Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium Surge: Go Long or Short? Which ETFs to Choose?
$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ rises to a fresh all-time high near $4,500, marking roughly the 50th record break this year and positioning both gold and silver for their strongest annual performance in more than four decades. $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ passes $70!
The latest surge has been driven by renewed bets that the Federal Reserve will deliver two rate cuts in 2026, alongside heightened geopolitical risk, with major banks including Goldman Sachs arguing that structural support for gold remains intact into next year.
While the U.S. dollar has remained superficially stable during the surge in metals prices, this does not necessarily contradict the broader “currency debasement” narrative taking shape beneath the surface.
Since the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole meeting in August, precious metals have moved sharply higher in a short period of time.
Silver has surged 76%, palladium is up 65%, and platinum has gained 45% over roughly four months, while gold—often seen as the primary hedge—has lagged with a still-significant 30% increase.
The synchronized rise across gold, silver, platinum, and palladium has reinforced the view that this is a systemic trade rather than an isolated commodity move.
The idea of currency debasement has re-entered market discussions as U.S. federal debt continues to expand, recently reaching $38.5 trillion and growing at an annual pace of around $3 trillion.
The top ETFs for: $SPROTT JUNIOR COPPER MINERS ETF(COPJ)$, $WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Gold Miners Strategy Fund(GDMN)$, $Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF(SILJ)$, $GraniteShares Platinum Trust(PLTM)$, $Global X Uranium ETF(URA)$, $abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF(PALL)$
Will gold hit $5000 in 2026?
Would you trade stock futures, etfs or leveraged etfs?
Leave your comments to win tiger coins~
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I see gold reaching $5,000 in 2026 as realistic if rate cuts materialize and real yields stay pressured. Gold has lagged silver and other precious metals since Jackson Hole, suggesting it may still have room to catch up as the macro narrative becomes more widely accepted.
For positioning, I would favor ETFs over futures or leveraged ETFs. Futures require precise timing, while leveraged ETFs suffer from decay. Physical-backed ETFs and selective miners allow me to participate in the long-term metals cycle without excessive trading risk.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
Personally, my preference has always been to trade ETFs as it carries the least risk compared to futures and leveraged ETFs. I also do not have to try to predict future events and gives me the flexibility of trading when the prices are right with less fear even in situations where I unfortunately become a bag holder. @SPOT_ON @Wayneqq @Kaixiang @DiAngel @SR050321 @Universe宇宙 @HelenJanet @LuckyPiggie @Success88 @Fenger1188 come join
Gold and silver remain in strong uptrends, favoring long positions if momentum holds, while platinum and palladium, though more volatile, could benefit from economic recovery and rising industrial demand
A $5,000 gold price by 2026 is possible with persistent inflation or economic instability, but a more moderate rise seems likely, supported by ongoing central bank demand。。。
Standard ETFs offer direct price exposure without expiration or margin risk, while stock futures provide capital efficiency and leveraged ETFs offer short-term opportunities with higher risk, even in flat markets
The move toward $5,000 gold reflects a shift in global currency values, with long ETFs offering stability and futures or leveraged ETFs providing higher rewards and volatility
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@Huat99
@Snowwhite
The best method for trading Gold depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance.
As a small investor , my preferred method is physical gold backed ETFs as my time horizon is long term. My favourite Gold ETF is $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ as it has the lowest expense ratio of 0.25 % compared to $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ expense ratio of 0.50%.
I am not into Gold Futures nor Leverage ETFs as the risks are higher. High risk = High rewards but it requires more capital and an in-depth market knowledge.
Slow and Steady is my mantra.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
It is possible, but not the base case. At around USD 4,500, gold already reflects expectations of Fed rate cuts, sustained central bank buying, fiscal imbalances, and geopolitical risk. A move to USD 5,000 likely requires an additional catalyst, such as a sharper US slowdown, deeper-than-expected easing, renewed inflation pressure, or a major geopolitical escalation. In a soft-landing scenario with stable growth and a firm US dollar, consolidation below USD 5,000 is more probable than a clean breakout.
Futures, ETFs or leveraged ETFs?
• ETFs are best for most investors, offering simple, long-term exposure without leverage decay.
• Futures suit experienced traders who can manage volatility and margin risk.
• Leveraged ETFs are strictly short-term trading tools due to compounding decay.
Conclusion
USD 5,000 is an upside scenario, not a certainty. Unleveraged ETFs provide the most sensible risk-adjusted exposure for most participants.
2. To benefit from the increase in price of silver & gold, I plan to trade $ETFS Physical Gold(GOLD.AU)$ and $Gold.com(GOLD)$ and gold miners $NEWCREST MINING LIMITED(NCM.AU)$ which are etfs
隨着美國聯邦債務持續擴大，貨幣貶值的想法重新進入市場討論，最近達到38.5萬億美元，並以每年約3萬億美元的速度增長。
最新的飆升是由於人們重新押注美聯儲將在2026年兩次降息，以及地緣政治風險加劇，包括高盛在內的主要銀行認爲，對黃金的結構性支持在明年仍然完好無損。