To The Moon

The first week of each month is usually the most important, as the latest non-farm payrolls data are released during this period. These figures often set the tone for the market throughout the rest of the month. This is particularly true when the market is highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations, as the release can quickly shift investor preferences. For this reason, I usually adopt a relatively cautious stance during the first week of the month. The non-farm payrolls report released this month significantly exceeded market expectations. While the market had expected an increase of 80,000 jobs, the actual figure showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. This dealt a blow to expectations of a stronger US economy. Meanwhile, the probability of a rate hike in September fell directly from 60% to

$CAVA Group Inc.(CAVA)$’s second-quarter report offered an unusually healthy combination for a restaurant chain: it opened many new locations while established restaurants attracted more customers. That distinction matters because comparable-sales growth driven by traffic is generally more durable than growth created mainly by menu-price increases. CAVA reported after the August 11 close for the quarter ended July 12. Revenue increased 31.3% year over year to $365.4 million. Same-restaurant sales rose 9.0%, comprising 5.3% traffic growth and 3.7% from price and mix. The company opened 17 net new restaurants, bringing the total to 476, almost 20% more than one year earlier. CAVA’s official second-quarter release provides the operating and financial

The U.S. critical-minerals trade is moving beyond tariffs and geopolitical headlines. Washington is now using equity investments, long-term loans, price floors and purchase guarantees to build an independent supply chain. That improves the sector’s long-term investment case—but the latest funding does not benefit every rare-earth stock equally. Where Is the Money Actually Going? On August 7, President Donald Trump met with more than 200 mining executives, investors, educators and government officials as part of his effort to make the United States a “minerals superpower.” Reuters estimated that the newly announced critical-minerals, battery and related investments totaled approximately $3 billion. The White House separately listed more than $2 billion in mining-related projects and over $1

1. Live Review Introduction Tiger Brokers livestream featuring Ross Dong, Founding Partner at Morning Cloud Asset Management, specializing in macro trading and U.S. equities. Ross shared how he combines top-down and bottom-up analysis to navigate market cycles — including why his fund reduced AI and semiconductor exposure before the July correction. His key message: Being bullish on AI long-term does not mean ignoring short-term market risk. Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the guest speaker and do not represent Tiger Brokers or its affiliates. This content is for education and discussion purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. More from the livestream recap series Live Recap 2: Rate Cuts, Jack

The latest earnings batch delivered another reminder that good AI numbers are no longer enough on their own. Cisco and Coherent both topped Wall Street expectations on August 12, yet their shares fell after hours, while Cerebras dropped sharply after revenue came in light. $Cisco(CSCO)$ -4% after hours Cisco posted fiscal Q4 revenue of $17.25 billion, above the $16.82 billion expected by analysts, while adjusted EPS of $1.22 also beat the $1.17 consensus. AI infrastructure orders reached $4 billion in the quarter and $9.3 billion for the full fiscal year. The outlook was strong as well. Cisco expects fiscal 2027 revenue of $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion, comfortably above Wall Street’s roughly $68.7 billion estimate, and sees AI infrastructure rev