Mag 7 Earnings Series | AI Payoff for MSFT & META? Predict & Win Tiger Coins!
The Q4 earnings season hits its peak this week! Over 300 companies are set to report, including four powerhouse members of the ‘Magnificent 7’.
While the Mag 7 led the market higher last year, momentum has shifted lately. Meta and Microsoft have shown relative weakness, while Apple and Tesla, despite marginally better performance, face mounting questions over their growth premiums.
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Wednesday, Jan 28 (Post-Mkt): $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ report simultaneously.
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Thursday, Jan 29 (Post-Mkt): $Apple(AAPL)$ takes the stage.
1. Key Focus: The AI Spending vs. Return Balancing Act
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MSFT & META: All eyes are on AI Capital Expenditure. Investors are looking for tangible returns from Azure Cloud and AI-driven ad algorithms.
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AAPL: After being perceived as "missing in action" in the AI race, investors are anxious for a clear roadmap on Apple Intelligence and its long-term competitive edge.
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TSLA: Will auto gross margins finally bottom out? Can FSD progress and Energy business sustain the valuation narrative? Analysts have slashed 2026 net profit forecasts by 56% to $6.1B, yet price targets were raised to around $410.
2. Earnings Estimates at a Glance
As we kick off our Mag 7 series, we invite you to predict the price movement for the first trading day following each report!
3. How to Participate
Leave your forecast for the four stocks in the comments using the letter codes below.
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A. Bullish (> 5%)
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B. Slight Gain (0% to 5%)
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C. Slight Dip (0% to -5%)
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D. Bearish (> -5%)
Example
TSLA-A, MSFT-B, META-D, AAPL-B.
Reason: I'm bullish on MSFT's cloud growth but worried about Meta's high spending.
Rewards
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The Ultimate Winner: 200 Tiger Coins for correctly predicting all 4 price ranges!
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Top Analyst: 100 Tiger Coins for the 3 most insightful comments!
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Participation Prize: 5 Tiger Coins for every valid comment!
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i would invest in all of them if I have lots of [USD] [USD] [USD] [Grin]
Tesla (TSLA): Investors are monitoring whether auto gross margins have bottomed out. While Q4 deliveries reached 418,227, this was a 15.6% year-over-year decline and fell below most Wall Street estimates.
Microsoft (MSFT): The focus is on Azure cloud growth and AI-driven products. Analysts expect a year-over-year EPS increase of roughly 20%.
Meta Platforms (META): Heavy AI investment is heightening cost pressures, with 2026 total spending projected between $153 billion and $160 billion. Investors are looking for AI to improve ad accuracy and efficiency across Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp to offset these capex worries.
Apple (AAPL): Reporting for the critical holiday period, Apple expects net sales to grow 10%–12% year-over-year. Key areas of focus include iPhone demand (expected to grow in double digits), Services growth, and the impact of a projected $1.4 billion tariff impact on gross margins.
MSFT和元：所有的目光都集中在人工智能資本支出.投資者正在從Azure雲和人工智能驅動的廣告算法中尋求切實的回報。
蘋果公司：在被認爲在人工智能競賽中“缺席”之後，投資者渴望蘋果智能及其長期競爭優勢的明確路線圖。
特斯拉：汽車毛利率最終會觸底嗎？FSD進展和能源業務能否維持估值敘事？分析師大幅削減2026年淨利潤預測增長56%至$6.1 B，然而目標價上調至410美元左右.
MSFT-B
应用程序-B
META-C
(TSLA)-2025年第四季度
共识：收入约$24.75-$24.8 B（同比下降约3-4%）；每股收益约为0.33-0.45美元（同比下降30-50%）。
由于竞争和需求疲软，交付量同比下降约16%；储能是亮点。观看：FSD/Robotaxi/Optimus更新和艰难的2026年展望。
(MSFT)-2026财年第二季度
共识：收入约$80.2-$80.3 B（同比增长约15%）；每股收益约为3.88美元至3.92美元（同比增长约20%）。
来自AI/Copilot需求的Azure增长了30%（固定汇率）。关键：在大量人工智能投资的背景下，资本支出和投资回报率上升。
(AAPL)-2026财年第一季度（十二月季度）
共识：收入约$138-$139B（同比增长约10-12%）；每股收益约为2.65-2.67美元（同比增长约10-11%）。
强劲的iPhone假日销售和服务推动反弹。焦点：中国趋势、AI/Siri进展和正向催化剂。
META-2025年第四季度
共识：收入约$58.4-$58.45 B（同比增长约20-21%）；每股收益约为8.15美元至8.21美元（同比小幅上升）。
通过人工智能实现强大的广告；2026年资本支出和Reality Labs亏损受到密切关注。观察：广告效率和支出合理性。
对于MSFT和META来说，人工智能资本支出争论是最重要的，但我认为本季度的重点将转向货币化。Azure AI工作负载、Copilot采用和Meta人工智能驱动的广告效率提高的迹象可能会迅速扭转市场情绪并引发缓解性反弹。
苹果公司和特斯拉看起来像是情绪落后者，上涨空间不对称。苹果只需要概述一个与其生态系统相关的可信的苹果智能路线图，而不是主导人工智能头条。特斯拉似乎接近边际和预期低谷；汽车利润率的任何稳定或积极的FSD和能源更新都可能证明大幅重新评级是合理的。总体而言，我认为叙事比完美更重要——这有利于多头。
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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Apple - C: Slight Dip. This is because of investor anxiety over profit margins and a lack of clear monetisation AI strategy. Concerns about a potential slowdown in iPhone demand in key markets like China.
Tesla - B Slight Gain: Despite declining vehicle sales & margin pressures, TSLA found support in investor optimism about future ventures like Robotaxi business & AI initiatives. Energy storage division is a bright spot with higher profit margins.
Microsoft - C: Slight Dip. MSFT is weighed down by investor unease regarding rising capital expenditure needed to build AI & Cloud infrastructure at large scale.
Meta - C Slight Dip: This reflects investor anxiety on the massive spending on AI infrastructure. This would pressure its profitability short term without a clear immediate return on investment.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub
TSLA-C, MSFT-B, META-C, AAPL-B.
Reason:
TSLA - self driving and human robots are all in the future. What if they fail to launch like Cybertruck?
MSFT - it's AI Cape eats into profits.
META - weak use case for AI application. Still burning money on Metaverse. Just shut it dwn already.
GOOG - front runner in both AI and Quantum. What's not to like.
Read my Friday post for details. You will thank me later.
1月28日星期三（盤後）：$特斯拉(TSLA)$,$微軟(MSFT)$，和$元平臺公司(META)$同時報告。
1月29日星期四（盤後）：$蘋果(AAPL)$走上舞臺。
reason: AI is now the tend, with all the investment put in, its time to reap the seed
Reason: Profit taking for the first trading day following each report.
我看好特斯拉的影响力，买入担心AAPL的销售。
原因：牛市