To The Moon

In January 2026, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) delivered a financial performance that effectively silenced skeptics of the AI "bubble." The Dutch lithography giant reported a massive surge in orders, driven by the insatiable global demand for artificial intelligence hardware. As the sole provider of the Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines required to manufacture the world’s most advanced semiconductors, ASML remains the "gatekeeper" of the digital age. Below is an in-depth analysis of the recent surge, the technical drivers behind it, and what it means for the 2026 semiconductor landscape. 1. The Record-Breaking Numbers The headline from ASML’s Q4 2025 earnings report (released late January 2026) was a staggering €13.2 billion ($15.8 billion) in net bookings. To put this in perspecti

Hi, Tigers 🐯You may have seen semiconductors keep surging right?The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Semiconductor & Equipment Index is up around 45% year-to-date, making it one of the best-performing parts of the market so far.Money flow backs this up. $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ pulled in about $330 million over the past week, with shares outstanding up roughly 1.6%. At the same time, $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ remains very active, showing that short-term traders are still leaning bullish.The fundamentals aren’t lagging either. Global semiconductor sales hit a record in late 2025, with November reaching US$75.3 billion (+~30% YoY). Memory

I wait for a pullback for ASML

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML's Q4 2025 results align closely with the details provided. The company reported Q4 net sales of €9.7 billion (record), gross margin of 52.2%, and net income of €2.8 billion. Full-year 2025 net sales reached €32.7 billion (up ~16% YoY implied) with a 52.8% gross margin and €9.6 billion net income. Net bookings in Q4 hit a record €13.2 billion (nearly double consensus expectations around €6.3 billion), including €7.4 billion from EUV systems; the year-end backlog stood at €38.8 billion (with ~€25.5 billion EUV). Revenue in Q4 included two High-NA EUV systems. 2026 growth appears locked in based on guidance and CEO commentary. ASML guided 2026 total net sales to €34–39 billion (roughly 4–19% growth from 2025's €32.7 billi

ASML's stock is currently trading at around $1,454.59, and analysts are optimistic about its future prospects. With a strong track record and growing demand for AI chips, the company's business is looking good. In fact, ASML recently received a surge of new orders, which is expected to boost their sales in 2026. They're even buying back some of their own shares, a sign of confidence in their own growth. While the stock market can be unpredictable, ASML's size and stability make it an attractive option for some investors. Some analysts predict the stock could reach $2,102.55 in the next year, but it's essential to do your own research and consider potential risks before making a decision. As a leader in the chip-making equipment industry, ASML is well-positioned to benefit from the growing

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ASML's Bookings Explosion: A Wake-Up Call for the Entire Semi Equipment Sector Global lithography leader $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$   has released its latest Q4 earnings, sending the stock soaring in pre-market trading. Let's look under the hood to see the true quality of this report. Three Things to Watch Net Bookings Explode: The Memory Sector Begins an Epic Expansion Wave ASML delivered a blowout number for Q4 net bookings at €13.16 billion. This represents an 86% year-over-year increase and a staggering 144% quarter-over-quarter jump, obliterating the market consensus of just €6.795 billion. Specifically, EUV bookings came in at €7.4 billion, up 147% year-over-year. The total backlog at the end of the quar

🧠 ASML Surges on AI Orders Is a Multi-Year AI Capex Supercycle Now Locked In? ASML just delivered one of the cleanest “cycle confirmation” quarters the semiconductor industry has seen in years — and the market noticed. Q4 net sales hit a record €9.7B, orders exploded to €13.2B (nearly 2× consensus), and EUV orders alone reached €7.4B, lifting backlog to €38.8B. Two High-NA EUV systems were already recognized in revenue — a milestone that quietly signals where the next decade of chipmaking is headed. Shares surged up to +10% after hours 📈 — not on hype, but on visibility. So the real questions now: • Is ASML entering a multi-year AI capex supercycle? • Or is this the point where investors should pause, not chase? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 🚀 Why This Quarter Matters More Than the Headline Beat

