To The Moon

Hello. The largest first tranche of any IPO lock-up in US market history came free last night: 911.5 million $SpaceX(SPCX)$ insider shares became eligible to sell, taking the freely tradable count from about 639 million to roughly 1.55 billion in one step. The shares rose 6.14 per cent. The day the selling actually happened wasn't last night. It was the day before. On Wednesday the stock fell 13.61 per cent on about 200 million shares, the heaviest turnover since 18 June; last night volume hit 251 million and set another high, yet the price went up. Heavier volume than Wednesday, and the price went the other way — the people who wanted to sell had mostly finished on Wednesday. Someone went back through three comparable cases: in ea

SpaceX Rallies 6% After Its Lockup Expiration: Is the Next Opportunity in Space Stocks? SpaceX has finally given the public space sector something it has long lacked: a genuine valuation anchor. On August 6, approximately 911.5 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading. Investors feared that employees and early shareholders would rush to sell, yet after plunging nearly 14% the previous day, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rebounded 6.1% to close at $114.92. This does not mean the selling pressure is over. By December 8, tradable shares could rise to roughly 40% of SpaceX’s total shares outstanding, leaving the stock exposed to further supply and volatility. Reuters But the more interesting signal came from the rest of the sector.

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Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat Strategy Contributor: @程俊Dream US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr

$CNMC Goldmine(5TP.SI)$  

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   Let's see 725 then 727 next! Let's go

Well here we go again - bombs away in the Hormuz Straight and then back to the negotiations with people who don't understand English again and ceasefire and then misbehaviour and all erupts again  Cwikey with all the dessimation of Uranium to only find out that the uranium got days earlier and that the dessimation was just a photo of the smoke and mirrors who do we believe? Blockades, invasions, destruction and dessimation and now alls well again and BOOM 💥  Apologies on the narrative but the jump today on the trading board could be considered normal by the deranged, but come on haven't you heard of the old age adage 'Build em Up to Break em Down' ? Hey maybe I got the pattern wrong and I'm the deranged one, but somehow I think not as if you can't see repeat after repeat where fo

Just this past Monday, the S&P 500 index successfully broke through its 20-day moving average, while the Nasdaq index solidly reclaimed its 20-week moving average. According to the technical rules I outlined previously, when these two critical indicators are breached simultaneously, we should pivot our stance to the upside in alignment with the trend. Sure enough, within just one day, both major indices surged another few percentage points, and the S&P 500 even came close to returning to its previous high, right where the initial drop began. Looking at this price action, I believe many are already declaring "the return of the king" for US equities, assuming the market has completely finished its shakeout and re-entered a primary uptrend. However, I must issue a warning: the current

I'm voting A. I believe both $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and Arista can deliver results strong enough to reinforce the AI investment cycle. Cloud providers are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure, and I expect that demand to extend beyond GPUs into CPUs, networking and the broader data center ecosystem. What I'm watching most isn't just whether they beat estimates, but whether they raise guidance. If AMD shows accelerating AI accelerator adoption alongside continued EPYC strength, and Arista confirms robust demand for high-speed networking, it would signal that AI capital spending remains healthy across multiple layers of the infrastructure stack. I'm staying constructive on AI. Valuations are elevated, but companies that continue t

Wall Street has quickly moved from correction fears back to record-high excitement. On Monday, the Dow gained 1.32% to close at a record 53,178. The S&P 500 rose 1.48% to 7,600, while the Nasdaq climbed 2.13%. Falling oil prices and lower Treasury yields gave growth stocks another boost, while strong earnings brought capital back into technology and AI names. That leaves investors facing an uncomfortable question: Are earnings pulling the market higher, or is fear of missing out creating a high-valuation melt-up? Tonight may provide an important answer. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Arista Networks(ANET)$ both report after the closing bell. AMD represents the computing layer of the AI buildout. Ar

Three consecutive days of double-digit gains, the fastest three-day growth in my trading history, and another all-time high of my account… againnnnnn. [Heart]  [Heart]  [Heart]  

$納指100ETF(QQQ)$  

The 3.3% QQQ rebound catalyzed by strong Microsoft earnings and cooling June core PCE at 3.3% demonstrates that resilient fundamental AI revenue and solid tech balance sheets can snap losing streaks and provide a strong market floor. However, with market skepticism toward Fed policy remaining high until concrete rate cuts materialize, and August historically bringing seasonal light volume volatility, this rally is unlikely to be a smooth upward march. Investors should view this as an earnings driven relief bounce rather than a full structural regime shift, using short term strength to stay selective and keep dry powder ready for potential late summer pullbacks.

Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!

After several brutal sessions, global technology stocks finally staged a powerful rebound. The Nasdaq rose 2.8%, while Microsoft’s post-earnings surge helped lift AI chips, cloud stocks and data-center names across the board. The move became even more dramatic in Asia. South Korea’s KOSPI jumped sharply, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix surging as investors rushed back into semiconductor names. Taiwan’s market also rebounded strongly, led by TSMC. At first glance, this looks like a classic V-shaped reversal. But the more important question is: Has the correction really ended, or is the market only beginning a longer U-shaped repair process? Why did the rebound happen so quickly? The first reason is earnings. Microsoft showed that AI spending can already translate into cloud revenue, p

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's resolute stance on price stability ("This Fed will not waver") and the removal of forward guidance sent a clear message to Wall Street: interest rates will stay higher for longer until inflation hits the 2% target. Because long-term bond yields spike under hawkish Fed messaging, growth-oriented assets like tech equities face immediate headwinds. 1. Will This Scenario Continue to Market-Haunt Tech? In the short term, yes. Tech stocks—especially high-multiple growth equities tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ —are uniquely sensitive to rising Treasury yields: Higher Discount Rates: Tech valuations rely heavily on discounted future cash flows. Higher yields increase the discount rate, naturally com

Apple and Amazon could become the market's next directional catalyst, but they are unlikely to erase macro concerns on their own. If Apple demonstrates stronger-than-expected iPhone demand, services growth and a credible AI roadmap, it could reinforce the view that high-quality cash generators deserve premium valuations. If Amazon delivers accelerating AWS growth with evidence that AI investment is boosting cloud demand rather than just costs, it would strengthen the case that hyperscaler capex is producing tangible returns. The bigger issue remains the Fed. A more hawkish stance raises the discount rate applied to future earnings, which disproportionately pressures richly valued AI names. Strong earnings can offset that only if they clearly show accelerating cash flow and profitability. S

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ up 7.70% after hours. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, down 7.10%. Same evening, same underlying fact — both companies are spending unholy amounts of money on AI — and fifteen points of daylight between them. Read those two numbers alone and you'd conclude the market turned on AI capex. It didn't. It did something more annoying: it started sorting. Start with who flipped the switch. The July FOMC didn't move rates and didn't change a word of the guidance. Warsh spoke, and within thirty minutes the ten worst names on the tape were almost all AI. The S&P 500 closed down 1.52% at 7,316.15, the Nasdaq Composite down 1.74%,

First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli

Apple reached a record intraday price of $339.55 on July 27 and closed at $336.91, days before reporting fiscal third-quarter results. The rally suggests investors increasingly view Apple’s relatively restrained AI spending as an advantage—but the higher valuation also leaves less room for execution mistakes. Apple’s previous quarter, ended March 28 and reported April 30, produced record March-quarter revenue of $111.2 billion, up 17%. Diluted earnings increased 22% to $2.01, while iPhone and Services each achieved March-quarter records. Apple’s official fiscal second-quarter release provides the results. The bullish thesis is that Apple can distribute AI features through an enormous installed base without matching the infrastructure spending of cloud providers. AI can support device upgra

SpaceX Rallies 6% After Its Lockup Expiration: Is the Next Opportunity in Space Stocks? SpaceX has finally given the public space sector something it has long lacked: a genuine valuation anchor. On August 6, approximately 911.5 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading. Investors feared that employees and early shareholders would rush to sell, yet after plunging nearly 14% the previous day, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rebounded 6.1% to close at $114.92. This does not mean the selling pressure is over. By December 8, tradable shares could rise to roughly 40% of SpaceX’s total shares outstanding, leaving the stock exposed to further supply and volatility. Reuters But the more interesting signal came from the rest of the sector.

