To The Moon

News and my thoughts from the past week (01Dec25) CME just halted ALL futures trading because of a cooling failure at their data centre. Read that again… the entire derivatives market froze because a server room got too hot. This is the same market that moves trillions, sets global prices, and hedges entire economies. - X user Manpreet Kailon THE SNEAKER MARKET JUST COLLAPSED - AND NOBODY KNOWS WHY. A sneaker shop owner says the entire market “died overnight.” And the numbers are insane - X user HustleBitch 2026 Warning: Going back to 1926, the S&P 500 has seen an average drawdown of 18.2% in the 12 months before midterm elections. Going back 60 years, the smallest drawdown has been 7.4% while the largest was 41.8%. After the midterms, all is well, but before? - BarChart Retail investo

Earnings Calendar (01Dec25) I am monitoring the coming earnings from Asana, Salesforce, Kroger and CrowdStrike. Salesforce: Performance and Outlook Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment Salesforce has experienced a notable decline in its stock price, falling 29.7% compared to a year ago. Technical analysis currently recommends a “strong sell”, while analyst sentiment remains positive with a “buy” recommendation. The analysts’ price target is set at $328.37, suggesting a potential upside of 42.43%. Revenue and Profit Growth The company’s revenue has grown substantially, starting at $6.6 billion in 2016 and reaching $37.8 billion in 2025. Over the past decade, Salesforce has maintained a robust median gross profit margin of 74.2% and a free cash flow (FCF) margin of 21%. Operating profit i

BREAKING: President Trump says he will keep the stock market at all time highs and calls the market "hot" with a "big boost for 401(k)s." The S&P 500 rises to levels just 1.3% away from a new record high. This can be an important ceiling for us to monitor.  $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  

Market Outlook of S&P500 (24Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signalling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. The most recent candlestick has closed below the 50-day moving average line. This increased volatility, a bearish signal for the short term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) On the daily chart, the three exponential moving averages (EM

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 24Nov25) There are no public holidays this week for China, Hong Kong and Singapore. America celebrates Thanksgiving on 27 November 2025. Here is wishing all an awesome Thanksgiving. Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence Both core retail sales and overall retail sales figures are scheduled to be announced. These results are significant as they provide a direct measure of American consumer spending, a major driver of economic growth. Additionally, the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for November is forecast at 93.3, down from 94.6 in the previous month. This decrease reflects a decline in consumer optimism regarding the market outlook. Inflation Indicators: PPI and Core PCE The Producer Price Index (PPI) is set for release with a f

Running out of Hopeium? Let us consider hedging. A major hedge fund exec once told me: “A bull market is when the market moves up on bad news.” “A bear market is when the market moves down on good news.” $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  

My Investing Muse (17Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news CITADEL EMPLOYEES HAVE BEEN QUITTING ALL WEEK. PEOPLE FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER ARE REPORTING INSOLVENCY. - The PP Show Amazon lays off almost 700 NYC-based corporate employees - USA Today Paramount plans another 1,600 layoffs as David Ellison team digs in - LAT Entertainment Ford’s CEO Jim Farley just dropped a stat that should make every politician sweat: 5,000 open mechanic jobs. 6-figure salaries. 0 takers. - Mario Nawfal 655 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the highest number in 15 years. This has already surpassed all previous full-year totals since 2011, except for 2024. Since 2022, bankruptcies have risen nearly +100%. This comes as 68 companies filed in October, 66 in September, and 76 in August,

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signaling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. However, it is noteworthy that the most recent weekly candlestick has closed precisely on the 50-day moving average line. If the subsequent candlesticks in the coming week fall below this key level, it could introduce increased volatilit

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 17Nov25) This week, several major economic reports and indicators are set to be released, providing valuable insights for investors and market participants. The focus will primarily be on the Federal Reserve and key measures of manufacturing, real estate, and energy consumption. Federal Reserve Update The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be closely monitored. Market participants are looking to the Federal Reserve for any indications regarding upcoming decisions on interest rates. The content and tone of these minutes could have a significant impact on investors’ expectations. Manufacturing Sector Indicators The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released this week. This index is a critical gauge of ma

$DBS(D05.SI)$  @DBS  

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ upcoming fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday, November 5, 2025, after market close. ARM's valuation is driven by its pivotal role in the AI revolution and its continued dominance in the mobile/smartphone market. The focus of this report will be how effectively ARM is translating its technological advantages—particularly its high-performance, power-efficient chip architectures—into financial growth and increased market share, especially in newer, high-growth sectors like data centers and edge AI. Consensus Analyst Expectations Summary of ARM Holdings (ARM) Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings ARM Holdings reported strong overall results for its fiscal Q1 2026, delivering over $1 billion in revenue for the second consecut