Let's go! Looking great

Comprehensive Analysis of ASML Holding (ASML) Stock Price and Performance ASML's stock has performed well over the past year, with a 75% increase compared to the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index's 47% gains. On January 28, 2026, ASML's stock closed at €1269.4, with a daily change of +€56.8 (+4.68%). In the US market, ASML closed at $1454.59, with a daily change of +$41.24 (+2.92%). Financial Performance ASML reported stronger-than-expected bookings in Q4 2025, reaching €13.2 billion, which is nearly double the consensus estimates and significantly higher than the €5.4 billion in the previous quarter. This surge was driven by increased investment in AI chipmaking capacity. Key Financial Highlights: Q4 2025 Net Sales: €9.7 billion. Full-Year 2025 Net Sales: €32.7 billion. Full-Year 2025 Net I

Just now, lithography giant $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ released its fourth-quarter earnings report, delivering explosive results. Pre-market shares surged as much as 5.47%, climbing above $1,454: As a result, semiconductor ETFs surged in premarket trading, with $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ climbing over 2.9%, $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ rising more than 3%, $Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF(SOXQ)$ gaining over 2.4%, and $Leverage Shares 2X Long ASML Daily ETF(ASMG)$ soaring by 10.1%! From an earnings standpoint, ASML’s fourth-quarter revenue came in at €9.72 billion, slightly

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$  🚀

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ jdjdjdjdd

Names with a great start of the year 🟢 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ +105% 🟢 $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ +67% 🟢 $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ +66% 🟢 $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ +49% 🟢 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ +50% 🟢 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ +45% 🟢 $Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd.(GLXY)$ +43% 🟢 $Micron Technology(MU)$ +40% 🟢 $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ +30% 🟢 $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ +27% 🟢

Based on short-term price targets offered by nine analysts, the average price target for TSMC comes to $358.78. The forecasts range from a low of $325.00 to a high of $430.00. The average price target represents an increase of 5.02% from the last closing price of $341.6

In long term the reshoring of cutting-edge chip manufacturing on American soil will affect TSMC's earning. The restoring also weaken TSMC's competitiveness

TSMC's record capital expenditure of $52-56 billion in 2026 is primarily aimed at expanding capacity to meet surging AI chip demand. Despite this significant investment, advanced-node supply is expected to lag demand for years. TSMC's Pricing Power TSMC is well-positioned to maintain and even increase its pricing power despite rising investment intensity. Dominant Market Position: TSMC is the world's largest contract chipmaker and dominates advanced chip fabrication, holding a 72% share in the global foundry market and over 90% market share for advanced AI chips. High Demand for Advanced Nodes: Demand for TSMC's 3nm process technology continuously exceeds supply, leading to sold-out fabrication lines and customers paying premiums for expedited manufacturing. TSMC has temporarily halted new

Hong Kong equities mostly edged lower on Friday (16 Jan) as investors locked in gains, following an earlier surge after a robust earnings outlook from TSMC that strengthened confidence in sustained AI-driven demand and boosted global risk appetite. $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ still advanced 2.37% for the week, while the $HSI(HSI)$ gained 2.34%. With the market failing to break above the recent highs in Oct/Nov last year, HSI continues to be resisted at around the 27,200 level; a breakout above this level would signal that the recent upward price movement has extended beyond prior consolidation, while price hesitation at this zone could indicate that the market remains in a consolidation phase. Top movers over the s

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

I will go for option C. Intel price has run too far ahead of its value. Market is positioning Intel for its potential future success of its foundry services to take on TSMC. It's not even in the AMD space. US government's involvement is already priced in from the recent price spike. Now is the time for delivery however there is simply not enough time for Intel to do just that. Therefore market will be in for a reality check when it announces its latest results. Of course, this is only my take. Market could be irrational for longer than necessary, as could be seen in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

