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Tiger_comments
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11-04 15:20

Nasdaq Futures Stage a Sharp V-Shaped Rebound After the Midterms: What Is Wall Street Really Trading

The U.S. midterm elections have delivered a dramatic political shift, and Wall Street is already reacting. On November 4, as Democrats secured control of both chambers of Congress, U.S. stock futures initially came under heavy selling pressure. Nasdaq-100 futures fell roughly 2%, while S&P 500 futures dropped as much as 1.2%. Asian semiconductor stocks also declined as investors reassessed the potential impact of a new political landscape on AI infrastructure and technology regulation. But the selloff did not last at the same intensity. As trading continued, Nasdaq-100 futures recovered significantly, narrowing their losses to around 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures also regained part of their earlier decline. Within hours, the market shifted from aggressive selling to a sharp rebound.
Nasdaq Futures Stage a Sharp V-Shaped Rebound After the Midterms: What Is Wall Street Really Trading
TOP靖润: My choice of ② is mainly for short covering – it is too early to confirm a sustainable recovery. The two houses of parliament changed hands. The 2% drop in the morning session was purely a stress reaction from machines and retail investors. However, the subsequent V-shaped reversal did not generate much real incremental buying. It was just a short squeeze caused by short sellers taking profits and closing positions after the market opened. A glance at the overnight trading charts reveals that Nvidia, Meta, and Broadcom were all trading at around 0.2% higher or lower. If it were truly "fundamentals are more important than elections," or if "bottom-fishing funds were pouring in," these core assets would have risen from the ground long ago. The current market characteristics are typical of "large funds watching the show from the sidelines, while short-term leveraged funds are cutting each other off". Don't think the Democrats' sweep of both houses was just a false alarm. Tax increases, anti-monopoly regulation of tech giants, and bottlenecks in approvals for AI infrastructure—these policy challenges have not yet officially fallen. The sharp drop in early trading was due to the market making advance provisions for regulatory risks, and the subsequent recovery was merely a temporary lull in panic. Don't gamble on the so-called "policy bottom" at this point. Once Friday's non-farm payroll data is released, let's see if the yield on long-term US Treasury bonds will rise again to 5.3%. As long as interest rates don't fall, this V-shaped reversal is a bull trap. If you rush in to buy, you'll most likely be stuck halfway up the mountain again. Hold onto your cash and wait until this wave of short-term floating shares has been cleared before making a decision.
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TigerClub
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11-04 15:10

Benedict Lim's Options Playbook: From a House Analogy to Straddles

Event Recap | Tiger Brokers Singapore | 28 October 2026 Subtitle: Understand Before You Trade: How Options Work, What Drives Their Price, and Why Strategies Like the Straddle Carry Real Costs Are options really as dangerous as people say, or is the real risk not knowing what you are doing? At our latest Tiger Brokers Singapore investment seminar, guest speaker Benedict Lim walked first-timers through three themes: how options work, what makes them cheap or expensive, and the strategies and risks that come with trading them. [About the Speaker] Benedict Lim is the host of one of the largest retail investor meetup groups in Singapore, and a stock market trainer on U.S. options with over 15 years of experience in the stock markets. He is also a veteran of the banking industry, having worked a
Benedict Lim's Options Playbook: From a House Analogy to Straddles
TOPJerry Lam: 🐯 **The most memorable sentence from this seminar was: Options are not simply a directional gamble, but a comprehensive judgment of price, time, and volatility. ** I believe there are three common mistakes beginners make: only focusing on the leveraged returns of options while ignoring the maximum losses; They only judge the rise and fall of stock prices, but ignore the decay of time value; We only see that premium was very expensive before the earnings report, but we don't understand the IV Crush after the earnings report. For example, when buying straddle options, even if you successfully predict that the stock price will fluctuate significantly, you may still end up losing money if the actual volatility is not enough to cover the premium on both sides. For me, options are more suitable as a risk management and auxiliary investment tool than a shortcut to getting rich quick. ** If I am bullish on a stock in the long term, I prefer to study cash-backed put options; If you already hold underlying shares, consider covered call options. However, both carry risks, and premium cannot be considered risk-free income. Before trading, I check four things: **Maximum potential loss, implied volatility, bid-ask spread, and position size. ** What truly determines long-term investment performance is not how many complex strategies one masters, but whether one can understand risk, control positions, and patiently wait when there is no obvious advantage. ** Understanding the rules first, then considering the returns—this is the most important lesson in options investing! 🐯
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TigerClub
·
11-04 15:06

