AMD Bull Put Spread Setup: Risk, Reward, and the AI Market Narrative
That July 1st trading session certainly threw a curveball into the tech space, with $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ sliding while $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir rallied over . It felt like a dramatic, overnight changing of the guard. I am holding both AMD and PLTR for the long term in my tech portfolio, so I would be interested to explore whether I can place a longer Bull Put spread for AMD, like somewhere in August. Let's break down whether the AI narrative is permanently shifting, why AMD hit a wall, and how you should think about an August Bull Put spread under these conditions. 1. The Narrative Shift: Hardware vs. Software What you witnessed on July 1st was less of a permanent structur
$ZETA is holding key support with potential upside toward $23, $HIMS is breaking above prior highs and strengthening its bullish trend. $META continues to consolidate after a strong advance, setting the stage for a potential longer-term breakout if momentum continues to build. 1. $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ $ZETA up 7% today. Tagged support clean and held. I’ve said it before: this is one of the best structures on my watchlist right now. If we close the day above 20, I’m looking for that volume gap to fill toward 23 over the next couple of weeks. 2. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ $HIMS sweeping previous high Very good sign and what we talked about in last nights video If this holds, we might n
$MRVL, $GLW & $ALAB Lead 40 High-Volatility Winners
This is the complete 1-month performance since the post below of last month's 40 YTD leaders. I’m sharing it for anyone studying the behavior of high ADR% stocks. There are no cherry-picked winners here, this is the full list including both the outsized winners and the laggards. The objective isn't to predict which stock will outperform, but to understand how a basket of high ADR% names behaves over time and how volatility translates into opportunity. Market (Cap and Equal Weight) $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ -0.15% $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ -1.03% $Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares(QQQE)$ +2.44% $Invesco S&P 50
$INTC continues consolidating after a powerful rally, $SMTC highlights the value of patience during base-building. And $GEO reinforces the importance of disciplined trend-following with the 10-day moving average serving as a key risk management level. 1. $Intel(INTC)$ Still building within its box range after cooling off from an extended move into a widened range. The last rally, from March 31 to May 8, delivered a 178% move without violating 10-MA after coming out of a 11 week tightening base pattern. That's the kind of needle-moving move that can push the 10-MA's limit I'm focused on. You need to know your timeframe, and where your comfort level of trading frequency is to your trading style. 2. $Semtech(SMT
July Bull Run: 20 Stocks to Buy on Sale Before the Next Leg Higher
With July historically delivering strong gains for U.S. equities, investors are turning to AI, semiconductors, cloud, robotics, and digital infrastructure leaders as potential beneficiaries of the next market advance. This watchlist highlights 20 stocks positioned to capitalize on improving sentiment and long-term AI-driven growth themes. 12 years in a row, July has closed 1%-2% up. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ will hit $760 then $820+ by year end. It's time to buy these stocks ON SALE: 1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ → $480 — AI Foundry + Azure reacceleration once capex fears fade 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ → $720 — ad business funding the AI buildout, still 33% r
Today's headline and today's structure are telling two different stories, and understanding the gap between them is the whole point of this insight. On the surface, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ just closed out its strongest quarter in six years. Underneath, the position is still sitting in a Bearish zone that's been held for over two weeks. Both things are true at once — and the probability of that tension resolving is now climbing fast. What actually moved the tape today Tuesday's rally had a clear engine: chips. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$Intel(INTC)$
$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ $Roku Inc.(ROKU) Edges Higher +1.18%: Testing Key Resistance Near $139, M&A News Lifts Sentiment 📈 Latest Close Data: ROKU closed at $138.14 on July 1st, up +1.18%. The stock is trading ~7.2% below its 52-week high of $148.88. 🕒 Core Market Drivers: The primary driver remains the $22B acquisition offer from Fox Corp., announced last week, providing a potential floor under the stock. Sentiment is also supported by ongoing platform growth in the connected TV space and a resolution with Florida regarding child protection features, mitigating regulatory overhang. 🦊📺 Technical Analysis: Volume was 3.71M shares (volume ratio 0.56), indicating subdued participation. The RSI(6) is at 65.48, approaching overbought territory but still i