Hi, Tigers 🐯You may have seen semiconductors keep surging right?The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Semiconductor & Equipment Index is up around 45% year-to-date, making it one of the best-performing parts of the market so far.Money flow backs this up. $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ pulled in about $330 million over the past week, with shares outstanding up roughly 1.6%. At the same time, $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ remains very active, showing that short-term traders are still leaning bullish.The fundamentals aren’t lagging either. Global semiconductor sales hit a record in late 2025, with November reaching US$75.3 billion (+~30% YoY). Memory

In January 2026, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) delivered a financial performance that effectively silenced skeptics of the AI "bubble." The Dutch lithography giant reported a massive surge in orders, driven by the insatiable global demand for artificial intelligence hardware. As the sole provider of the Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines required to manufacture the world’s most advanced semiconductors, ASML remains the "gatekeeper" of the digital age. Below is an in-depth analysis of the recent surge, the technical drivers behind it, and what it means for the 2026 semiconductor landscape. 1. The Record-Breaking Numbers The headline from ASML’s Q4 2025 earnings report (released late January 2026) was a staggering €13.2 billion ($15.8 billion) in net bookings. To put this in perspecti

Just now, lithography giant $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ released its fourth-quarter earnings report, delivering explosive results. Pre-market shares surged as much as 5.47%, climbing above $1,454: As a result, semiconductor ETFs surged in premarket trading, with $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ climbing over 2.9%, $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ rising more than 3%, $Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF(SOXQ)$ gaining over 2.4%, and $Leverage Shares 2X Long ASML Daily ETF(ASMG)$ soaring by 10.1%! From an earnings standpoint, ASML’s fourth-quarter revenue came in at €9.72 billion, slightly

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML's Q4 2025 results align closely with the details provided. The company reported Q4 net sales of €9.7 billion (record), gross margin of 52.2%, and net income of €2.8 billion. Full-year 2025 net sales reached €32.7 billion (up ~16% YoY implied) with a 52.8% gross margin and €9.6 billion net income. Net bookings in Q4 hit a record €13.2 billion (nearly double consensus expectations around €6.3 billion), including €7.4 billion from EUV systems; the year-end backlog stood at €38.8 billion (with ~€25.5 billion EUV). Revenue in Q4 included two High-NA EUV systems. 2026 growth appears locked in based on guidance and CEO commentary. ASML guided 2026 total net sales to €34–39 billion (roughly 4–19% growth from 2025's €32.7 billi

ASML's Bookings Explosion: A Wake-Up Call for the Entire Semi Equipment Sector Global lithography leader $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$   has released its latest Q4 earnings, sending the stock soaring in pre-market trading. Let's look under the hood to see the true quality of this report. Three Things to Watch Net Bookings Explode: The Memory Sector Begins an Epic Expansion Wave ASML delivered a blowout number for Q4 net bookings at €13.16 billion. This represents an 86% year-over-year increase and a staggering 144% quarter-over-quarter jump, obliterating the market consensus of just €6.795 billion. Specifically, EUV bookings came in at €7.4 billion, up 147% year-over-year. The total backlog at the end of the quar

🧠 ASML Surges on AI Orders Is a Multi-Year AI Capex Supercycle Now Locked In? ASML just delivered one of the cleanest “cycle confirmation” quarters the semiconductor industry has seen in years — and the market noticed. Q4 net sales hit a record €9.7B, orders exploded to €13.2B (nearly 2× consensus), and EUV orders alone reached €7.4B, lifting backlog to €38.8B. Two High-NA EUV systems were already recognized in revenue — a milestone that quietly signals where the next decade of chipmaking is headed. Shares surged up to +10% after hours 📈 — not on hype, but on visibility. So the real questions now: • Is ASML entering a multi-year AI capex supercycle? • Or is this the point where investors should pause, not chase? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 🚀 Why This Quarter Matters More Than the Headline Beat