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A Bullish October Recap: Markets Regain Their Rhythm October once again lived up to its moniker — “Uptober.” The month delivered a much-needed rebound for equity markets after a volatile and choppy third quarter. The Nasdaq Composite surged 4.7%, leading major indices higher, while the S&P 500 climbed 4.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2.8%. Investors had been bracing for continued turbulence, but October proved to be a turning point. A combination of softer inflation readings, stable labor data, and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings gave markets room to breathe. After months of uncertainty over how long the Federal Reserve would maintain restrictive policy, traders began to price in the possibility

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This is a great time to look at $Uber(UBER)$ as its Fiscal Q3 2025 earnings report is coming up. The confirmed date for the release is Tuesday, November 4, 2025, before the market opens. I would think that it might be a good idea to look at Uber earnings as the current analyst consensus suggests continued strong revenue growth but a decline in year-over-year EPS. The focus remains on operational efficiency and segment performance. Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Analysis & Forecast Key Focus Areas for the Quarter Profitability and Margins: Investors are focused on the company's ability to maintain and expand margins, particularly in the Mobility segment, and demonstrate continued leverage in Delivery. Growth Momentum: The market will look for strong Gro

November 2025!! New start ! Let's rock ! ❤️

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday the United States doesn't give Nvidia's NVDA.O advanced AI chip, known as the Blackwell, "to other people," adding that he meets with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang regularly. "The new Blackwell that just came out, it's 10 years ahead of every other chip," Trump told reporters, adding, "But no, we don't give that chip to other people." The comments, in response to reporters' questions aboard Air Force One, suggest the Trump administration may not be poised to freely allow shipments of the prized chip overseas.

Christmas Rally coming Mega stocks will outperform 

1. I think it can still climb, considering the US and China leaders made a deal, and everyone knows the market will take any excuse to interpret it as good news and continue its rise 2. Portfolio wise, I am doing fine: surprisingly I did not expect the US tech stocks to keep the pace, but I am in for the long term for other portions so everything is good 3. Gold, it is always shiny, whether times are bad or good. And Singapore, the sensibility in the country helps provide stable results 4. I will play it safe, because another dispute can happen tearing up whatever US and China agree upon, and some of the growth seems to be a little out of my expectations so things might just look to correct itself... downwards

$CHINA RAREEARTH(00769)$  $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$  Key Points Asia Rallies on Truce: Japan’s Nikkei hits a record as a Trump–Xi rare-earths truce lifts risk sentiment; Korea gains on Nvidia-led AI investments while China’s PMI at 49 underscores drag. Auto Chip Squeeze: Dutch takeover of Nexperia and China export blocks spark a legacy-chip shortage; Honda trims output and OEM “war rooms” race to avoid Q4 line stoppages. Rare Earths Pop: U.S.-listed rare-earths miners rise as Beijing delays new export controls for one year after the Trump–Xi meeting, easing near-term supply risk though prior curbs remain. China More Investible (Cautiously): Tariff relief and limited tech access temper geopoli

Stay claim and see any good deal drop and then invest

News and my thoughts from the past week (01Dec25) CME just halted ALL futures trading because of a cooling failure at their data centre. Read that again… the entire derivatives market froze because a server room got too hot. This is the same market that moves trillions, sets global prices, and hedges entire economies. - X user Manpreet Kailon THE SNEAKER MARKET JUST COLLAPSED - AND NOBODY KNOWS WHY. A sneaker shop owner says the entire market “died overnight.” And the numbers are insane - X user HustleBitch 2026 Warning: Going back to 1926, the S&P 500 has seen an average drawdown of 18.2% in the 12 months before midterm elections. Going back 60 years, the smallest drawdown has been 7.4% while the largest was 41.8%. After the midterms, all is well, but before? - BarChart Retail investo

Earnings Calendar (01Dec25) I am monitoring the coming earnings from Asana, Salesforce, Kroger and CrowdStrike. Salesforce: Performance and Outlook Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment Salesforce has experienced a notable decline in its stock price, falling 29.7% compared to a year ago. Technical analysis currently recommends a “strong sell”, while analyst sentiment remains positive with a “buy” recommendation. The analysts’ price target is set at $328.37, suggesting a potential upside of 42.43%. Revenue and Profit Growth The company’s revenue has grown substantially, starting at $6.6 billion in 2016 and reaching $37.8 billion in 2025. Over the past decade, Salesforce has maintained a robust median gross profit margin of 74.2% and a free cash flow (FCF) margin of 21%. Operating profit i

Market Outlook of S&P500 (24Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signalling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. The most recent candlestick has closed below the 50-day moving average line. This increased volatility, a bearish signal for the short term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) On the daily chart, the three exponential moving averages (EM

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 24Nov25) There are no public holidays this week for China, Hong Kong and Singapore. America celebrates Thanksgiving on 27 November 2025. Here is wishing all an awesome Thanksgiving. Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence Both core retail sales and overall retail sales figures are scheduled to be announced. These results are significant as they provide a direct measure of American consumer spending, a major driver of economic growth. Additionally, the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for November is forecast at 93.3, down from 94.6 in the previous month. This decrease reflects a decline in consumer optimism regarding the market outlook. Inflation Indicators: PPI and Core PCE The Producer Price Index (PPI) is set for release with a f

My Investing Muse (17Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news CITADEL EMPLOYEES HAVE BEEN QUITTING ALL WEEK. PEOPLE FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER ARE REPORTING INSOLVENCY. - The PP Show Amazon lays off almost 700 NYC-based corporate employees - USA Today Paramount plans another 1,600 layoffs as David Ellison team digs in - LAT Entertainment Ford’s CEO Jim Farley just dropped a stat that should make every politician sweat: 5,000 open mechanic jobs. 6-figure salaries. 0 takers. - Mario Nawfal 655 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the highest number in 15 years. This has already surpassed all previous full-year totals since 2011, except for 2024. Since 2022, bankruptcies have risen nearly +100%. This comes as 68 companies filed in October, 66 in September, and 76 in August,

This is a great time to look at $Uber(UBER)$ as its Fiscal Q3 2025 earnings report is coming up. The confirmed date for the release is Tuesday, November 4, 2025, before the market opens. I would think that it might be a good idea to look at Uber earnings as the current analyst consensus suggests continued strong revenue growth but a decline in year-over-year EPS. The focus remains on operational efficiency and segment performance. Uber Q3 2025 Earnings Analysis & Forecast Key Focus Areas for the Quarter Profitability and Margins: Investors are focused on the company's ability to maintain and expand margins, particularly in the Mobility segment, and demonstrate continued leverage in Delivery. Growth Momentum: The market will look for strong Gro

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ upcoming fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday, November 5, 2025, after market close. ARM's valuation is driven by its pivotal role in the AI revolution and its continued dominance in the mobile/smartphone market. The focus of this report will be how effectively ARM is translating its technological advantages—particularly its high-performance, power-efficient chip architectures—into financial growth and increased market share, especially in newer, high-growth sectors like data centers and edge AI. Consensus Analyst Expectations Summary of ARM Holdings (ARM) Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings ARM Holdings reported strong overall results for its fiscal Q1 2026, delivering over $1 billion in revenue for the second consecut

My Investing Muse (03Nov25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news I’m afraid Amazon’s 30,000 job cuts are just the beginning. Leaked documents reveal the company’s robotics team plans to automate 75% of operations, potentially replacing 600,000 warehouse workers by 2033. Amazon is already drafting PR strategies to brace for the backlash. - Stock Market News Screenshot of a FreightWaves article titled USPS tries to ban immigrant truck drivers with details on policy differences for employees and contractors, including a photo of a white USPS semi-truck with blue eagle logo driving on a highway near desert landscape, and text about outsourcing linehaul work via brokers and carriers. The FreightWaves article details widespread layoffs and changes across the supply chain, broken down by compan

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A Bullish October Recap: Markets Regain Their Rhythm October once again lived up to its moniker — “Uptober.” The month delivered a much-needed rebound for equity markets after a volatile and choppy third quarter. The Nasdaq Composite surged 4.7%, leading major indices higher, while the S&P 500 climbed 4.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2.8%. Investors had been bracing for continued turbulence, but October proved to be a turning point. A combination of softer inflation readings, stable labor data, and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings gave markets room to breathe. After months of uncertainty over how long the Federal Reserve would maintain restrictive policy, traders began to price in the possibility

Market Outlook of S&P500 (17Nov25) Technical Indicators Overview MACD Trend Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently signaling a downtrend. This downward momentum suggests a potential weakening in the stock’s price movement and may indicate caution for traders monitoring short-term price action. Moving Averages The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upward, which is typically considered bullish for both short- and long-term perspectives. This uptrend points to a positive sentiment in the market. However, it is noteworthy that the most recent weekly candlestick has closed precisely on the 50-day moving average line. If the subsequent candlesticks in the coming week fall below this key level, it could introduce increased volatilit

$CHINA RAREEARTH(00769)$  $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$  Key Points Asia Rallies on Truce: Japan’s Nikkei hits a record as a Trump–Xi rare-earths truce lifts risk sentiment; Korea gains on Nvidia-led AI investments while China’s PMI at 49 underscores drag. Auto Chip Squeeze: Dutch takeover of Nexperia and China export blocks spark a legacy-chip shortage; Honda trims output and OEM “war rooms” race to avoid Q4 line stoppages. Rare Earths Pop: U.S.-listed rare-earths miners rise as Beijing delays new export controls for one year after the Trump–Xi meeting, easing near-term supply risk though prior curbs remain. China More Investible (Cautiously): Tariff relief and limited tech access temper geopoli

