A Deep Dive Into The “Big Short vs. Big AI” Debate—and What It Means for Investors
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Few clashes in modern financial discourse attract as much attention as when Michael Burry—the legendary investor behind The Big Short—takes aim at a market darling. His latest critique targets the crown jewel of the AI boom: NVIDIA. But unlike past macro warnings, Burry’s concern this time is more technical, more nuanced, and arguably more provocative. He’s challenging the accounting foundations of the AI investment cycle, especially the depreciation policies of hyperscalers whose AI infrastructure spending drives NVIDIA’s explosive revenue growth. NVIDIA, in an unusual public move, has responded. This sets the stage for one of the most consequential debates in the current market cycle: Are AI accounting practices a real risk to NVI
Nov 2025 Performance: A loss of SGD 2000 , representing a 0.4% loss. Dividends: Accumulated SGD 26,000 in dividends year-to-date, with SGD 25,000 already received. Lately, there’s been some talk in the market about an “AI bubble.” I remain neutral on this topic. While I agree that many U.S. stocks—particularly in the tech sector—are expensive, that’s not unusual. U.S. tech stocks have rarely been “cheap,” even in normal times. Many of these large tech companies generate strong, consistent cash flows, which allow them to invest heavily in AI research and development. In fact, they *have* to stay competitive in the AI race—falling behind could mean being left behind by the market altogether. Demand for data centers and cloud infrastructure isn’t speculative—it’s essential. These are the foun
🔥📊🚀 NVIDIA: Volatility Cools While Competition Intensifies, and I’m Mapping Inflection Levels With 41% Upside Precision 🚀📊🔥
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Market Context and Current Position I’m tracking $NVDA at $176.95 as the stock works through a 13 to 14% November recalibration. What stands out is how the Nasdaq held firm without Nvidia setting the tone. That shift tells me positioning has relaxed from the hyper concentration we saw earlier this year. This decoupling arrives as investors digest hyperscaler
🔥🎮📈 GME’s Silent Rebuild: Burry’s Echo, Viral Catalysts And Call-Flow Convexity Ahead Of Earnings 📈🎮🔥
$GameStop(GME)$$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ 🧭 Earnings Preview: What I’m Pricing In For 02Dec25 Retail chatter is heating up as GameStop $GME heads into Q3 results after the close on Monday, 12/8. I’m framing this print with numbers first. Street expectations sit around EPS of $0.20 versus $0.06 last year and revenue near $987M which implies about +15% YoY. Across the last two reports the stock booked next day gains of roughly +3.3% and +7.6%, and the average next day move has been ±8.2%. The current options board is pricing a larger ±12.6% swing into this event, so implied volatility is signalling a bigger information shock t
Why Pop Mart's Pullback Could Be The Bold Investor's Moment
🌟🌟🌟The market is a sea of emotions and lately it has been awash with caution. For Pop Mart $POP MART(09992)$ $POP MART(09992)$ $POP MART HK SDR 20to1(HPPD.SI)$ this has meant a pullback, a temporary retreat from its soaring heights. Analysts like $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ have trimmed their sails, lowering price targets in a nod to the prevailing winds of a global consumer sector rotation. But for those with the courage to look beyond the surface, this is not a sign of weakness. It is a whisper of a powerful resilient force. While the t
The November Chill: A Test of Nerve and a Whisper of A December Rally
🌟🌟🌟November was supposed to be the victory lap, the reliable month where bulls could count on a strong lift toward the December finish line. This year November delivered a chill instead. The November effect, that historically golden period for markets has fizzled out. With the Nasdaq shedding 2% and the broader S&P500 struggling to find its footing, a palpable anxiety has settled over the investing community. The easy gains seem to be over and a genuine fear of a turn in the tide is real. However this is not a moment to panic but a test of nerve and a confirmation of strategy. The wisdom of diversification has come to the fore during such times. While the US market saw some weakness in November, my broader portfolio was more resilient.
