278
·
2025-12-18
AEO: Sector Leader or Overextended Trap?
$American Eagle Outfitters(AEO)$ Haven't commented on any single stock for a while now. AEO is looking "interesting". (Hat tip @RealSimpleAriel for spotting the idea)Remember:- Apparel is hot. They are one of the leading sectors at the moment. Maybe it's a Christmas thing. Retail reported generally very upbeat stats recently.- The entire group is in a strong UP TREND- AEO is one of the leaders in that groupHowever:- Some of them, eg AEO are super extended now. $ANF too, maybe $VSCO . AEO is almost 12x its ATR from its 50SMA, whilst 10X is already very extended (another great tip from @jfsrev ). - Extended does NOT mean it must correct. Markets and stocks can stay overbought for a very long time. However, the risk reward for a short is looking very
1.97K
·
2025-12-18
Four-Day Selloff, But Relative Strength Tells a Different Story
Relative Strength Emerging Across Pockets of the Market During the Four-Day Selloff4 straight days of sustained weakness, wiping out 13 days of index gains since the post-market breadth exercise I shared below, posted ahead of the first red day where I clearly flagged the need for caution. This is a simple exercise anyone could apply, as it’s ultimately a function of short-term breadth extension—levels where the market has historically shown a strong tendency to retrace once breadth becomes this stretched.The latest session was largely news-driven imho, with mega-cap tech in $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ and $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ pressured after reports that funding for
492
·
2025-12-18
From LLY to IWM: How Price Levels Define Risk and Reward
Over the past three weeks, the high probability trades have performed with a high level of accuracy. These setups always include a target price and an invalidation level which, in most cases, is the Central Weekly Level (CWL).The purpose of posting targets is to establish an objective metric based on price action. This gives you an edge in anticipating potential reversals, which is why targets are placed at these specific zones.Take this week, for example. The Weekly Compass anticipated a bullish move for $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ , targeting $505.4 for a 1.2% upside. Price reached that level as early as Monday afternoon but retraced quickly on Tuesday. This illustrates the importance of using levels: once a target is reached, it becomes new su
60.93K
·
2025-12-18
Tesla (TSLA) Extends Rally to Historic High, Pullback Should Find Strong Bid
Tesla (TSLA) recently advanced to a new all‑time high, underscoring the strength of bullish momentum in the market. The short‑term Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the cycle from the November 14, 2025 low has concluded as a clear impulse structure. From that low, wave 1 terminated at $423.69, followed by a corrective decline in wave 2 that ended at $383.76. The upward progression then resumed, with wave 3 extending to $458.87. A modest pullback in wave 4 concluded at $435. The final advance in wave 5 reached $496.16, as illustrated on the 45‑minute chart. This marked the completion of wave (1) at a higher degree and simultaneously closed the cycle that began on November 14. After this peak, the stock entered a corrective phase in wave (2), unfolding internally as a zigzag pattern. From
TOPPhoenixWhitman: Solid wave analysis Though I reckon wave B might test $470 before reversal. Tight stops under $435[看跌]
1.37K
·
2025-12-18
Weekly Contributor (8-15 Dec): 17 Posts Win $5-$15 Vouchers! Come on & Share Your Winning Trades!
