To The Moon

Below is a concise, professional take — within a market-commentary tone and aligned with your SG-UK English preference.

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1. Was last week’s Nvidia sell-off a dangerous sign?

Not necessarily. The pullback looked more like pre-earnings de-risking than a structural reversal. After a year of sharp gains, funds often trim positions ahead of binary events. However, it does reflect heightened sensitivity to valuations — expectations are extremely high, and even a “good” report may not be enough if guidance is soft.

2. Can Nvidia beat as usual and lift the market?

Yes — operationally, Nvidia has a strong track record of beating both revenue and EPS, and demand for AI accelerators remains solid. If data-centre growth stays above market expectations and supply constraints ease, another beat is very possible. Such a print would likely stabilise sentiment in AI names, at least temporarily.

3. Or will the tech sell-off accelerate?

If Nvidia misses on revenue, margin, or guidance — or signals slower hyperscaler orders — the market could react sharply. Tech valuations are stretched, option-market implied volatility is elevated, and positioning is crowded. A disappointment could widen the correction across semiconductors, mega-cap tech, and AI infrastructure names.

4. Can Nvidia close above US$200 this Friday?

It is possible, but depends entirely on the earnings tone.

If the report beats with strong guidance: Nvidia can reclaim US$200 quickly.

If results are mixed: It may hover below US$190–200 as volatility crushes premiums.

If guidance disappoints: A close below US$180 is also plausible.

In short: the direction hinges entirely on guidance. Nvidia remains the single most important catalyst for AI-linked sentiment this week.