Benedict Lim's Playbook: Straddles, Strangles and the Risks Behind Them

Speaker: Benedict Lim, U.S. options trainer and host of one of Singapore's largest retail investor meetup groups, as he introduces strategies for when you are not sure which way a stock will go, and warns about the costs of getting it wrong. [About the Speaker] Benedict Lim is the host of one of the largest retail investor meetup groups in Singapore, and a stock market trainer on U.S. options with over 15 years of experience in the stock markets. He is also a veteran of the banking industry, having worked at top global banks including Standard Chartered, DBS and HSBC, with over a decade as a financial analyst, business analyst and wealth manager. [The Hook] Benedict's logic was simple: sometimes you do not know the direction. Rather than guess, you can set up a position that benefits if th
Benedict Lim's Playbook: Straddles, Strangles and the Risks Behind Them
TOP苏36: Volatility Is Not Free: The Hidden Cost of Betting on Uncertainty The biggest lesson I took from Benedict’s session is that being unsure about direction does not mean an options strategy is automatically safer. A straddle or strangle essentially trades volatility rather than direction. However, the real challenge is predicting whether the market's actual movement will exceed what is already priced into the options Consider a major earnings announcement. A stock may jump 5%, yet traders buying options beforehand could still lose money if implied volatility collapses after the announcement. This is the classic volatility crush There are three variables to evaluate: the expected price movement, the combined premiums, and the time remaining before expiry My takeaway is simple: Being right about volatility is not enough; you must be right about its magnitude and timing. In options trading, managing the cost of uncertainty matters just as much as predicting the opportunity @TigerClub
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TigerClub
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11-04 15:06

Benedict Lim's Playbook: What Makes an Option Expensive? Time, Volatility and Liquidity

Speaker: Benedict Lim, U.S. options trainer and host of one of Singapore's largest retail investor meetup groups, as he breaks down how options are priced and what to check before you trade one. [About the Speaker] Benedict Lim is the host of one of the largest retail investor meetup groups in Singapore, and a stock market trainer on U.S. options with over 15 years of experience in the stock markets. He is also a veteran of the banking industry, having worked at top global banks including Standard Chartered, DBS and HSBC, with over a decade as a financial analyst, business analyst and wealth manager. [The Hook] After the basics, a natural question: why do some options cost so much more than others? Benedict's answer split an option's price into two parts and then gave a short checklist of
Benedict Lim's Playbook: What Makes an Option Expensive? Time, Volatility and Liquidity
TOPJerry Lam: 🐯 If I had to choose, I would prefer to stand on the seller's side where the value of time decreases, but only if the risk is controllable! ** Option buyers need to judge the right direction, magnitude, and timing simultaneously. Even if the stock price moves in line with expectations, they may still incur losses due to the loss of time value or a decrease in implied volatility. In contrast, the seller can benefit from the passage of time. I prefer to collect premium at the price I'm willing to buy through Cash-Secured Put options. Alternatively, after holding the underlying shares, sell the **Covered Call**. However, a higher win rate for sellers does not necessarily mean better returns. In the event of a sharp drop or surge in stock prices, the losses and opportunity costs may far exceed the premium received. Before trading, I focus on checking three key indicators: **Implied volatility IV, bid-ask spread, and expiration time. ** Especially before earnings reports, we cannot only focus on high premium; we must also be wary of the huge price risks reflected in volatility. My principle: I'd rather earn less premium than sell risks I can't afford. ** Options trading is not simply about choosing buyers or sellers, but about choosing strategies that suit the current market environment, risk tolerance, and investment objectives. Time is the seller's friend, but risk management is the guarantee of long-term profitability! ** 🐯
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TigerClub
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11-04 15:06

Benedict Lim's Playbook: Options Explained With a House (Why Education Comes Before Everything)

Speaker: Benedict Lim, U.S. options trainer and host of one of Singapore's largest retail investor meetup groups, as he explains options from scratch for first-timers using one simple idea: buying a house. [About the Speaker] Benedict Lim is the host of one of the largest retail investor meetup groups in Singapore, and a stock market trainer on U.S. options with over 15 years of experience in the stock markets. He is also a veteran of the banking industry, having worked at top global banks including Standard Chartered, DBS and HSBC, with over a decade as a financial analyst, business analyst and wealth manager. [The Hook] Benedict opened by tackling the reputation head-on: options are called dangerous, but he argued the danger comes from not knowing what you are doing. Driving a car is dan
Benedict Lim's Playbook: Options Explained With a House (Why Education Comes Before Everything)
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Tiger_Futures Pro
·
11-04 14:29

