5.19K
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10-30
Earnings Bombs
Thursday was another rough day for the AI trade. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped -0.3%, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell -1.4%. Earlier in the week, Semis rallied 3 straight days on $Anthropic(ANT)$ ’s IPO filing. That bounce didn’t last. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ led the way down today (-12.6%). And after the bell, it got even worse. Fed Recap The Fed held rates steady yesterday at 3.75%-4%. On Sunday, I said this would be a pretty boring FOMC, and it mostly was. The 1 wrinkle was the vote. It was 10-2, with Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack both dissenting in favor of a hike. Cook hadn’t dissented once since joining the Fed in 2022. War
TOPtiger lady: I prefer to accumulate gradually on meaningful pullbacks rather than rush in with a lump sum. I am watching $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ but I will keep some cash available in case volatility continues.
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10-31
4 best Daily Charts - $SPX, $QQQ, $AMZN & $NVDA
The latest selloff has left the market with very different technical setups. Some charts are approaching key support, while others are showing conditions that could favor a short-term relief rally. Here’s what I’m watching: 🔹 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ — 7,668 IS THE LINE TO WATCH The cash open is not expected to be oversold. Price remains comfortably above the lower Bollinger Band, while momentum oscillators are still in neutral territory. A break below 7,668 would cause significant structural damage to the broader trend. 🔹 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ — OVERSOLD, WITH A GAP ABOVE Today's candle came with massive volume and broke below the lower Bollinger Band. An unfilled overhead gap remains on the chart and could act a
TOPThe cash open is not expected to be oversold. Price remains comfortably above the lower Bollinger Band, while momentum oscillators are still in neutral territory. Really?
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10-31
**My little win with Alphabet (Google)\! 🚀💰**
What a roller coaster these past two days with Alphabet (GOOGL)\! The stock had some pretty big moves, and it was definitely an interesting couple of days to watch the market. As someone still relatively new to options trading, I'm learning as I go, and every trade is an experience. This time, I managed to walk away with a **$460 profit\! 🎉** Not a life-changing amount, but definitely a happy moment for me. It's exciting to see a trade work out, especially when I'm still learning and gaining confidence along the way. I'm not an expert trader, just someone exploring the market, making small moves, and enjoying the journey. One trade at a time. Plenty more to learn, and hopefully more little wins ahead\! Sharing this little milestone because I'm happy with the result. 😊 #Alphabet #Google #GO
TOPNice little win, but Google still feels pricey with ad growth cooling and competition heating up. The trade worked out — the business story still looks less comfy to me
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10-31
GOOGL Just Had Its Worst Day Ever — And Revenue Wasn't the Problem
Alphabet just delivered a lesson the market will not forget: in the AI era, growth is no longer enough. Cash flow is the verdict. On Thursday, October 29, Alphabet's Class A shares (GOOGL) plunged 12.64% to $283.82, down $41.07 from Wednesday's $324.89 close. It was the stock's worst single day on record, wiping out roughly $500 billion in market value in one session. The sell-off did not stop there: GOOGL fell another 1.4% on Friday to $279.84. And here is the twist that makes this story worth discussing: the quarter itself was not weak. What Alphabet Actually Reported Third-quarter revenue rose 25% year over year to $127.58 billion. Google Cloud was the standout, with revenue jumping 103% to $30.71 billion. Search revenue grew 12% to $63.35 billion, and operating income rose 30% to $40.6
TOPThanks for sharing. Google is a long term buy and hold for me. QQQ has dropped about 10% now, so I am deploying capital to DCA accordingly to plan.
7.53K
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10-31
AMD fell 10.9% on Friday. After the drop, its options price an earnings move of ±8.8%.
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ That matters to anyone holding options through Tuesday's report. The one-day drop was bigger than the whole priced earnings move. Here is how I read it, and how you can check the same thing on any stock. WHY AMD FELL The driver was the chip sector, not AMD's own news. The chip index fell 7.2% on the day, and its members repriced together. Intel set it off. Its own release guided fourth-quarter revenue to $15.0B to $16.0B, against an LSEG consensus of $17.07B. Intel closed down 28.6% on the day. WHAT THE OPTIONS DID So the options market r
TOPAnother reason is stock markets has drop before election results because of uncertainty. Once the final makeup of the House and Senate is confirmed, even as a split the markets frequently stage a strong "relief rally" because the unknown factor is gone. Next week is crucial.
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10-31
THE SELL-OFF WASN'T A SURPRISE
Yesterday, I shared the $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ chart highlighting major technical cracks across the tape. The sharp bearish reaction to Amazon’s earnings reinforced a high probability of holding Thursday night’s breakdown formation at the very least. Today’s selloff comes as no surprise: while the flush could have extended into next week, the directional bias was south following last night’s close. The broader short setup began taking shape on Tuesday after indecisive price action printed a series of lower highs that again, I posted in my daily note. While Wednesday traded relatively neutral, corporate earnings served as the downside catalyst after the bell, just as noted on Tuesday when highlighted that rate hike probabilitie
TOPRemember, remember, I'll be home. Remember, remember, I'll be home. DJDJ, Your Majesty the Emperor, where are you going? Wait for you, wait for you, wait for you, your man, your woman.