Hello. The largest first tranche of any IPO lock-up in US market history came free last night: 911.5 million $SpaceX(SPCX)$ insider shares became eligible to sell, taking the freely tradable count from about 639 million to roughly 1.55 billion in one step. The shares rose 6.14 per cent. The day the selling actually happened wasn't last night. It was the day before. On Wednesday the stock fell 13.61 per cent on about 200 million shares, the heaviest turnover since 18 June; last night volume hit 251 million and set another high, yet the price went up. Heavier volume than Wednesday, and the price went the other way — the people who wanted to sell had mostly finished on Wednesday. Someone went back through three comparable cases: in ea

Review of Last Week's Strategies and Profitability Welcome to this week's Macro Strategy Weekly. As is our tradition, let's first review the outcomes of the strategies discussed in last week's report: Macro Strategy Weekly: How to trade Fed-Week Volatility and the Crack-Spread Retreat Strategy Contributor: @程俊Dream US Equities (Nasdaq): Last week's limit orders were not filled, but we are keeping them active. We maintain limit buy orders for the Nasdaq at 26,080 and 24,720 (half position each), with a stop-loss set below 23,000, and target prices at 30,500 and 33,800. Gold: We anticipated a rebound last week but lacked an ideal entry point, so we pr

Just this past Monday, the S&P 500 index successfully broke through its 20-day moving average, while the Nasdaq index solidly reclaimed its 20-week moving average. According to the technical rules I outlined previously, when these two critical indicators are breached simultaneously, we should pivot our stance to the upside in alignment with the trend. Sure enough, within just one day, both major indices surged another few percentage points, and the S&P 500 even came close to returning to its previous high, right where the initial drop began. Looking at this price action, I believe many are already declaring "the return of the king" for US equities, assuming the market has completely finished its shakeout and re-entered a primary uptrend. However, I must issue a warning: the current

Wall Street has quickly moved from correction fears back to record-high excitement. On Monday, the Dow gained 1.32% to close at a record 53,178. The S&P 500 rose 1.48% to 7,600, while the Nasdaq climbed 2.13%. Falling oil prices and lower Treasury yields gave growth stocks another boost, while strong earnings brought capital back into technology and AI names. That leaves investors facing an uncomfortable question: Are earnings pulling the market higher, or is fear of missing out creating a high-valuation melt-up? Tonight may provide an important answer. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Arista Networks(ANET)$ both report after the closing bell. AMD represents the computing layer of the AI buildout. Ar

Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!

Well here we go again - bombs away in the Hormuz Straight and then back to the negotiations with people who don't understand English again and ceasefire and then misbehaviour and all erupts again  Cwikey with all the dessimation of Uranium to only find out that the uranium got days earlier and that the dessimation was just a photo of the smoke and mirrors who do we believe? Blockades, invasions, destruction and dessimation and now alls well again and BOOM 💥  Apologies on the narrative but the jump today on the trading board could be considered normal by the deranged, but come on haven't you heard of the old age adage 'Build em Up to Break em Down' ? Hey maybe I got the pattern wrong and I'm the deranged one, but somehow I think not as if you can't see repeat after repeat where fo

I'm voting A. I believe both $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and Arista can deliver results strong enough to reinforce the AI investment cycle. Cloud providers are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure, and I expect that demand to extend beyond GPUs into CPUs, networking and the broader data center ecosystem. What I'm watching most isn't just whether they beat estimates, but whether they raise guidance. If AMD shows accelerating AI accelerator adoption alongside continued EPYC strength, and Arista confirms robust demand for high-speed networking, it would signal that AI capital spending remains healthy across multiple layers of the infrastructure stack. I'm staying constructive on AI. Valuations are elevated, but companies that continue t

$CNMC Goldmine(5TP.SI)$  

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   Let's see 725 then 727 next! Let's go

Three consecutive days of double-digit gains, the fastest three-day growth in my trading history, and another all-time high of my account… againnnnnn. [Heart]  [Heart]  [Heart]  

$納指100ETF(QQQ)$  

The 3.3% QQQ rebound catalyzed by strong Microsoft earnings and cooling June core PCE at 3.3% demonstrates that resilient fundamental AI revenue and solid tech balance sheets can snap losing streaks and provide a strong market floor. However, with market skepticism toward Fed policy remaining high until concrete rate cuts materialize, and August historically bringing seasonal light volume volatility, this rally is unlikely to be a smooth upward march. Investors should view this as an earnings driven relief bounce rather than a full structural regime shift, using short term strength to stay selective and keep dry powder ready for potential late summer pullbacks.

Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!

First, let's review how last week's strategies performed. Recap: Macro Weekly Strategy: U.S. Stocks May Have Weathered the Worst — Don't Miss the Gold Rebound Review of Last Week's Strategies and P&L Cheng Jun (程俊): Watch the Nasdaq closely. The most recent weekly low at 28,227 is initial support; once it breaks, the summer market will most likely shift into a high-level, range-bound pattern, with bullish momentum and market sentiment weakening in tandem. Result: The trade was not triggered last week. This week that key level was broken, marking the inflection point into a weaker market. Whether to consider going short — see this week's strategy commentary below. Gan Canrong (甘灿荣): Strategy reference: consider selli

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's resolute stance on price stability ("This Fed will not waver") and the removal of forward guidance sent a clear message to Wall Street: interest rates will stay higher for longer until inflation hits the 2% target. Because long-term bond yields spike under hawkish Fed messaging, growth-oriented assets like tech equities face immediate headwinds. 1. Will This Scenario Continue to Market-Haunt Tech? In the short term, yes. Tech stocks—especially high-multiple growth equities tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ —are uniquely sensitive to rising Treasury yields: Higher Discount Rates: Tech valuations rely heavily on discounted future cash flows. Higher yields increase the discount rate, naturally com

After several brutal sessions, global technology stocks finally staged a powerful rebound. The Nasdaq rose 2.8%, while Microsoft’s post-earnings surge helped lift AI chips, cloud stocks and data-center names across the board. The move became even more dramatic in Asia. South Korea’s KOSPI jumped sharply, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix surging as investors rushed back into semiconductor names. Taiwan’s market also rebounded strongly, led by TSMC. At first glance, this looks like a classic V-shaped reversal. But the more important question is: Has the correction really ended, or is the market only beginning a longer U-shaped repair process? Why did the rebound happen so quickly? The first reason is earnings. Microsoft showed that AI spending can already translate into cloud revenue, p

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ up 7.70% after hours. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, down 7.10%. Same evening, same underlying fact — both companies are spending unholy amounts of money on AI — and fifteen points of daylight between them. Read those two numbers alone and you'd conclude the market turned on AI capex. It didn't. It did something more annoying: it started sorting. Start with who flipped the switch. The July FOMC didn't move rates and didn't change a word of the guidance. Warsh spoke, and within thirty minutes the ten worst names on the tape were almost all AI. The S&P 500 closed down 1.52% at 7,316.15, the Nasdaq Composite down 1.74%,

Three very different technology stories hit the market in the same session. China reportedly began producing domestically developed immersion DUV lithography machines, pressuring ASML and the broader semiconductor-equipment sector. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell about 5% as investors questioned how deeply the chip leader may become financially involved with the companies buying its hardware. Meanwhile, $Apple(AAPL)$ reached a record closing high and reclaimed the title of the world’s most valuable listed company. Together, these moves suggest that the market is changing the way it values technology companies. The new questions are becoming clearer: Who controls a critical bottleneck? Who is taking on the financial r

US Q2 2026 Real GDP Growth Expectations & Stock Market Impacts 1. Core Timetable Advance GDP release: 8:30 AM ET, July 30 (Wed) Critical overlap: FOMC rate decision releases at 2 AM Beijing July 31, just hours after Q2 GDP print. GDP data will directly shape Powell’s hawkish/dovish tone in the press conference. Q1 2026 baseline: Real GDP SAAR = 2.1% (official final estimate) 2. Latest Consensus Forecasts (As of July 26, 2026) 1) Wall Street Blue Chip Consensus Market median forecast: 1.8%–2.2% annualized real GDP growth Bullish banks (GS, Huatai): 2.5%–3.3% (AI capex strong driver) Base case majority (BofA, CBO, Philly Fed SPF): 2.0%–2.2% Bearish institutions: 1.5%–1.8% (weakening consumer spending drag) 2) Atlanta Fed GDPNow Real-Time Nowcast (July 17, latest update) 1.7% SAAR (sharp