Macro Strategy Weekly: Midterms Could Spark a Rally? But Three Bigger Risks Remain

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Divided Government Could Restrict Policy Progress and Reduce Uncertainty Following the Republicans’ loss of their majorities in both chambers of Congress in the midterm elections, Trump will face greater constraints and more negotiation over policy during the following two years. This may reduce policy efficiency, although it could also limit the market impact of unexpected measures and create a more stable environment. 2. AI Investment Is Driving a Valuation Reset, With Limited Evidence
Macro Strategy Weekly: Midterms Could Spark a Rally? But Three Bigger Risks Remain
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Trade_To_Win_Campaign
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11-04 14:33

【10.26–11.01】🏆 Weekly Review | One Trader Banked Nearly S$480K, Another Had Just 0.08% Drawdown! What Stands Out About Their Trades?

DBS shares fell over the week, yet the Prestige champion realised nearly S$480K in profits from the stock! The runner-up booked gains in both Micron and SK hynix during a week marked by a major memory-chip earnings release. What can investors learn from these two performances? Quick recap of last week's rankings: Prestige Top 3: 🥇@10c09cbb, 🥈@erickhoosg , 🥉@Lingg07 Elite Top 3: 🥇@ootnitsuj , 🥈@Bryantjx , 🥉@yfl32 Team Top 3: 🥇DCA, 🥈Wheelers, 🥉K
【10.26–11.01】🏆 Weekly Review | One Trader Banked Nearly S$480K, Another Had Just 0.08% Drawdown! What Stands Out About Their Trades?
TOP1PC: Congratulations to All the Winners 🥳🏆 @DiAngel @Aqa @Shyon @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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程俊Dream
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11-04 14:08

Monthly Reversal Alert for US Stocks: Crash Ahead orMore Range-Bound Battles?

Our Nasdaq short position was filled near last week’s rebound high, shortly before the market fell sharply and formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the monthly chart. At this sensitive point in the fourth quarter, is the decline the beginning of a trend reversal or merely another interruption in the slow US equity bull market? $納指100ETF(QQQ)$ $納指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ $納斯達克(.IXIC)$ $NQ100指數主連 2612(NQmain)$ $微型NQ100指數主連 2612(MNQmain)$ The bottom line is that the market may reboun
Monthly Reversal Alert for US Stocks: Crash Ahead orMore Range-Bound Battles?
TOPyonglh: With US stocks or S&P hitting historical high for a few years, investors will definitely get jitters on when will it crash. Everyone will always hope to sell at it’s peak.
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StockWisdoms
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11-04 10:41

AMD Q3 2026: Data Center Inflection & 2027 Raise

$美国超微公司(AMD)$Earnings Call Insights: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 2026 Management View "The third quarter was the largest and most profitable in our history as we began ramping our next-generation data center products." (Chair, President & CEO Lisa Su) "Revenue increased 45% year-over-year to $13.4 billion" and "Earnings per share grew even faster, increasing 74% to $2.09." (Chair, President & CEO Su) "Data center revenue growth has accelerated sequentially every quarter this year" and "the segment contributing 64% of total revenue in the third quarter, up from 47% just 1 year ago." (Chair, President & CEO Su) "We expect that acceleration to continue in the fourth quarter" driven by "inference and agentic workloads" a
AMD Q3 2026: Data Center Inflection & 2027 Raise
TOPpixelo: 64% to 80% is the real rerating path here. If Helios and MI450 ramp cleanly, the mix shift matters more than the PC drag
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StockWisdoms
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11-04 10:44

SMCI Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record Revenue, Higher FY Guidance and Margin Normalization

$超微电脑(SMCI)$Earnings Call Insights: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Q1 FY2027 Management View "Q1 revenue reached $19.9 billion, between the high end of our preannouncement and well ahead of our original outlook of $15 billion," said (Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Charles Liang), tying the quarter’s surge to customers adopting "our AI and IT total solutions" and emphasizing that "our Data Center Building Block Solution, DCBBS, are central to this growth." Liang said profitability improved with mix and DCBBS contribution, stating, "Non-GAAP gross margin expanded by 330 basis points year-over-year to 12.8%." He also highlighted manufacturing expansion plans and output targets: "we are actively expanding our ph
SMCI Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record Revenue, Higher FY Guidance and Margin Normalization
TOPglitzii: Customer concentration plus margin normalization sounds fragile. If power and component bottlenecks persist, how much of the software and services mix can really offset that?
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JC888
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11-04 11:02

SOFI's $32 peak : Rally or Pipe Dream ?