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10-31
Intel Has Suffered a Historic Sell-Off. Is Buying the Dip a Mistake?
When a major technology stock falls sharply in a single trading session, the natural reaction for some investors is to look for a buying opportunity. Intel is a good example of why that approach can be dangerous. Following its latest earnings report, Intel experienced one of its worst daily share-price declines in decades. Despite reporting its quarterly results, the company’s forward guidance disappointed investors, raising concerns about how quickly its turnaround can translate into sustainable financial performance. What makes this situation interesting is that some analysts believe investors should stay away, even after such a significant decline. As investment consultant Dan Kemp put it: “A cheaper stock does not necessarily offer better value.” I think this is an important point wort
TOPNot a dip buy yet. With revenue up 25.42% but net margin at -68.41%, I care more about whether foundry customer wins are actually showing up than the headline drop.
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10-31
The Magnificent 7 Are Losing Their Earnings Edge. Is the Market Entering a New Phase?
For much of the past few years, the Magnificent 7 have dominated the US stock market. Their leadership has been supported by strong earnings growth, enormous cash reserves, global market positions and, more recently, the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence. However, the latest third-quarter earnings estimates are raising an interesting question: Is the earnings advantage of these seven technology giants beginning to narrow? According to FactSet earnings analyst John Butters, the blended EPS growth rate for the Magnificent 7 has fallen to 22.6%, compared with 33.6% a month earlier. More surprisingly, the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 are now expected to deliver 32.6% earnings growth. In other words, the broader market is currently expected to grow earnings faster than the co
TOP22.6% vs 32.6% matters less to me than margin durability and cash flow. Feels more like stock picking than one big Mag 7 trade now
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10-31
SpaceX Set the AI Earnings Bar. Why Couldn’t the Rest of Tech Keep Up?
What a difference a few days can make in the stock market. Earlier in the week, SpaceX delivered a stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings report, helping restore confidence in the AI investment story. Yet by Friday, technology stocks were under significant pressure, and SpaceX itself had fallen below its $135 IPO price. The contrast is worth examining. The market is not necessarily losing faith in artificial intelligence. Instead, investors appear to be raising their expectations about how quickly massive AI investments should translate into financial returns. SpaceX: The Earnings Benchmark SpaceX delivered a particularly strong set of third-quarter results on October 20. The company reported: • Revenue of $14.58 billion, up approximately 161% year over year. • Net income of approxi
TOPThat computing infrastructure demand is still the durable part here. Revenue up 161% matters, but the bigger edge is contracted capacity and how hard it is for others to replicate at scale
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10-31
Apple Turns to Alibaba for AI in China. A New Opportunity for Alibaba’s Qwen?
Apple’s latest AI move in China is worth watching, not just because of what it means for iPhone users, but because it highlights how the global AI competition is developing. Apple has announced that the first batch of Apple Intelligence features will begin testing in China on November 4 alongside its iOS developer beta, with a broader rollout expected through the iOS 27.3 update in December. The interesting part is Apple’s choice of AI partner. Rather than relying entirely on its own models, Apple has partnered with Alibaba and will integrate its Qwen large language model to support Apple Intelligence features in mainland China. This is an important development for both companies. 1. Why Apple Needs a Local AI Partner Apple has a strong global ecosystem, but bringing AI features to mainlan
TOPAlibaba and Apple, combination of both hopefully is 1+1>2 n long term story. The built-up of AI in China is different from USA. Chine has cheaper manpower electricity but non-first class chip. Still unknown how will future s AI be? Open source or still frontier AI model......
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10-31
Higher for longer meets the biggest debt since 1946. What 80 years of data say.
Core PCE inflation is 3.1%. In the five cycles since 1990, the Fed has not once started cutting with core PCE inflation at 3% or above. At the same time, US debt is nearly back to 1946 levels. Those two facts pull against each other. Here is what the long record says about each, and a scorecard you can run on any indebted government. 1. THE 3% LINE I looked at the six major cutting cycles from 1989 to 2024, measuring core PCE inflation in the month before each first cut. Since 1990, the highest reading at a first cut was 2.9%, in Sep 2024. The last first cut with core PCE inflation at 3% or more was Jun 1989, at 4.4%. Today core PCE inflation is 3.1%, and the last hike was only 1.5 months ago. Across the six major cutting cycles from 1989 to 2024, the Fed held at its peak for a median 7.5
TOPFrom postwar debt episodes, the bigger tell is whether nominal growth stays above funding cost. Debt/GDP alone misses the rollover pressure part
7.22K
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10-31
A Seasonal Rally Meets a Wall of Uncertainty
October Ends With a Tech-Sector Rout - Halloween horrors Tech Sell Off Wall Street had a far more frightening spectacle on Friday: a sharp selloff led by technology stocks, with $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ tumbling after their latest earnings reports and dragging the broader market lower. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.86%, marking its steepest one-day decline since June 5. The index finished the week down 2% and ended October with a painful 5.3% monthly loss. The damage extended beyond technology. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.09% on Friday, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.82%. Both indexes lost ground for the week, declining 0.6% and 0.9%, respectively. Yet their monthly performances
TOPOctober traditionally has not been a good month for the market. Think of bright side, treat this as a Black Friday sale for the stock market where you are getting some good deals
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10-31
Cash Is the New AI Scorecard. I Ranked Microsoft, Meta and Amazon on Who Gets Paid First.