Comprehensive Analysis of ASML Holding (ASML) Stock Price and Performance ASML's stock has performed well over the past year, with a 75% increase compared to the PHLX Semiconductor Sector index's 47% gains. On January 28, 2026, ASML's stock closed at €1269.4, with a daily change of +€56.8 (+4.68%). In the US market, ASML closed at $1454.59, with a daily change of +$41.24 (+2.92%). Financial Performance ASML reported stronger-than-expected bookings in Q4 2025, reaching €13.2 billion, which is nearly double the consensus estimates and significantly higher than the €5.4 billion in the previous quarter. This surge was driven by increased investment in AI chipmaking capacity. Key Financial Highlights: Q4 2025 Net Sales: €9.7 billion. Full-Year 2025 Net Sales: €32.7 billion. Full-Year 2025 Net I

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$, the world's leading contract chipmaker, is set to report its full Q4 2025 earnings on January 15, 2026, at 2:00 PM Taiwan time (1:00 AM Eastern Time), followed by an earnings conference call. The quarter covers October to December 2025, and the results come amid strong demand for advanced semiconductors driven by AI infrastructure needs from clients like Nvidia, Apple, and Broadcom. TSMC has already pre-released its Q4 revenue figures on January 9, reporting NT$1.046 trillion (approximately $33.05 billion USD), which beat analyst estimates of around $32.73 billion and marked a 20.45% year-over-year (YoY) increase. For the full year 2025, revenue reached about $120 billion, up 31.6% YoY, underscoring the co

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  This tape is mispricing a volatility regime shift into $TSM earnings on 15 Jan. Price is not stalling, it is compressing, and when compression appears alongside rising institutional flow, short dated gamma and suppressed IV, it creates the highest probability environment for non linear price discovery. Taiwan Semiconductor is not trading like a mature foundry, it is trading like an AI infrastructure gatekeeper with a liquidity vacuum above the tape. $TSM is sitting at $325.40 (-1.75%) after printing a gap down and go from $324 to $333+ immediately following

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Buckle up, folks – the semiconductor giants are firing on all cylinders! TSMC just crushed expectations with a jaw-dropping earnings report, sending shockwaves through the market and proving the AI revolution is far from over. Shares skyrocketed as investors pile in, betting big on relentless demand for cutting-edge chips. But wait, ASML's riding the wave too, hitting record highs on the back of this frenzy. Is this the acceleration we've been waiting for, or just a teaser of what's coming in 2026? Let's dive deep into the numbers, trends, and why holding these beasts could be your smartest move yet. 😎📈 ASML TSMC First off, TSMC's powerhouse

Yesterday, the Russell 2000, a key benchmark for small-cap stocks, climbed 0.86%, marking its 10th consecutive trading day outperforming the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ — the longest such streak since 1990.As a result, ETFs tied to the Russell 2000 have been on fire. $ProShares UltraPro Russell 2000(URTY)$ is up 24.5% year-to-date, while $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ has gained 7.9% YTD, both comfortably outperforming $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , which is up just 1.5% over the same period.Notably, $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ released its fourth-quarter earnings repor

TSMC Just Told Wall Street: You're Still Underestimating AI Global foundry leader $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$   released its Q4 2025 earnings, and the company, playing the role of the ultimate "shovel seller" in the AI gold rush, delivered a quarter that beat expectations across revenue, gross margin, and net profit, alongside long-term growth guidance that exceeded market forecasts. Three Things to Watch 2026 Full-Year and Long-Term AI Guidance Blew Past Expectations; AI Remains the Growth Pillar The Street had consensus expectations for TSMC's 2026 full-year USD revenue growth at approximately 25% YoY. Management's guidance? 30% YoY growth. Last quarter, $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ manage

The semiconductor industry is buzzing once more, with $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ delivering a blockbuster Q4 2025 earnings report that not only shattered expectations but also ignited a rally across the sector. Shares of TSMC surged over 4% in early trading, while $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$, a key supplier of chipmaking equipment, jumped as much as 7.6% to a record high, pushing its market capitalization above $500 billion for the first time. This enthusiasm stems from TSMC's robust results and optimistic outlook, underscoring the unrelenting demand for AI-driven chips and sending ripples through related stocks like $Lam Research(LRCX)$ and