FROM SELLOFF TO COMEBACK Rally Rescues Markets as Fed Hopes Return
November’s Turnaround - A Remarkable Reversal Nov End Just over a week ago, November looked headed for steep losses. The S&P 500 was down 4.4% month-to-date, sentiment was shaky, and markets were questioning everything, from AI to the Fed to the broader economy. But the Thanksgiving rally changed everything. Today’s shortened Black Friday session sealed the turnaround: Index Close Daily Change November Change: Dow Jones 47,716.42 +0.61% +0.3% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6,849.09 +0.54% +0.1% Nasdaq 23,365.69 +0.65% –1.5% S&P 500: Best Thanksgiving week since 2008 (+3.7%). 7 straight months of gains. Nasdaq avoided a deeper drop after being down as much as 7% earlier in the month. Hot Stock $Intel(INTC)$ +
November's Epic Flop Ignites December Dynamite: Santa Rally Set to Explode 4%+ Gains? 🍾📈💥
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Traders are ditching the November blues like yesterday's leftovers – the S&P 500's 2.5% monthly meltdown, its nastiest since March's volatility vortex, just handed bulls a golden setup for a December blast. With YTD gains locked at 13.5% through October's close, this November negative twist flips the script: Historical heat shows December's never dipped red in such spots, averaging a juicy 4% surge with max losses a puny 0.7% and drawdowns capped at 1.7%. Citi's wealth wizards are spotting "room to run" amid record $37B+ inflows from elite clients, while Fed's QT halt on Dec 1 unleashes liquidity like con
BTC at 90K: Relief Rally or the Start of the Next Leg Higher
BTC snapping back above 90K in one week feels powerful, but the structure behind this rally is still mixed. ETF inflows have not returned, and price is rising without strong institutional support. Historically, this pattern creates a fragile advance that can snap quickly when liquidity dries up. The key zone is still 88K to 90K. Hold above it and the market can push toward 95K and possibly 100K before year end. Lose it, and a fast 10 to 15 percent washout is likely, because leveraged long positions remain elevated. How this affects the stocks I am tracking 1) RZLV (AI and data infrastructure) RZLV benefits from high risk appetite. When BTC stabilises above major levels, liquidity often rotates into smaller tech names. If crypto stays firm, RZLV can reclaim momentum, especially with the com
🌟🌟🌟In spirit of Christmas, when it comes to choosing which S&P500 ETF to buy, 4 sleighs line up at the gate : SPY $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ - the legendary reindeer leader, oldest and most liquid. VOO $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ - Vanguard's sturdy workhorse, low cost and reliable. $iShares Core S&P 500 ETF(IVV)$ BlackRock's disciplined stallion, massive scale and institutional trust. $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPYM)$ - the nimble sleigh with the lightest load, lowest fees and easiest entry poin
Part 2 of 5 - Earnings Calendar starting (01 Dec 2025) - Salesforce?
Earnings Calendar (01Dec25) I am monitoring the coming earnings from Asana, Salesforce, Kroger and CrowdStrike. Salesforce: Performance and Outlook Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment Salesforce has experienced a notable decline in its stock price, falling 29.7% compared to a year ago. Technical analysis currently recommends a “strong sell”, while analyst sentiment remains positive with a “buy” recommendation. The analysts’ price target is set at $328.37, suggesting a potential upside of 42.43%. Revenue and Profit Growth The company’s revenue has grown substantially, starting at $6.6 billion in 2016 and reaching $37.8 billion in 2025. Over the past decade, Salesforce has maintained a robust median gross profit margin of 74.2% and a free cash flow (FCF) margin of 21%. Operating profit i
Part 5 of 5 - my investing muse (01Dec25) - layoffs, pivot and data
My Investing Muse (01Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news AMAZON LAYOFFS HIT NEARLY 2,000 ENGINEERS - Amazon’s latest round of job cuts has reached deep into its technical ranks, eliminating nearly 2,000 engineering roles and signalling a sharper reset of the company’s ambitions in key growth areas. The reductions, which hit teams working on everything from Alexa to core retail systems, mark one of the most concentrated blows to Amazon’s engineering workforce since its broader downsizing began. - MSN Companies have announced more than 1.1 million layoffs so far this year, a 44% increase from the total number of layoffs in 2024, per YF Approximately 30% of all job postings are fake, per MorePerfectUnion 39,006 Americans got advance layoff warnings in October, the second-highest sin
