The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Quick analysis of S&P500 S&P500 closed the day with 6886.24, a gain of 1.02%. Analysts have claimed that the Gulf War losses were wiped out. Let us look at some of the technicals. MACD is on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the 50- and 200-day moving average (MA) lines on the daily interval. This implies bullish in both the short and long term. The 3 exponential moving average (EMA) lines are on the up trend. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains in the selling region even though there is increasing buying momentum. What is concerning is the volume. Volume is the momentum of the trade that is not supported, meaning that the current run may not last. Let us exercise caution and do our due diligence. @TigerStars

News and my thoughts from the past week (13Apr2026) JD Vance says the US delegation will return to America WITHOUT a deal with Iran, but that this outcome is MUCH worse for Iran than the US. “We've been at it for 21 HOURS. We've had substantive discussions...but the bad news is, we have NOT reached an agreement.” “That's bad news for Iran MUCH more than it is bad news for the USA.” - X user Nick Sortor US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called Wall Street leaders to an ‘urgent meeting’ on concerns that the latest AI model from Anthropic will ‘usher in an era of greater cyber risk’, according to Bloomberg report. OpenAI is pausing its Stargate project in the UK due to high electricity cost + regulatory environment - X user Nik Nearly half of the plan

Q1 was clearly not what the market hoped for — sentiment weakened, volatility picked up, and many high-growth names saw pullbacks. But here’s the real question: is this weakness temporary, or the start of something deeper? Personally, I see Q2 as a potential turning point, not because everything suddenly becomes perfect, but because expectations have already been reset lower. A few things I’m watching closely: • Earnings revisions – If companies stop guiding down, that alone can support a rebound • AI & tech spending trends – Still strong structurally, despite short-term fears • Macro pressure – Rates, liquidity, and any policy shifts will drive sentiment fast • Positioning – A lot of fear is already priced in, which creates upside if news is “less bad” Markets don’t rally when things

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As the US-Iran war goes into its 6th week of fighting, we have to be mentally prepared for a worsening of the situation, not unless US stick to its peaceful retreat and not execute another foolish stunt. While the world wait for US to exhibit proof of sincerity, it marches on as it is “business as usual”. Is it really so, when everyone is sucked into this black hole - willingly or otherwise ? Below was US reports released for the week ending 02 Apr 2026. This will be a “last” look at the US economy before quarterly earnings season “takeover”. 31 Mar 2026 - Jobs opening & labour turnover surveys (February). 31 Mar 2026 - US Consumer confidence (March). 01 Apr 2026 - ADP non-farm payroll (March). 01 Apr 2026 - US Retail sales (February). 02 Apr 2026 - Jobless claims - weekly & contin

The start of the Iran conflict on February 28, 2026, has significantly altered the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ landscape. While historical patterns suggest that geopolitical shocks often lead to short-term volatility rather than long-term bear markets, the specific "transmission channels"—primarily oil prices and inflation—are dictating clear winners and losers across sectors. Sectors Likely to Benefit Energy: This is the most direct beneficiary. Brent crude has surged above $107 per barrel, driving a 21.7% gain in the sector since February. Investors are utilizing the "inflation playbook," as higher prices boost margins for oil producers and oilfield services. Defense & Aerospace: Heightened geopolitical tensions typically lead to increased military

The week beginning 30 Mar 2026 marks the closing of Q1 2026 after Tuesday. US market sentiments this week should remain ‘sensitive’ due to the dual pressure of: Cooling technology sector. Persistent inflationary shocks, consequent to the US-Iran conflict, as it enters its 5th week. Investors are entering the week with a "risk-off" posture as US 10-year Treasury yield’s surge to 4.428% (see above) from 2.97% (on 27 Feb 2026), a month ago. While brent oil price has risen to an elevated $112.57 from $71.32 /barrel (on 27 Feb 2026) (see below). This effectively shifts US economy’s narrative from a "soft landing" toward fears of a pronounced stagflationary environment. US market is likely to remain in a defensive "wait-and-see" mode. As of 27 Mar 2026 endday This atmosphere of uncertainty will

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112 Relief rally: Major U.S. indexes gained 3–4% last week, snapping a five-week losing streak. Resurgent oil: U.S. crude climbed to ~$112/barrel Friday—highest since mid-2022—amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions. Golden rebound: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ recovered March losses, rising nearly 4% to trade around $4,700 on last friday. Yields reverse course: Treasury yields slipped after four weeks of gains that pushed 10-year rates to eight-month highs. March decline: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell ~5% in March for back-to-back monthly losses;

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The disappointment of 2026 Q1 was largely driven by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, a spike in Brent crude above $100/barrel, and a shift toward a "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative. However, as we enter the first full week of April, the tone is shifting from panic to a "pensive" recovery. Q2 Market Outlook & Sentiment The consensus for Q2 is cautiously bullish. While Q1 felt like "catching a falling knife," analysts see strong support levels forming. The "TACO" Trade: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pivot by the administration (the "Trump Always Comes Off" trade) to prevent an equity meltdown. Earnings Growth: S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow by 19.1% in Q2, with 9 out of 11 sectors expected to show year-over-year growth. Sentimen

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 30Mar2026) The upcoming period features several significant economic developments and meetings that may introduce volatility into financial markets. Notably, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak, and his remarks could influence market movements. Labor Market Data Job openings are forecasted at 7.0 million, marking an improvement from the previous figure of 6.9 million. This metric is particularly important given the recent wave of retrenchments and layoffs. Initial jobless claims for March are reported at 210,000, and this statistic will serve as a reference point for the Federal Reserve’s impending interest rate decision. Additional employment data includes the US employment report, which stands at 45,000 for March. The une

How I Survive the Brutal Q1 Shakedown & My April 2026 Strategy  🌟🌟🌟As of April 1 2026, the market is catching its breath after a tough first quarter.  The S&P500 has tumbled to 6,300, erasing its early year euphoria and marking a significant retreat from February highs.  While March felt like a non stop horror movie for me, holding a diversified "bunker" of ETFs has been the difference between a total wipeout and a portfolio that is still remarkably in the green. The Hormuz Game: Did Trump Really Blink? I notice a shifting rhetoric from Trump.  While he has set an April 6 deadline to "obliterate" Iran's energy infrastructure if the Strait of Hormuz isn't reopened, he has simultaneously pivoted to an "America First" stance on security. Trump has publicly told NAT