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY) Rises +1.18%: E-commerce Pet Giant Bounces from Support, $30 Target in Sight 🐕 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $19.65 on 2026-07-01, up +1.18%. The price remains ~55% below its 52-week high of $43.50, indicating significant recovery potential. Core Market Drivers 🎯 Stock gained +5.36% on 06/29, showing renewed buying interest after a period of weakness. Macro environment for consumer discretionary spending remains cautious, but the resilient pet care sector provides a defensive buffer. Recent Q1 earnings (May '26) beat on both top and bottom lines ($0.43 EPS vs. $0.39 est.), but stock faced "sell the news" pressure. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume: Trading volume of 9.02M shares is below the recent average (Volume
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Microsoft Corp.(MSFT) Rebounds +1.21%: Tech Giant Bounces from Key Support, Eyes $375 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close (2026-07-01): Closed at $373.02, up +1.21%. The stock found a footing near its 52-week low of $349.20, but remains ~32.8% below its 52-week high of $555.45. Core Market Drivers: Macro Tech Pressure: MSFT is on track for its worst monthly performance since 2000 amid a broad tech sector sell-off. Contrarian Sentiment: Some strategists are viewing the ~23% YTD dip as a significant oversold opportunity, citing long-term fundamentals. Institutional Activity: Mixed capital flow data shows net outflows over the past 5 days, indicating ongoing sector rotation. Technical Analysis: Volume: Trading volume of 44.95M shares was below av
🎯US Stock Market H2 2026 Outlook: The Bull isn't Dead, But "AI Must Pay"
The bull isn't dead, but "AI must pay." In the tug-of-war between soft landing and bubble peak, cash flow quality > growth story, and defensive rotation > single-track conviction. As of June 30, 2026 | Data sourced from aggregated market data H1 in One Thread: A Seller's Market for AI Infrastructure Summing up the first half 2026, the rally can be traced along one clear thread: AI compute demand → Semiconductor/storage/equipment orders surge → Earnings beats → Valuation re-rating → Leveraged capital floods in → Positive feedback loop Semiconductors, storage, and the AI supply chain were the absolute core of H1, full stop; Concept themes (lidar, hydrogen, OLED) going parabolic shows market capital hunting for "the next AI" narrative beyond the main thread; High-beta growth style compr
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Tesla(TSLA) Gains +2.13%: Bullish Momentum Builds, Eyes $434 Resistance Break 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Tesla closed at $420.60 on 2026-07-01 (ET), up +2.13% (+$8.76). The stock is currently ~15.7% below its 52-week high of $498.83. Core Market Drivers ⚡ Partnership Boost: Sunrun (RUN) shares surged 24% after announcing a major agreement with Tesla and Renew Home to deliver over 16 GW of flexible energy capacity, highlighting Tesla's expanding energy ecosystem. Capital Flow Reversal: The last 5 days show a strong shift to net institutional inflows, culminating in a +$163.67M inflow on 06-29, signaling renewed buying interest. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume: Trading volume was 43.39M shares, with a Volume Ratio of 0.95, indicating sl
BX Rises on Data Center Optimism, $120 Breakout in Sight
$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ $Blackstone Inc. (BX) Rallies +2.43%: Defying Sector Gloom, Eyes $120 Resistance 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $117.67 on 2026-07-01, up +2.43% (+$2.79). This marks a significant rebound, now trading ~38% below its 52-week high of $190.09. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock is defying recent sector-wide weakness. Key drivers include: 1) A major $3.5B data center stake sale to Digital Realty, showcasing strategic asset monetization. 2) Persistent but contained private credit fund redemption pressures (e.g., BCRED fund capped at 5%), which have weighed on the broader alternative asset manager sector. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume of 7.37M shares (~1.20x ratio) confirms the bullish move. The latest RSI(6) reading of 48.65 has mo
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ $C3.ai (AI) Bounces +2.48%: AI Stock Tests Key $9.09 Pivot, Rebound in Progress 🚀 Latest Close Data: 📊 Close: $9.09 Change: +2.48% (+$0.22) Distance to 52-Week High: -69.8% (from $30.11) Core Market Drivers: 🧠 Sector Rotation: Amidst recent volatility in high-flying tech stocks, AI-focused names like C3.ai are seeing renewed interest as the AI infrastructure build-out continues. News of older tech "Seven Knights" (e.g., Intel, Dell) outperforming highlights a broadening AI investment theme. Internal Sentiment: Persistent high short interest (recent daily short volume often >20%) suggests a crowded short trade, which can fuel sharp rebounds on any positive catalyst or shift in market sentiment. Technical Analysis: 📈 Volume &
[Events] SK Hynix Is Coming to Nasdaq. Bullish or Bearish?