🔥📊🌍 The Week Ahead: I’m Positioning for One of the Most Critical Market Setups of 2025 as Liquidity, Earnings, and Macro Align 🌍📊🔥
$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$$Snowflake(SNOW)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ I’m stepping into this week with conviction because we’re entering a rare alignment. Liquidity is expanding as central banks pivot toward easing, cross-asset flows are rotating into risk, macro data is softening just enough to keep policy accommodative, earnings density across software and semis is the highest of the quarter, sector rotation is accelerating into value and cyclicals, metals continue to rally on sovereign demand and structural supply deficits, and December seasonality is flashing green. When the tape sets up like this, I don’t sit back. I position early. 📊 Market Recap I’m ente
Watch CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) Sales Pipeline Normalization As Cybersecurity Sector Seem To Pick Up
With $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ is set to report earnings on Tuesday, December 2, 2025 (after market close), the focus is shifting from "recovery" (post-July 2024 outage) to "re-acceleration." The company has largely operationally put the outage behind it, but the legal overhang—specifically the Delta Air Lines lawsuit—remains a headline risk. Revenue Estimate: ~$1.21 Billion (~20% YoY growth) Non-GAAP EPS Estimate: ~$0.94 Implied Move: The options market is pricing in an ~8.5% move (approx. ±$40/share) by Friday, Dec 5. CrowdStrike Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings: The "Re-acceleration" Quarter The Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings reported on 27 August 2025 (reflecting the quarter ended 31 July 2025) were a pivotal "prove it" moment for CrowdStrike, markin
Can Signet Jewelers (SIG) Provide A Steady Quarter While Navigating Q4 Holiday Forecast and Tariff Exposures?
$Signet Jewelers(SIG)$ is expected to report its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings before the market open on Tuesday, December 2, 2025. Earnings Consensus and Company Guidance Note: There are slightly different analyst consensus EPS numbers found ( and ), but both suggest significant year-over-year growth from last year's Q3 EPS of . Summary: A "Beat and Raise" Quarter Signet Jewelers delivered a strong performance for the second quarter of Fiscal 2026, defying the broader retail slowdown. The company beat analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines and raised its full-year guidance. The results were driven by a successful pivot to fashion jewelry, strong performance in its core banners (Kay, Zales, Jared), and effective cost management. Fiscal Q2
From my perspective, gold pushing back to the $4,200 level feels like a natural response to the market's shifting expectations on Fed policy. When investors sense that rate cuts are coming, the opportunity cost of holding gold drops, and money tends to flow back into safe-haven assets. So this rebound doesn't surprise me — it fits the macro narrative of softer yields and a market looking ahead to 2026 with a more accommodative policy outlook. That said, I'm not taking $4,200 for granted. Gold usually needs more than just rate-cut speculation to stay elevated. It also depends on real yields, global risk appetite, and how much demand is coming from central banks. If real yields fall further or stay muted, that creates a supportive floor. But if yields unexpectedly spike again, gold could eas
$BABA-W(09988)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ last week BABA posted revenue growth and their Cloud business better than estimated but their share price still drop. From the charts it looks like at support level now and 200 day moving average at about 130. For now I will be holding and if drop to 200MA then I will look to add some. I'm super confident on BABA for the long term, so will continue to add when opportunities arise.
Support & resistance...how I pick safe entries (with good risk/reward).Coming from a former account blower upper (i'm trademarking that!).After 10 years of trading, my first instinct is always *how do I best protect my money?*, and THEN it's *how to I multiply it?*.Not the other way around.I'm guess I'm kind of a doomsday prepper, but the trading edition? Anyways...I always protect myself by adding at:- areas with previous price support & buying activity- which typically acted as resistance first.This gives me both a line in the sand (I get out if it's broken), and a low-risk add area. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is a beautiful example.If I'm looking at the chart, I say..okay price rejected $150 in late June, resulting in a big red