Earnings & Diversification Thesis On Tue, 27 Oct 2026, $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ announced its Q3 2026 earnings. It was a solid set of numbers. Coupled with management’s upwards revision of the bank’s 2026 outlook, sent the stock higher. Since earnings release, SOFI has climbed about +14.79%. (see below) Given the recent run over AI-related stocks, US market (in particular Nasdaq) has been rather volatile - affecting SOFI’s rally in the process. However, SOFI remains poised for a big move as the fintech is well positioned to diversify revenue and deliver profitable growth. Q3 2026 Earnings Report Card. Financial Highlights Net Revenue (GAAP) was $1.4 billion; this is up +44% YoY. Net Revenue (adjusted) came in at $1.37 billion vs Wall Str
SOFI's $32 peak : Rally or Pipe Dream ?
TOPEllisBird: I would not call it insulated yet. Loan mix still drives the story, and credit stress can hit the rerating faster than fee growth can offset it
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daz999999999
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11-04 11:05

US$1 Trillion For SpaceX (SPCX) To Build AI 🥲🎉🚀✅🥸🤩

$SpaceX(SPCX)$   Pershing Square Capital founder Bill Ackman says Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ:SPCX) CEO Elon Musk‘s ambitious data center and AI compute goals could lead to the company acquiring unprecedented levels of debt. Elon Musk May Need to Borrow $1 Trillion During an appearance at an event in Mexico City on Saturday, Ackman was asked whether he believed that the amount of spending and debt required to build AI infrastructure was sustainable. “I think it is sustainable because intelligence is an enormously valuable asset,” and that the demand for compute will be sustained. Read Also: Elon Musk Blinks? Tesla’s Terafab May Reportedly Lean on TSMC After All Ackman also said that “the hypers
US$1 Trillion For SpaceX (SPCX) To Build AI 🥲🎉🚀✅🥸🤩
TOPglowzi: $1T debt is the part that breaks the story for me. 62.46% gross margin looks great, but capex this heavy can wreck cash flow fast
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Pinkspider
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11-04 10:45

ELECTION DAY

ELECTION DAY FUTURES UPDATE: 1. S&P 500: -0.9% 2. Dow Jones: -0.5% 3. Nasdaq 100: -1.9% 4. Crude Oil: -1.0% 5. Gold: +0.7% The Nasdaq 100 is now trading at its lowest level since July 26th. Markets are pricing-in a near-certain Democrat "sweep."
ELECTION DAY
TOPpeppywoo: July 26 lows sound scary, but Q3 dips on the Nasdaq usually get bought fast. Feels more like reset than panic
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Pinkspider
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11-04 11:00
BREAKING: The S&P 500 is now on track to open below 7,500 for the first time since July 31st as markets price-in a Democrat victory in both the House and Senate. Nasdaq 100 futures are now down more than -2% tonight.
BREAKING: The S&P 500 is now on track to open below 7,500 for the first time since July 31st as markets price-in a Democrat victory in both the Hou...
TOP爱喝水的小猫猫: Currently the market is very volatile. People are in extreme fear, but history seems to be telling us that holding on and riding the tide will eventually bear fruits
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Kentzw
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11-03 14:03

Stocks to Watch as AI Spending Fears Build

US markets are entering another important trading session, with investors balancing AI spending concerns, earnings announcements and uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections. Monday’s session ended with mixed results. The S&P 500 slipped 0.52%, while the Nasdaq fell 1.1%. Technology and AI-related shares remained under pressure, suggesting investors are becoming more selective about companies exposed to the AI investment cycle. Here are five stocks I am watching today. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  – The Biggest Earnings Test AMD is at the top of my watchlist ahead of its earnings announcement after today’s market close. The company has guided for approximately $13 billion in quarterly revenue and a non-GAAP gross margin o
Stocks to Watch as AI Spending Fears Build
TOPOYoung: NVDA still looks like the cleaner AI sentiment read to me, especially if data center growth stays above 100%. AMD guidance matters, but the reaction will tell more than the print.
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Coco made me do it
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11-03 19:43