SK Hynix may be one of the biggest AI memory IPO stories of the year. SK Hynix, the world’s second largest memory chipmaker, plans to raise around $29 billion on the Nasdaq by issuing American depositary receipts (ADRs), according to the firm’s regulatory filing. The company plans to issue 17.79 million new shares at a value of 45.45 trillion won ($29.65 billion).SK Hynix said it expects to start trading on July 10, but added that the dates were tentative and subject to change. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ SK Hynix is one of the biggest winners from the AI boom, thanks to its leading position in high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, which is widely used in AI servers. Counterpoint Research estimates that SK Hynix holds about 60% of the HBM mark
$AAPL Bounces Back: $265 Holds Firm, $298 Is the Next Test
$Apple(AAPL)$ $Apple, Inc.(AAPL) Rebounds +2.70%: Defends Key Support at $265, Eyes $298 Resistance 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $289.36 on 2026-07-01, up +2.70% (+$7.62). The stock is now ~$28.04 (-8.84%) below its 52-week high of $317.40. 💡 Core Market Drivers Macro Sentiment: The broader tech sector and Nasdaq have faced recent pressure, with investor sentiment dipping into "fear" territory, creating a volatile backdrop. Company-Specific: The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear Apple's appeal in the Epic Games case, introducing legal overhang but also a potential path to resolution. 📊 Technical Analysis Volume: Trading volume of 65.1M shares was below average (Volume Ratio: 0.60), indicating the rebound lacked strong conviction from major pl
$HLF Defies Bears: Technical Rebound Puts $15+ Back in Play
$Herbalife(HLF)$ $Herbalife (HLF) Rallies +2.81%: Defying Bearish Sentiment, Eyes $13.50 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $13.15 (Jul 1, 2026), up +2.81%. The stock is now ~35.5% below its 52-week high of $20.40. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock is navigating a complex landscape of high short interest (recent short volume ratio up to 30.89%) and institutional scrutiny. The rally comes despite bearish sentiment, potentially fueled by value-driven capital flows and a historically low valuation. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume: Trading volume of ~1.7M shares was below the recent average (Volume Ratio 0.75), suggesting the move lacked broad participation. RSI: The 6-day RSI is at 75.0, entering overbought territory, indicating a potential near-term pu
$Caterpillar(CAT)$ $Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Soars +3.07%: AI Power Demand Drives Rebound, $1200 Target in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data CAT closed at $1,064.90 on July 1, 2026, surging +3.07% (+$31.71). This brings the stock just $8.56 shy of its intraday and 52-week high of $1,073.46. Core Market Drivers AI Data Center Boom: CAT is a direct beneficiary of the explosive demand for backup power solutions from AI data centers. Its massive $63B order backlog is a key driver. Wall Street Bullishness: Multiple major banks (Baird, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan) have recently raised price targets to $1,200, $1,155, and $1,165 respectively, citing strong fundamentals. Technical Analysis The rally was supported by solid volume (0.56x ratio). Technically, the MACD histog
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Sea Ltd(SE) Rallies +3.10%: AI Chatbot Catalyst Ignites Bullish Momentum, $100 Breakout in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 SE closed at $95.83 on 2026-07-01, up +3.10% (+$2.88). The stock is now 51.9% below its 52-week high of $199.30. Core Market Drivers 🧠 The primary catalyst is the launch of the AI companion chatbot Migoo into the US market, signaling a new strategic growth pillar. Concurrently, strong Q1 fundamentals—revenue up 46.6% YoY and Shopee GMV growth of 30%—continue to underpin investor confidence. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume surged to 6.33M shares (Volume Ratio: 2.09), confirming strong buying interest. The MACD (DIF: 1.25, DEA: 0.52, MACD: 1.47) shows a bullish crossover and expanding histogram, indicating accelerating upwa
$Under Armour Class A(UAA)$ $Under Armour Class A (UAA) Rebounds +3.23%: Testing $6.40 Resistance Amidst Turnaround Hopes 📈 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $6.39 (+3.23%) on 2026-07-01 (ET), still ~21.6% below its 52-week high of $8.15. Core Market Drivers 🏃♂️ The stock is rebounding from a significant sell-off triggered by a weak FY2027 outlook in May. Key concerns remain: soft North American consumer spending, macroeconomic headwinds, and a projected revenue decline. Recent five-day capital flow data shows net positive inflows, suggesting some bottom-fishing. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was 9.94M shares (Volume Ratio 0.67), indicating subdued selling pressure. The latest MACD (DIF: 0.128, DEA: 0.067, MACD: 0.122) shows a clear bullish crossover, si
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$ $Texas Instruments (TXN) Rebounds +4.41%: Key Pivot at $298, Poised for Breakout 📈 Latest Close Data 🔍 As of July 1, 2026, TXN closed at $298.07, up +4.41% (+$12.59). The stock is trading ~10.8% below its 52-week high of $334.03. Core Market Drivers 🚀 The rebound is fueled by broad semiconductor sector recovery and anticipation of the industry-wide price hike for analog & power chips starting July 1. Multiple institutions, including UBS and Stifel, have recently raised their price targets, citing strong AI infrastructure demand and pricing power. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume: Trading volume of 10.94M shares (Volume Ratio 0.77) indicates moderate participation in the rebound, not yet a decisive surge. RSI: The 6-day RSI a