I am looking at the psychology behind investing. One of the key preparations is to understand the strengths and weaknesses of our own personalities. I have added known investors who are known (or suspected) of a certain personality profile. I spend them studying some of them (in my case, Peter Lynch) so that I can build on my strengths and be mindful of my own pitfalls. I have been reading his materials and transcribing his videos. I have gotten Grok to compile the following: Tips on using MBTI personality profiles for our investing journey: Know your personality profile. Consider doing the free MBTI personality profile here. Know that the personality profile is a guide, as we behave differently under different circumstances. Set your investing goals (Please refer to the next segment for d

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ October wrapped up with fireworks, delivering another powerhouse performance that kept the upward momentum rolling. Nasdaq surged 4.7%, fueled by blockbuster earnings from tech giants like Amazon and Apple, which shattered records and calmed nerves around Big Tech's growth path. This marks the seventh straight monthly gain for the index, underscoring a banner stretch where innovation and AI advancements continue to dominate. Broader indices followed suit, with S&P 500 climbing steadily amid easing macro pressures and dovish Fed signals that boosted investor confidence across sectors. But the real question burning up trading floors: Can the legendary November effect still deliver in a market that's already scorching? Savvy p

BREAKING: President Trump says he will keep the stock market at all time highs and calls the market "hot" with a "big boost for 401(k)s." The S&P 500 rises to levels just 1.3% away from a new record high. This can be an important ceiling for us to monitor.  $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 17Nov25) This week, several major economic reports and indicators are set to be released, providing valuable insights for investors and market participants. The focus will primarily be on the Federal Reserve and key measures of manufacturing, real estate, and energy consumption. Federal Reserve Update The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be closely monitored. Market participants are looking to the Federal Reserve for any indications regarding upcoming decisions on interest rates. The content and tone of these minutes could have a significant impact on investors’ expectations. Manufacturing Sector Indicators The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released this week. This index is a critical gauge of ma

Market Outlook of S&P500 (03Nov25) Technical observations: MACD analysis indicates a bullish trend. The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are aligned in an uptrend, which supports a bullish outlook. The 3 EMA lines may start converging. Both the 50-period and 200-period Moving Averages (MA) are showing an uptrend, suggesting a bullish market sentiment in both the short and long term. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is positive at 0.07, indicating an influx of buying volume over the last 20 periods. We recognise that the buying momentum is weakening, as seen from the downward trend of the CMF chart. For the S&P 500 daily interval, 21 technical indicators recommend a strong buy, while only one suggests a sell. Candlestick outlook Short-Term Outlook (Next We

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 03Nov25) Public Holidays There are no public holidays in the coming week in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, or America. Key Economic Announcements and Market Indicators Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) S&P Global PMIs: Both the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI are forecasted to show expansionary activity. Manufacturing PMI forecast: 52.2 Services PMI forecast: 55.2 ISM PMIs: The release of ISM Manufacturing PMI and its associated Prices Index will be a key indicator for the U.S. manufacturing sector. The prices index reflects inflationary or deflationary cost pressures faced by manufacturers. Similarly, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (services sector) and its Pr

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday the United States doesn't give Nvidia's NVDA.O advanced AI chip, known as the Blackwell, "to other people," adding that he meets with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang regularly. "The new Blackwell that just came out, it's 10 years ahead of every other chip," Trump told reporters, adding, "But no, we don't give that chip to other people." The comments, in response to reporters' questions aboard Air Force One, suggest the Trump administration may not be poised to freely allow shipments of the prized chip overseas.

1. I think it can still climb, considering the US and China leaders made a deal, and everyone knows the market will take any excuse to interpret it as good news and continue its rise 2. Portfolio wise, I am doing fine: surprisingly I did not expect the US tech stocks to keep the pace, but I am in for the long term for other portions so everything is good 3. Gold, it is always shiny, whether times are bad or good. And Singapore, the sensibility in the country helps provide stable results 4. I will play it safe, because another dispute can happen tearing up whatever US and China agree upon, and some of the growth seems to be a little out of my expectations so things might just look to correct itself... downwards

The S&P 500 notched two new highs last week, continuing a strong uptrend since October 2022, despite macroeconomic uncertainties. Tech and high-beta stocks led the rally, while defensive sectors like Consumer Staples and Utilities lagged; growth outperformed value. Investors rotated out of foreign markets, REITs, and gold, favoring NASDAQ, blockchain, crude oil, and cyclical equities over the past two weeks. Valuations are approaching 1999 levels, raising caution about future returns as richly valued stocks may not sustain recent performance highs.