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$
TOPMeta first, then Microsoft. How are you thinking about capex efficiency once depreciation starts lagging the AI revenue curve?
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10-31
INTC Technical Signal Alert — 31 October 2026
Confirmed high-volume breakdown High significance Intel's Friday session confirmed that the post-earnings sell-off was not confined to after-hours trading. The stock fell sharply on exceptionally high volume and closed near its session low. This is consistent with forced selling or broad institutional repositioning, but it does not prove that a durable price floor has formed. $Intel(INTC)$
TOP65 area looks more like a valuation reset than a floor call. Long term this discount matters more than one ugly flush
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10-31
GOOGLE ZERO: How AI Search Could Change the Internet Forever
When Google Stops Sending Traffic Google Zero For decades, Google has been the internet's most powerful gateway. For publishers, forums, content creators, and businesses, ranking in Google Search meant attracting visitors, building audiences, and generating revenue. That relationship is now changing. As Google increasingly relies on AI Overviews and AI Mode to answer questions directly within Search, users have fewer reasons to click through to external websites. The result is a potentially significant decline in search-driven traffic, a phenomenon increasingly referred to as "Google Zero." And Reddit's latest earnings report may offer one of the clearest early signs of what that future could look like. Reddit Provides a Warning Signal During its latest quarter,
TOPMy strategy: Dollar-cost averaging, collecting income and waiting patiently for better opportunities Sometimes, investing is not about buying the most popular ETF or chasing whichever stock is going up the fastest. It is about understanding market conditions, managing my entry price and deciding where my money can work more effectively.
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10-31
Forget the Fed Pause. Two Votes Just Told Me What I Want to Own Next.
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$
TOPProfitable AI still looks cleaner to me than broad beta here. A 10-2 vote with both dissenters wanting hikes says quality and cash flow matter way more than rate hope
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10-31
The $6.3B Binance Hack Just Exposed Crypto's Biggest Contradiction. And It May Be Bullish for CRCL.
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$
TOPAfter falling so much continuously, are there any signs of bottoming out? It should rebound next week.
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10-31
SanDisk Beat Everything and Still Fell. I Think the Market Is Sending Memory Investors a Warning.
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ SanDisk just delivered numbers that would normally send a stock flying. Revenue: $11.03B, +23% QoQ Non-GAAP EPS: $49.51 Gross margin: 85.1% Data-center revenue: $4.8B, +61% QoQ Adjusted free cash flow: $5.7B Then management guided next quarter to: $12.2B-$12.6B revenue 84.5%-85.5% gross margin $55-$57 EPS And announced an 8-for-1 stock split. Yet SNDK sold off. Investors are understandably asking: WHAT MORE DOES THE MARKET WANT? My answer: Something very different from six months ago. 🔥 SANDISK'S PROBLEM IS NOT THE BUSINESS I want to make this distinction immediately. These numbers do NOT look like the end of a memory cycle. Revenue grew 23% sequentially. Data-center grew 61%. Gross margin expanded. Next-quarter revenu
TOPData-center up 61% and margin still around 85% does not scream peak cycle to me. Feels more like expectations got way ahead of a still-running memory story
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10-31
🔥 NATERA STORY – THE QUIET GIANT EXPLODING RIGHT NOW 🔥
Aiyoh, bro! Let me tell you about the high-tech drama that happened at my prata stall last night. So I was dating this sweet girl, right? Flipping my signature crispy egg prata with double flair—slap, throw, fold! She was inhaling the prata like it was pure gold, dipping it inside curry and smiling until her eyes became two crescent moons. Everything was smooth like hot ghee. Then out of nowhere, she wiped her mouth, looked straight into my eyes, and hit me with the bombshell: "Muthu boy, I'm pregnant... and it's YOUR baby!" WALLAHI?! My prata flip instantly froze in mid-air! I nearly dropped my spatula into the dal curry. I said, "Girl, wait first! How can it be your baby and my baby?! We only go dating for two weeks! I never touch your hand, never touch your pinky finger, only
TOPSo who’s the baby’s father? Don’t kill the suspension! [Facepalm]
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10-31
$SPCX 20261120 130.0 PUT$ SPCX $130 PUT – Expiry: 20 Nov 2026 This trade delivered an impressive 68.35% return! A great reminder that successful trading is not just about chasing profits, but also about patience, discipline, timing, and proper risk management. Every trade is an opportunity to learn, improve, and refine our strategy. Staying focused, following the trading plan, and managing risk are key to achieving consistent results over time. One trade at a time, one step closer to financial goals! 💪💰 #OptionsTrading #SPCX #PutOptions #TradingJourney #ProfitTaking #TradeWithDiscipline
TOP68.35% looks clean, but one win says less than the drawdown profile on short puts. Vol can stay nasty longer than discipline can save you