Thank you all so much for your contributions every week! And my apologies for the delay in distributing this week’s rewards. But—good news—the vouchers have now been issued, and you can check them in your account~Each week, we will select 10 picked posts + 10 idea posts, for a total of 20 winning posts.From 12.8-12.15: Weekly Awards1. Among the Picked Posts, the top 5 posts with the most consumption (the longest viewing time) will receive a $15 voucher.Winning this award means your post not only attracted a large number of Tigers to click in, but also kept them reading for a long time—either because your information was valuable or your formatting made it easy and enjoyable to read.This week’s winning posts are:@koolgal:
TOPCongratulations to All the Winners 🎉🏆 @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @koolgal
1.07K
·
2025-12-18
Option Movers | Oracle's $180 Put Rockets 388%; Cannabis Company Canopy Growth Shows 91% Call Ratio
Wall Street's main indexes closed lower on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq sinking to three-week lows as nagging worries about the artificial intelligence trade weighed on technology stocks.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 55,757,066 contracts was traded on Wednesday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $Tesla(TSLA)$, $Nvidia(NVDA)$, $Broadcom(AVGO)$, $Palantir(PLTR)$, $Oracle(ORCL)$, $AMD(AMD)$, $Netflix(NFLX)$, $Strategy(M
1.04K
·
2025-12-18
$ASML 20260102 1120.0 CALL$ ASML covered calls: took profit early (made ~$2K, missed ~$8K) Sharing a lesson from an ASML covered call. I sold 10 calls a bit too aggressively. If I’m honest, it was pure reckless greed because the premium looked great, so I sized up. Ate up margin like crazy cos it was majority naked call. I bought them back for about $2K profit, but if I’d held longer, the premium kept decaying and it would’ve been closer to ~$8K. In hindsight, I exited “too early”. The real takeaway isn’t just timing, it’s position sizing. When you sell too many calls, your emotions start managing the trade for you! And as expiry gets closer, gamma risk ramps up: the option’s delta can change fast on small s
TOPGamma risk is real lah! Better cut position size next time[666][吃瓜]
1.16K
·
2025-12-18
"How to Trade a Double Diagonal Spread in Singapore ?"
If you expect the market to move slowly over time but don’t want to guess direction, the Double Diagonal Spread is one of the most flexible strategies in options trading. This structure lets you profit from time decay and gradual movement, while keeping your risk controlled — perfect for high-income traders in Singapore who want smart, adaptable exposure. Let me ask you first 👇 What if you didn’t have to be right on direction… or timing? What Is a Double Diagonal Spread? You combine: 1️⃣ Sell a short-term call 2️⃣ Sell a short-term put 3️⃣ Buy a longer-term call (higher strike) 4️⃣ Buy a longer-term put (lower strike) The short-term options decay faster. The long-term options protect you and keep future flexibility. This creates a structure that benefits from time passing and gentle moveme
TOPB! Adaptability always wins in real markets. 🚀
1.31K
·
2025-12-18
Both gold and silver are experiencing significant strength, but their drivers and potential paths for 2026 differ. Here is a breakdown of the key drivers, performance outlooks, and institutional forecasts for both metals over the next 12 months and beyond. 🏆 Key Drivers for Gold in 2026 The primary forces expected to influence gold prices in the coming year stem from macroeconomic conditions and sustained demand: · Geopolitics & Market Risk: Ongoing trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and rising "tail-risk" events continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. · Monetary Policy & the Dollar: Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and a potential weaker U.S. dollar would lower the opportunity cost of holding gold. · Central Bank Demand: This remains a structural pillar of suppo
TOPWith today's inflation report being good, gold probably has reason to cross the ATH mark and go to $5000. Won't take long. Silver already almost there, might top for now around $70.
9.78K
·
2025-12-18
🎁 What the Tigers Say | Santa Rally in Doubt? Can BOJ Tightening Shake Global
Hi Tigers, Welcome to “What the Tigers say”This is a weekly column planned to share the great opinion from Tigers on a specific topic and today our Theme is Santa Rally & BOJ.As markets head into December, the usual expectations of a Santa Rally are being tested by an unexpected source: the Bank of Japan. With the BOJ signaling a potential shift away from ultra-loose policy, investors are reassessing one of the longest-standing pillars of global liquidity.For years, Japan’s easy money environment has supported yen-funded carry trades and risk appetite across U.S. equities, crypto, and growth assets. Even a modest policy shift now raises a critical question:Is this just a temporary pause in year-end momentum — or the start of a deeper pullback driven by a global liquidity reset?This wee
TOPI see a BOJ tightening causing a temporary volatility spike rather than a sustained unwind. Much of the yen carry trade risk is already priced in, and unless we see abrupt yen strength or disorderly moves in global yields, this is more of an adjustment than a liquidity shock. Clarity from the BOJ should help stabilize markets. For a delayed Santa Rally, I’m not going fully defensive or all-cash. I prefer keeping dry powder while selectively buying dips in quality growth and AI names. In a later, narrower rally, stock selection matters more than broad exposure. BOJ-driven liquidity fears dominate near-term headlines, but earnings and Fed policy remain the real anchors. As long as corporate results hold and the Fed stays supportive, much of the BOJ pressure can be absorbed. Santa may arrive late, but cancellation isn’t my base case. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
2.38K
·
2025-12-18
Will the Fed Chair Race Spark Another Stock Pullback? Beware a Silver Correction Risk
The U.S. stock market saw a pullback, and while a decline in equity indices is entirely normal, an intraday headline made the move particularly noteworthy. Markets had largely assumed the next Federal Reserve Chair would be White House chief economic adviser Kevin Hassett. However, last Friday (local time), President Trump said that as he considers a successor to Powell, he is leaning toward “two Kevins”—Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Although Hassett has been viewed as the front-runner, Trump noted that after a 45-minute White House meeting with Warsh on Wednesday, Warsh has also entered his top tier of preferred candidates. That news contributed to a pullback in U.S. equity indices, suggesting that markets view Warsh as a relatively hawkish option whose comments may be amplified further,
TOPSilver's volatility needs tight stops. Options collar strategy works better[看跌]
2.36K
·
2025-12-18
TA Education 7｜NVDA Breaks Below 5-Day MA: Will Selloff Accelerate?
Hi, tigers! Here is Part 2 of MA: another 4 trading principles. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Minor Breakdown: Fleeting Pullback OpportunityThe Pattern: This occurs when the price momentarily dips below a rising Moving Average but quickly recovers and closes back above it. Crucially, the Moving Average line itself maintains its upward slope throughout the event.Market Implication: This signals a classic "shakeout" or "bear trap" rather than a genuine reversal. It suggests that the dip was an emotional overreaction that cleared out weak hands, leaving the primary uptrend intact and poised to resume.Mechanism: The brief drop triggers stop-loss orders situated just below the MA, creating a pool of liquidity. Institutional traders use this opportunity to accumulate positions at a "discoun
TOPFrom my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a decisive reclaim of key MAs to shift structure. Until then, patience and confirmation matter more than prediction. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
1.56K
·
2025-12-18
BoJ Rate Hike This Week Raises Downside-Break Risk for the Dollar
Year-end is usually a quiet period, when markets thin out and traders take time off—but hold on and get through this week first. For FX traders in particular, after several years of dull price action, the key that could set a major move in motion for 2026 may well be this week.More specifically, beyond the Bank of Japan’s impending rate hike, close attention also needs to be paid to possible shifts in monetary policy at the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. If the major G7 central banks all choose to bring their easing cycles to an end, while the United States—under a new Fed chair in the future—moves against that trend, then the trend driven by rate differentials/spread differentials could be enormous.The U.S. Dollar Index has already shown signs of weakening across 2025; s
TOPBrace for volatility! Central banks shifting gears could spark some wild moves. Let's see if the yen holds up post-hike 🧐
48.04K
·
2025-12-18
SoFi Dips: Buy the Growth, Ignore the Noise.