Just now, January 15, 2026-$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) $Announced today that for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, the company's consolidated revenue reachedNT $1.04609 trillion, net profitNT $505.74 billionDiluted earnings per shareNT $19.50(Yield per unit of ADR$3.14）。On a year-on-year basis, revenue growth in the quarter20.5%, both net profit and diluted earnings per share increased35.0%； QoQ Q3 2025, revenue growth5.7%, net profit growth11.8%。 All financial data are based onTaiwan Financial Accounting Standards(TIFRS), prepared on a consolidated basis.In U.S. dollars, fourth-quarter revenue was$33.73 billion, year-on-year growth25.5%, month-on-month growth1.9%。Gross profit margin for the quarter was62.3%, operating profit m

TSMC Q4 Preview: The AI Gatekeeper Takes Center Stage $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  , the world's leading semiconductor foundry, will release its Q4 earnings report on January 15. The market is closely watching what kind of profit results this company, widely regarded as the ultimate "pick-and-shovel" play in the AI boom, will deliver. Option Market Signals Ahead of TSMC's highly anticipated earnings release on January 15, the options market is flashing cautionary signals as the put/call ratio has surged to an elevated 1.64 on total open interest of 1.76 million contracts, reflecting heightened demand for downside protection into the report. Implied volatility stands at 43.33%, commanding a substanti

🌟🌟🌟As $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  heads in Q4 earnings, the market is asking whether the memory upcycle will lift the entire semiconductor complex from TSMC to ASML, into a new phase of profitability?    Will AI orders continue to accelerate, pushing TSMC to new highs?  How much upside is left for memory names now that demand is sizzling hot? The truth is, we are entering a rare moment where both sides of the semiconductor world - foundry and memory, are strengthening at the same time. Foundry: TSMC and ASML are Riding the AI Wave  TSMC remains the backbone of the global AI infrastructure.  Every model, every inference engine, every data centre upgrade - they all run throug

TSMC's record capital expenditure of $52-56 billion in 2026 is primarily aimed at expanding capacity to meet surging AI chip demand. Despite this significant investment, advanced-node supply is expected to lag demand for years. TSMC's Pricing Power TSMC is well-positioned to maintain and even increase its pricing power despite rising investment intensity. Dominant Market Position: TSMC is the world's largest contract chipmaker and dominates advanced chip fabrication, holding a 72% share in the global foundry market and over 90% market share for advanced AI chips. High Demand for Advanced Nodes: Demand for TSMC's 3nm process technology continuously exceeds supply, leading to sold-out fabrication lines and customers paying premiums for expedited manufacturing. TSMC has temporarily halted new

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$   Can TSMC Beat Expectations and Set New Highs Again? Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world’s largest contract chipmaker, has been one of the standout performers in the semiconductor sector — driven by AI demand, advanced process leadership, and strong earnings momentum. But as we head deeper into 2026, the big question for investors is: Can TSMC continue to beat expectations and push its stock to new highs? 1. A Strong Momentum Backed by Recent Beats TSMC’s latest quarterly performance shows solid fundamentals. Its Q4 2025 revenue rose

TSMC's Growth Momentum and AI Impact Analysis Key Factors Driving TSMC's Growth Momentum TSMC's growth momentum is primarily driven by its critical role in advanced chip manufacturing and surging demand from the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Dominance in Advanced Process Nodes: TSMC is the world's largest contract chipmaker and the leading manufacturer of advanced AI chips, making it a "pure-play artificial intelligence stock". It plays a critical role in making advanced chips like GPUs, which are essential for AI technologies. In the third quarter of 2025, advanced nodes (7-nanometer and below) accounted for 74% of its wafer revenues, demonstrating its technological leadership. Accelerated AI Demand: TSMC is experiencing accelerated demand for AI-optimized chips, with requests for