To The Moon

Over the past 48 hours, one of the biggest stories in the entire AI sector has been the explosive move in Google-related assets. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ / $Alphabet(GOOG)$ shares ripped higher by more than 6% in regular trading and tacked on another ~2% after-hours on reports that Meta is in talks for a massive multi-billion-dollar TPU order. Meanwhile, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ barely budged — a stark contrast to what we usually see when AI hype hits.This isn’t being driven by a single headline. It’s the culmination of several developments that are forcing the market to completely re-price the cost stru

The memory sector's performance last week continued to polarize the market: bulls firmly believe HBM is ushering in a new profit cycle, while skeptics argue spot price gains for DRAM/NAND have clearly deviated from fundamentals, resembling the bubble phase seen in 2017–18.I lean toward the opposite of the latter view: Prices are indeed overheated, but the core drivers stem from genuine structural shifts in supply and demand, not speculation.How should I express it?DRAM spot prices rose 5% week-over-week (16Gb DDR4 surged 9% to $37.5), hitting a 25-year high; NAND spot prices climbed even more sharply, with 1Tb/512Gb/256Gb rising 15-22%. Despite thin trading volumes, supply shortages drove up inventory replenishment demand. NVIDIA's Oct-Q revenue reached $5.7 billion (Data Center: $5.1 bill

$Li Auto(LI)$ Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings is scheduled for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, before U.S. market open. Consensus Sentiment: Cautious. The company is in a acknowledged "crisis mode" transition, shifting from its dominance in Extended Range EVs (EREV) to fighting a price war while pivoting to AI and global expansion. Scorecard: What the Market Expects vs. Reality Li Auto has already released its delivery numbers, so the "surprise" will come from margins and guidance, not volume. Fiscal Q2 2025 Earnings Analysis: The "Reality Check" Quarter The Q2 2025 report was a pivotal moment for Li Auto. It marked the official end of its "hyper-growth at all costs" phase and the beginning of a painful but necessary strategic reset. The Scorecard: Q2 2025 Fi

$Deere(DE)$ fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, scheduled for release Wednesday, November 26, 2025, before the market opens. Consensus Estimates Summary Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in both revenue and profit, reflecting the ongoing normalization in the agricultural cycle and lower crop prices. Since the market already expects a "bad" quarter (double-digit declines), a simple "beat" on these numbers might not send the stock higher. The stock's reaction will depend almost entirely on the Fiscal 2026 Guidance. If Deere guides for 2026 revenue to be flat or only down single digits, the stock will likely rally; if they guide for another >10% drop, the sell-off could be sharp. The Big Picture: Deere approaches this report with a "high stakes" set

$Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ is scheduled to report earnings tomorrow, Tuesday, November 25, 2025, after the market closes. Note that while this is calendar year 2025, Zscaler operates on an offset fiscal calendar, so this report covers Fiscal Q1 2026 (ended October 31, 2025). Zscaler stock has been under pressure recently, down ~15% in the last month and underperforming the broader cybersecurity sector. This "dampened sentiment" heading into the print can sometimes be a contrarian bullish signal if the company clears a lowered bar, as expectations are not currently euphoric. Consensus Revenue Estimate: ~$773.4 million (+23.2% YoY) Consensus EPS Estimate: ~$0.85 (Non-GAAP) Implied Price Move: The options market is pricing in a swing of approximately ±10% foll

$SPY$In short, tonight we'll either see a massive rally or a sharp selloff. And frankly, we might even get both within the same session.If we do bounce, consider selling calls if it reaches 670 or 675.Downside targets now point directly to 630 $SPY 20251128 630.0 PUT$ , possibly even 620. That's right – last week's 640-650 low expectations have been revised downward. Can't help it – the weekend option flow is all over these levels. Plans change; look at the bright side, a bigger dip means a better buying opportunity.Generally, I don't recommend buying weekly options, but this week the odds might justify a couple of lottery tickets. Note: the probability of a plunge has increased, not that it's guaranteed.Weekly options are