights that the market misses, especially for a high cadence operator like RKLB.
      2025-11-23
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      ๆˆ‘ๅฎŒๅ…จๆ˜Ž็™ฝไฝ ็š„ๆ„Ÿ่ง‰ใ€‚ๅ…ฌๅธๅฐฑๅœจๅฎถๆ—่พน๏ผŒไฝ ่ƒฝๆ›ด็›ด่ง‚ๅœฐ็œ‹ๅˆฐๅฎƒ็š„ๅฎžๅŠ›ๅ’Œ่Š‚ๅฅ๏ผŒ่ฟ™็ง่ดด่บซ็š„่ง‚ๅฏŸๅพ€ๅพ€ๆฏ”ๅธ‚ๅœบๆ•ฐๆฎๆ›ด็œŸๅฎžใ€‚ๅƒ RKLB ่ฟ™็ง้ซ˜้ข‘ๅ‘ๅฐ„็š„ไผไธš๏ผŒๆœฌๅœฐ็Žฏๅขƒ่ƒฝ่ฎฉไบบๆๆ—ฉๆ„Ÿๅ—ๅˆฐๅฎƒ็š„ๅ‘ๅฑ•ๅŠฟๅคดใ€‚
      2025-11-23
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  • Tui Jude
    ยท2025-11-21

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿฉต May your skies stay blue, your launches true, and your trades rocket through ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐ŸผThanks a lot for reposting this, it means the reach grows stronger with every share ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Thanks TJ, itโ€™s good having experienced traders like you keeping the dialogue intelligent.
      2025-11-23
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  • PetS
    ยท2025-11-21

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿฉต May your orbit stay steady, your skies be blue, and your trades rocket too ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ I really appreciate you taking the time to repost, it helps keep the conversation flowing ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ’ฌ
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Grateful you dropped by PetS, your observations always add quality context to the setup.
      2025-11-23
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  • Queengirlypops
    ยท2025-11-21

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿฉต May your orbit stay steady, your skies be blue, and your trades rocket too ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Thanks for giving this post a lift, your share makes the insights travel further ๐ŸŒโœจ
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Thanks for jumping in Q, your live-trader vibe keeps the post alive and authentic.
      2025-11-23
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ยท2025-11-21

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿฉต May your orbit stay steady, your skies be blue, and your trades rocket too ๐ŸŸข
      2025-11-24
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Iโ€™m grateful you reposted this, it shows the value of pushing ideas out wider ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ“Š
      2025-11-23
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    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ Grateful for your comment KT, your confidence in calling setups adds strong energy to every post.
      2025-11-23
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