AXP 3Q26: Solid Print, But the Flywheel Is Getting More Expensive

AXP $AXP Energy Ltd(AXP.AU)$ reported a solid 3Q26. Revenue rose 9% to $20.06B. Adjusted EPS rose 13% to $4.68. Card fees rose 16%. Credit improved. But GAAP EPS rose 31%, and about $1.11 of that came from the GBTG equity sale. The headline overstates underlying momentum. Our concern is not demand. It is flywheel economics. CMS/card fees rose to 68% from 58%. Benefit costs are absorbing more of each card-fee increase. NIM expansion is deposit-driven and near its limit. At 16-17x forward P/E, the stock looks fairly valued. We stay Neutral. Earnings quality: The 31% GAAP EPS growth isn't the right operating benchmark. Adjusted EPS +13% is. Three one-offs boosted GAAP: the GBTG sale, provision release, and a lower tax rate. Provisions fell to $985M
AXP 3Q26: Solid Print, But the Flywheel Is Getting More Expensive
TOPBingGibbon: Closed loop plus premium spend is still the part people underweight. If card fees held 16% while credit improved, the moat is not narrowing that fast
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Deonc
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11-03 19:45

Shy Alphabet shares drops nore then 10%

$Alphabet(GOOG)$   $Alphabet(GOOGL)$    the drop is not one bad number but a Q3 report (released after the close on 2026-10-28) that hit three nerves at once — search advertising decelerated, AI capex is still climbing, and free cash flow fell sharply. The stock gapped from $324.89 on 10-28 to $283.82 on 10-29 (−12.6% in a day), the worst session since March 2020, and has kept drifting to $278.99  What actually happened in the numbers Item Detail Q3 revenue ~$119.8bn, +24.2% YoY (revenue growth itself was fine)  Search ads Growth slowed to the weakest in five quarters — the core cash-cow engine  Capex Plans kept a
Shy Alphabet shares drops nore then 10%
TOPNatalieTommy: The capex scare is fair, but the real test is whether Cloud and AI revenue catch up over the next few quarters. Search slowing hurts, still hard to call this broken
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Coco made me do it
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11-03 19:51

ServiceNow (NOW) Q3 2026: The Demand Is Real, but the "Perfect Setup" Just Broke

The market wanted perfection. Despite a strong earnings beat, the stock fell 24% on earnings day. Why? Because after a 66% YTD run fueled by the AI narrative, expectations were flawless. The 24% drop isn't about demand collapsing. $ServiceNow(NOW)$ It's a brutal valuation reset triggered by decelerating cRPO guidance and accounting optics. The underlying business is firing on all cylinders: $5M+ net new ACV deals surged 135% YoY to 19 deals, and the annual AI ACV target was raised to $1.7B. But the stock is now paying the price for a compressed margin profile and a cautious Q4 guide. 1. Why the 24% Drop? The "Triple Whammy" of Optics If deals are surging, why did GAAP net income plummet 45% to $277M and GAAP subscription gross margin fall from 80%
ServiceNow (NOW) Q3 2026: The Demand Is Real, but the "Perfect Setup" Just Broke
TOPAllenBartlett: Those 19 large ACV deals up 135% and the 1.7B AI ACV target matter more to me than one ugly margin quarter. Revenue quality still looks stronger than the selloff
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Kelvin 梁
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11-04 07:06
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) watchlist put hedges are expensive relative to recent history. The 30-day IV is 21.44% , at the 84.06th percentile , and IV is 1.94× the historical-volatility reference. That means buyers are paying a substantial volatility premium for protection rather than simply paying for expected realized moves. Using the 2026-12-04 expiry—about 30 days out—with SPY at US$754.35 : Put strike Moneyness vs. spot Bid–ask Mark premium Approx. cost per 100-share contract Premium as % of SPY spot Breakeven at expiry 750 put 99.42% US$11.84–11.93 US$11.89 ~US$1,189 1.58% US$738.12 730 put 96.77% US$6.88–6.92 US$6.89 ~US$689 0.91% US$723.10 700 put 92.80% US$3.35–3.38 US$3.36 ~US$336 0.45% US$696
SPY
11-04 07:05
USSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Buy
Open
756.26
0
+1.49%
Holding
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) watchlist put hedges are expensive relative to recent history. The 30-day IV is 21.44% ,...
TOPfizzloo: 1.94x IV/HV is rich, but not panic-level rich. The real test is whether realized vol catches up before theta bleeds the 750s.
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