Last week, the pendulum oscillating between Jobs and Inflation reports have swung back to Jobs. Did the reports manage to exert any influence on US market sentiments, let’s find out. Jobs & other US reports out this week include: Tue, 05 May 2026 - US Trade balance for March 2026. Tue, 05 May 2026 - S&P final US services PMI for April 2026. Tue, 05 May 2026 - Jobs opening & Labour turnover surveys (JOLTs) for March 2026. Tue, 05 May 2026 - ISM services for April 2026. Wed, 06 May 2026 - ADP Non-farm payroll report for April 2026. Thu, 07 May 2026 - Jobless claims - weekly & continuing. Fri, 08 May 2026 - US Consumer sentiments (Prelim) for May 2026. Fri, 08 May 2026 - US Non-farm payroll for April 2026.. US Trade Balance. The US trade balance report for March 2026, showed t

News and my thoughts from the past week (11May2026) The CEOs of SLB, Baker Hughes, and Halliburton, the 3 companies that run the global oil industry's infrastructure, just said the same thing on earnings calls: The Hormuz closure exposed that the global energy system is fundamentally fragile. The system wasn't broken by the war. It was already broken. "Systematically underinvested for a decade." The war just proved it. - X user Mario Nawfal Yes, Kraft Heinz CEO Steve Cahillane said exactly that in a recent interview: “They’re literally running out of money at the end of the month.” He added that lower-income consumers are seeing negative cash flows and dipping into savings. The "most people" part is a slight generalisation. Trump admits he expected oil to hit $200-250 and says "even if

Earnings Calendar (11May2026) The coming week includes several notable earnings releases, including NU, Sea Limited, Alibaba, Cisco, and Applied Materials. Alibaba Alibaba stands out as one of the key names to watch this week ahead of earnings. Recent performance: The stock is up 11.78% from a year ago. Analyst view: Technical analysis points to a strong buy, and analyst sentiment also remains strongly positive. Price target: The average analyst price target is about $185, implying upside of roughly 32% to 35% from recent levels. Valuation: With earnings per share around 5.73 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2, the valuation appears relatively attractive. Financial performance Key financial trends from 2021 to 2025 are summarised below (figures in RMB). · Revenue inc

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 11May2026) Housing Market Existing home sales for April are forecast at 4.05 million units, up from the previous 3.98 million. This is a useful indicator of the overall health of the real estate market. Inflation Data The most closely watched economic release in the coming week will be the April Consumer Price Index (CPI). The forecast is 3.7%, compared with the previous 3.3%. If inflation rises as expected, market volatility may increase. Core CPI will also be important to watch, with a forecast of 0.3% versus the previous 0.2%. Bond Market Signals The bond market remains an important reference point as investors weigh opportunities in stocks versus bonds, with interest rates playing a key role in that decision. This is why the upcoming 10-year

Quiet Week. That's Actually The Goal. Mathematical Money | May 10, 2026 I was away on holiday for most of this week. Light on screen time. Light on trading. Seven trades over the whole week — for context, recent weeks have been running 24 to 49 trades. This week was the quietest the book has had in months. And honestly, that's how it's supposed to look. Most of what I write about on this feed is the active part of the strategy — the rolls, the entries, the loss-takes, the regime adjustments. That stuff makes for better posts. But the truth about a properly built options book is that the active days are the exception, not the rule. Most weeks should look more like this one. Let me show you what actually happened. The Trades That Did Happen MARA puts decayed off cleanly. I had 40 contracts o

Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of "extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace." Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated "Operation Liberty" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the "acceptance of Pakistani mediation." During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-

take profits on companies you have less confidence in their growth over new few years. compnaies that are overvalued and hyped. or if you are trading. keep the strong companies

will $S&P 500(.SPX)$  hit 7300 next? 

Recently, the S&P 500 has maintained strength near its highs, but analyzing from multiple dimensions such as valuation, fund flows, and insider trading reveals that the internal market is not experiencing consistent expansion. The current US stock market is closer to a phase where 'index resilience remains strong, but structural divergence continues to deepen': At the index level, it is still supported by leading heavyweight stocks and capital inflow, but absolute stock-bond valuations are weak, sector valuations are diverging, insider trading signals and the internal strength disparities among the M7 all suggest that the constraints of operating at high levels have not disappeared. This article will systematically review the structural characteristics and potential constraints of curr

From my perspective, I’m not chasing this breakout aggressively. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ at all-time highs is bullish, but narrow breadth is a warning. When only a few names — especially semis — drive gains while the median stock lags, the market becomes more fragile. That said, I’m not bearish either because the AI capex story is still strong. Instead of chasing, I’d rather wait for a pullback or some rotation to reset positioning before adding exposure. Positioning also looks crowded, especially in momentum trades, which increases the risk of sharp reversals. I think laggards like healthcare or staples could catch up if conditions shift, but structurally tech leadership remains int

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Based on a research "The market is looking strong right now after the S&P 500 had a really good month, so I wouldn’t rush to sell everything just because of the “Sell in May” saying. That being said, after a big run-up, it wouldn’t be surprising to see some pullbacks or choppy days. A smart move would be to stay invested if you’re long term, but maybe take some profit on stocks that already ran too much. So my take is: don’t panic sell, but don’t get too greedy either. The trend still looks bullish, but it’s a good time to be careful and manage risk."

Berkshire is sitting on $397 billion worth in cash. Nothing to buy.  Nothing to see. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$  

S&P 500 Just Logged Its Best Month Since 2020 — Is "Sell in May" a Trap or a Promise? April just wrapped up with a historic, face-ripping rally that caught the bears completely off guard. The S&P 500 closed at all-time highs, surging a massive 10.4% for the month, while the Nasdaq ripped an eye-watering 14.8% — printing the strongest single-month return we’ve seen since the post-COVID euphoria of 2020. Now, as we step into a new month, the oldest adage in Wall Street history is staring us right in the face: "Sell in May and go away." But with momentum running this hot and historical data painting a very different picture, stepping in front of this freight train might be the most dangerous trade you can make right now. 1️⃣ The Anatomy of the April Face-Ripper Let’s get one thing str

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🔥 The Pulse $S&P 500(.SPX)$ April just delivered the $S&P 500(.SPX)$'s best monthly performance since the COVID rebound euphoria of November 2020, closing at 7,209.01 with a blistering +10.4% gain. This wasn't just momentum — it was a capital rotation masterclass. A softer USD, Fed easing expectations baked in, and selective megacap earnings beats created the perfect storm. But here's the twist: while $GOOGL and $CAT soared +10% on blowout results, $META crashed -8.6% and $MSFT slipped -3.9% in the final session. The bull is alive, but it's picking favorites. The question: Do we chase into May, or does the old adage "Sell in May and go away" finally apply? 📊 Key News: The Numbers That Moved Markets $Ca

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   Data suggests you should not blindly "sell in May." Despite the S&P 500 reaching new highs as of May 1, 2026, historical analysis shows the May-October period is weaker but still often positive, with significant underperformance concentrated in late summer, not early May. Staying invested frequently outperforms this strategy.Key Considerations for "Sell in May":Weakened Strategy: While May to October is historically the weakest six-month period (averagi@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerEvents