To The Moon

The sell-off looks less like a thesis break and more like a valuation reset meeting execution uncertainty. Whether it creates upside depends on time horizon. 1. Why the market reacted sharply Blackwell timing risk: Delays matter because Nvidia’s valuation assumes uninterrupted upgrade cycles. Any slip compresses near-term revenue visibility. AI capex durability fears: Markets are shifting from “build at any cost” to ROI scrutiny. Hyperscalers are still spending, but investors now question growth acceleration, not growth itself. Custom silicon narrative: ASICs from hyperscalers (TPU-like designs) create headline risk, though they typically complement rather than replace Nvidia’s ecosystem. 2. Have risks been addressed? Partially Management commentary and channel checks suggest demand is not

These three updates collectively signal a transition phase in the AI cycle. Growth remains strong, but markets are now rewarding efficiency and visibility, not merely expansion. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM) – growth stabilising, expectations too high 12% YoY growth, fastest in two years, confirms enterprise software demand is improving. The issue is guidance. Slightly soft FY2027 outlook tells investors AI monetisation will be gradual, not explosive. Market takeaway: Salesforce is shifting from restructuring-driven margin expansion to steady AI productivity gains. Implication: Not a demand problem. It is a valuation problem. Investors already priced stronger acceleration. --- 2. C3.ai – AI hype meets economic reality 26% workforce reduction signals a pivot toward profitability. Enterprise AI ad

$Nordic American Tankers(NAT)$ last week was exploring taking up a bearish position on this stock. My trade hypothesis was this stock is over pumped and won't sustain $5 after the dividend payout.  This week, first we had news of virtual meeting with B Riley, and now news of B Riley financials' analyst Liam Burke increasing target price from $5 to $7.50. Coincidence? I don't think so.  Better stay away from this stock from now. NAT isn't worth that much and they're trying to liquidate their old assets i.e. they're still trying to sell ships = reducing capacity. With no immediate plans for renewal, that doesn't sound like a company on track for growth. In fact, it'd make more sense if the meeting was to find ways to finance more capital fo

Buckle up, folks— the SaaS world just got a reality check that's sending shockwaves through Wall Street! 🚀💥 With growth slowing and layoffs hitting hard, investors are questioning if this is just a blip or the kickoff to a massive software sector shakeup. Let's dive deep into the latest drama from powerhouse players like Salesforce, C3.ai, and CoreWeave, and what it means for your portfolio. 📊🔍 First up, Salesforce is flexing some serious muscle but still missing the mark on future vibes. Their Q4 haul? A whopping $11.2 billion in revenue, soaring 12% year-over-year—their zippiest sprint in two years! 🏃‍♂️💨 They crushed analyst expectations on the top line, proving cloud CRM is still king. But hold the confetti: Their FY2027 guidance landed at $45.8–46.2 billion, just a hair under the $46.

$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$  $10 Target Price once Lithium market supply tighten by China's rare earth export restriction and Zimbabwe ban on Lithium export persist.  GM $650M investment on LAC valuation: GM's $650 million investment is a transformative event for LAC's valuation, acting as a catalyst that transitions the company's narrative from a high-risk explorer to a funded, strategically-aligned developer with secured future revenue. Its primary impact is not merely the addition of cash to the balance sheet, but the comprehensive de-risking of the entire Thacker Pass project. This de-risking—through secured funding, guaranteed offtake, and powerful strategic endorsement—justifies a higher valuation multipl

🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry of the Big Shot fame, is back in the news.  This time his target is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   His latest warning is that $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ wants NVIDIA to place massive, non refundable orders months in advance.  If AI demand drops suddenly, NVIDIA is left holding a multi billion dollar bag of chips nobody wants. Michael Burry is comparing NVIDIA to Cisco in 2000. However CEO Jensen Huang argues that this isn't an AI bubble as we have moved from "training" to "reasoning" (inference).  Every AI agent like Claude needs constant compute power, making NVIDIA more like a utility than a cyclical tech stock. Nvidia's latest guidance shows that it is struggling

🌟🌟🌟It is so heartening to see that Singapore Airlines $SIA(C6L.SI)$ taking off to  the skies with a 7 month high of SGD 7.19.  This is a validation of a Singapore icon that never lost its core identity even in the toughest of skies. SIA has just delivered a breathtaking SGD 5.51 billion in its latest quarterly revenue - the highest ever recorded.  With a 87.5% load factor, customers are choosing the SIA Experience as a great way to fly, paying extra for the premium experience. The SGD 178 Millon hit from Air India is simply the cost of building a global aerial empire.  It is expected that by 2028, Air India may become the ultimate "alpha engine" of growth for SIA. With a current dividend yield of 4.8%, investors receive a g

Short answer: yes, the pullback likely creates tactical upside, but only if you separate execution risk (short term) from structural demand risk (long term). Right now, the market is repricing the former, not yet the latter. --- 1. Why the market reacted so sharply The selloff reflects a shift from perfect-execution expectations to normal semiconductor execution risk: a) Blackwell rollout delay Nvidia was priced for flawless transition from Hopper → Blackwell. Any delay compresses near-term revenue recognition and pushes hyperscaler deployments slightly outward. Markets discount timing aggressively even if demand remains intact. b) AI capex sustainability fears Investors are questioning whether hyperscalers move from “capacity land-grab” to ROI discipline in 2026. This is a sentiment risk,

The three updates together reveal an important shift inside the AI sector: the market is moving from “AI excitement” to “AI efficiency and execution.” Each company sits at a different stage of that transition. --- 1. Salesforce (CRM): Solid fundamentals, valuation discipline 12% YoY growth and fastest expansion in two years confirms enterprise software demand is stabilising. The slight guidance miss matters because expectations were already high after the AI narrative around Agentforce and automation. Market interpretation Investors now want AI monetisation, not AI features. Salesforce is viewed as a cash-flow compounder, not a hyper-growth AI winner. Implication: Downside likely limited unless enterprise IT spending weakens. Upside depends on proving AI lifts productivity revenue, not jus

1. Stablecoins vs crypto Stablecoins are evolving into financial infrastructure rather than speculative assets. Regulation and payment adoption will push them closer to fintech rail. However, they still inject liquidity into crypto markets, so growth in stablecoins usually supports BTC and majors indirectly. Expect functional divergence but financial interdependence. 2. Chasing Circle after the surge Risk-reward has worsened short term. The rally priced in regulatory optimism and adoption expectations. Further upside now needs execution proof. Momentum may continue, but probability favours consolidation. Taking partial profits or waiting for a pullback is more balanced than chasing. 3. BTC outlook The rebound looks like early bottom formation, not a full bull breakout yet. Institutional

“Operation Roaring Lion” Ignites the Middle East: Is Gold Unstoppable on its Way to $6,300? The geopolitical powder keg has officially detonated, and global markets are violently repricing risk. Israel has launched a massive preemptive strike on Iran dubbed “Operation Roaring Lion,” while President Trump confirmed the U.S. military is simultaneously engaged in multi-day operations targeting Iranian missile and naval infrastructure. With officials telegraphing an intensive campaign to neutralize the threat of nuclear escalation, the ultimate safe-haven asset is catching a generational bid. JPMorgan has poured gasoline on the fire, raising its long-term gold view to $4,500 and aggressively defending a jaw-dropping $6,300 price target for the end of 2026. The question flooding the Tiger Commu

🌟🌟🌟On February 27 2026, OpenAI finalised a staggering USD 110 billion funding round, valuing the company at an eye watering USD 840 billion post funding.  This isn't just an ordinary funding round.  It is a geopolitical statement of intent aimed at one singular goal:  Artificial General Intelligence or AGI. The Quest for the "Silicon Soul": What is AGI? Why is $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  and SoftBank pouring the equivalent of a small country's GDP into OpenAI?  They are chasing AGI - the Holy Grail of computing. Human Level Cognition: Unlike "Narrow AI" that writes code or poems, AGI is the leap to a machin

As humans, we have a tendency to imagine a world that doesn’t yet exist and simplify how easy it will be to get to this imaginary place. In reality, change happens slowly on a day-to-day basis. Yes, a lot has changed in the last few decades, but in many ways, nothing has changed at all. In 1995, Bill Gates became the richest man in the world, a title he’s within striking distance of holding today. In the 1940s, $Coca-Cola(KO)$ became a consumer staple drink, a place it still holds today. $Nike(NKE)$ was the “IT brand” when I was a kid, and 40 years later, Jordan (a Nike creation and brand) is the “IT brand” for my son. $General Motors(GM)$ and

Market crosscurrents are intensifying as defensive positioning collides with bubble warnings and valuation extremes. Berkshire continues to sell and build liquidity, high profile investors flag risks in Nvidia, and the broader index is flirting with its first red month in nearly a year. At the same time, selective strength like Netflix reminds us that capital is rotating, not disappearing. 1. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has now dumped stocks for 12 consecutive quarters, the longest selling streak in its history 🚨🚨 Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway now owns a staggering 5.6% of the entire U.S. Treasury Bill Market 🚨🚨🚨 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Michael Burry warns Nvidia’s bal

Technical risk is rising across mega-cap tech as multiple Monthly BX signals flip dark red. While this doesn’t guarantee a crash, history suggests elevated odds of meaningful pullbacks or prolonged consolidation. In this environment, capital preservation and disciplined rotation matter more than conviction or hope. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ just flashed a dark red, lower low on the Monthly BX. Historically, that usually means a 5%–10% correction before a real bounce. 🚨 No, I’m not shorting. We’ll just rotate: weak tech falls off, stronger sectors (including DOW names) come in. I’d rather miss an ugly bounce than ride a 10% burn. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA has a very real chance of a 20%–30% correction in the n

Markets are entering a decisive phase as multiple big-cap names flash dark red monthly signals. While some trends are still holding, momentum is clearly deteriorating and several charts are now setting up for potential corrections. This is a time for discipline, flexibility, and strict adherence to system rules rather than conviction-driven bias. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Plenty of big tech just printed dark red Monthly BX, but $TSLA is still in Bull Cycle. March needs to bounce or we likely get a sharp correction. System is green so I’m still bullish, but I’m not married to this name. If Bear Cycle confirms, I’m out and the thesis is gone. 2. $Alibaba(BABA)$ BABA ripped 20% off the lows but that move is no