The Fall. Unsure if you have noticed but $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ has recently taken a beating. It happened around Fri, 5 Dec 2025. The fall was a direct reaction to the company’s announcement on Thu, 4 Dec 2025 (after market closed) that it planned to sell $1.5 billion in new common stock (an equity raise). Shares dipped over -6% immediately in after-hours trading. When trading resumed on Friday, it opened approx. -7.3% lower, due to shareholder dilution. (see below) This is because the new shares were priced at a discount of about -7% (at $27.50 per share) compared to prior day's close of $29.60 per share. From 05 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, SoFI has fallen by -9.04% (-$2.51) to $25.27 per share. The Action. Many were stumped by SoFi’s Manage
759
·
2025-12-17
🚀 Silver Breaks All-Time Highs: Is $100 Next or Is the Top In? $64. It finally happened. Silver has officially smashed through historical resistance, breaking new all-time highs and doing something almost unthinkable: flipping the price of Oil. Everywhere you look—Twitter/X, headlines, Tiger—the buzz is deafening. But for every trader celebrating, there are ten others staring at the chart asking the most dangerous question in finance: “Did I miss the boat?” Let’s cut through the noise. Here is the real data on why Silver is moving, why this rally is structurally different from 2011 or 1980, and the massive risks you need to manage right now. 1️⃣ The "Dual Engine" Driving the Melt-Up Silver is often called “Gold’s volatile little brother,” but that view is outdated. Gold is a safe haven; Si
915
·
2025-12-17
I have held $Micron Technology(MU)$ in the past but now I just have $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$. Bigger, better, faster, stronger. Not bothered about tomorrow. More focused on 1 to 5 years out. I just collect more on the dips. I buy something every week. Whatever is cheap this week comparative to my long term thesis. I do not subscribe to a chip or Ai or data center bubble in the next few weeks. Realistically the narrative will change tomorrow, or next week. I set a course, and follow that course. Obviously I keep an eye out for a massive storm, or a change in the direction of the wind. But the wind is changing direction daily ATM and its only b
TOPSmart strategy mate![强]Accumulating quality on dips beats chasing pumps How's your NVDA/AMD allocation split looking?
748
·
2025-12-17
DBS vs UOB: The 31% Gap & The $40.80 Target (SGX Stock News 17 Dec 2025) 🦖 EP1321
🟩 Waking up to see DBS hitting record highs while your UOB position bleeds red is a terrifying feeling for any Singaporean investor. In 2025, we are witnessing a massive 30% performance gap between our local banks, leading many to ask a dangerous question: "Did I pick the wrong horse?" This video tackles the anxiety of holding laggards while the rest of the market rallies, and investigates whether your retirement capital is actually at risk or if you are staring at a misunderstood opportunity. We go beyond the headlines to explain the historic "decoupling" happening in the SGX right now. I break down the specific credit risks weighing on UOB versus the wealth management engine driving DBS, and why the market is pricing them so differently. We also dive into Singtel's massive S$6.4 billion
TOPDBS's wealth focus vs UOB's credit risk-which side you on?[吃瓜]
1.36K
·
2025-12-17
🌟🌟🌟Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally? Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout : Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen
TOP[看跌]MACD divergence flashing red, classic reversal signs mate
1.09K
·
2025-12-17
🌟🌟🌟When price hits a key moving average, is it better to add with the trend or wait for confirmation? The 1st approach is more aggressive approach & involves buying or selling immediately the moment the price touches the moving average & assuming the long term trend will continue. The advantage is you get the best possible entry price if the trend is strong & immediate. However you risk catching a falling knife. This may lead to significant losses if the trend reverses. The 2nd approach of waiting for confirmation is a more prudent approach. This strategy involves waiting for a signal. This could be a specific candlestick pattern or bounce in momentum indicators, before entering the trade. This approach reduces the risk & filters out the fakeouts or
TOPNice Sharing 😁 1st approach is for the Kamikaze [Chuckle], 2nd approach is for the Kamikaze survived the 1st approach & returned with bandages 🤕 [LOL]. @JC888 @Barcode @DiAngel @Shyon @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa
500
·
2025-12-17
BoJ's recent and near future policy tightening, like interest rate hikes, can be expected to increase market volatility and could also lead to further falls in certain risk assets & cryptocurrencies in the near term. The potential for a significant market fall, however, is perhaps overplayed- it could be an episodic volatility rather than a systemic meltdown. Much of the immediate impact of a potential Dec rate hike is already factored into current market prices, which could mitigate a sharp, immediate shock. What would be more important is the forward guidance and the pace of future hikes in 2026. Lastly, divergence between the BoJ's tightening policy and other central banks like the Fed, which might be cutting rates in 2026 is a key driver of current market dynamics.