$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ If one event truly defines 2025, it is the repricing of scarcity.
Not tariffs, not elections, not even AI itself, but the market’s realisation that constraints matter again. Compute, power, skilled labour, trusted supply chains and credible monetary anchors all became binding. That shift quietly reshaped capital allocation across assets.
Why this matters:
AI was not just a narrative. It forced real capex, exposed physical bottlenecks, and concentrated returns in a narrow set of firms able to execute at scale. Megacaps did not outperform because of hype alone, but because they controlled the scarce inputs others could not replicate quickly.
Gold’s historic run told the same story from the opposite angle. When fiscal discipline and geopolitical stability feel scarce, capital prices that scarcity too.
The trade that taught the most:
Long quality, short complacency. Trades that paired structural winners with risk hedges outperformed heroic directional bets. Volatility punished leverage, not conviction.
Lesson of 2025:
Markets did not reward bold forecasts. They rewarded respect for constraints, balance sheet strength, and patience.
That, more than any headline event, is what 2025 will be remembered for.
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