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11-08 08:42
$Palantir(PLTR)$ accumulate to average down
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11-08 09:25
$AXON 20261120 410.0 PUT$ buy puts to protect my axon position before the earnings call
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11-08 18:01
$Apple(AAPL)$ APE has a great chance of winning this one for the next year or so as it is currently on hold at a low level of the stock price in a few days time frame with the price being a little lower for a
TOPrichegg: Low level looks shaky to me — price under the short MAs usually means support is not really there yet
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11-08 22:26
$VST 20261218 130.0 PUT$ 🐶 Options Puppy: Collecting $581.20 by Selling a VST Cash-Secured Put ⚡ 1. What did I do? Today, I decided to sell a cash-secured put on $Vistra Energy (VST) with a strike price of US$130, expiring on 18 December 2026. Instead of buying VST shares directly in the market, I chose to sell a put option and collect premium upfront. My strategy is simple: get paid while waiting for an opportunity to own a company that I am interested in. When I sold the put, my premium (cost price shown in my trading record) was US$17.24 per share. Now, the option’s current market price has fallen to US$11.43. The difference is US$5.81 per share. Since one standard options contract represents 100 shares, my current pro
TOPThat 581.20 looks nice, but against 1724 max premium I'd still rather let theta do the work than tie up 100 shares early
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11-07 12:48
INTC Technical Watch — 6 November 2026
$Intel(INTC)$
TOPThursday's 270m vs Friday's 174m is still a big gap. Constructive bounce, but not the kind of volume that proves real accumulation yet.
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11-07 13:01
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Bounce: yes. Bottom: not proven. How I'm selling puts into it. Thursday was the worst day for US stocks since April 2025. • Nasdaq −5.5%, S&P 500 −4.4%, chip index (SOX) −12.25% • The Magnificent 7 lost about $1 trillion in market value • Losing stocks outnumbered winners 6.1 to 1 on the S&P • 26.9B shares traded, against a 17.7B average • The Nasdaq fell into correction (10%+ off its high) Friday bounced, but only partly. • Nasdaq +1.09% to 24,579 • S&P +0.31% to 7,377 • Dow −0.46% • The VIX (fear gauge) fell from 28.18 to 23.72. It was 16.61 on Wednesday. • For the week: Nasdaq −3.4%, S&P −2.7%. The S&P is still +7.8% for the year. Where the money went Dip buyers went back into the stocks hit hardest on
TOPWith VIX still at 23.7, how much extra skew over Black-Scholes are you usually demanding before selling those OTM puts?
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11-08 21:06
$Palantir(PLTR)$ $PLTR: Revenue +96%. Contracts +6%. Here's my sell put pick. Palantir closed Friday at $160.38. That is 23.3% below its record close of $209.05 on Oct 9. Thursday it fell 9.7% to $154.99. That was its eighth straight losing day, and the biggest one-day drop since Feb 4 (−11.6%). Friday bounced 3.48%. Why it fell 1. New contracts slowed. US commercial total contract value (TCV, the lifetime value of deals signed) grew just 11% this quarter, against 153% in Q2. Total TCV grew 6%, against 49% in Q2. 2. The pipeline slowed. US commercial remaining deal value (contracts still to be paid out) grew only 4% from Q2. Last quarter it grew 27%. 3. Growth is cooling. The Q4 guidance of $2.649–2.653B means about 15% growth over Q3, down
TOPTCV decel matters less to me than how sticky the long-duration contracts are. If the 200-day holds, this still looks like noise inside a bigger growth story
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11-09 03:12
IREN’s $15 Billion AI Gamble: Is the Microsoft Deal Worth the Risk?
The AI infrastructure boom is creating enormous opportunities, but it is also becoming increasingly expensive to participate. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ the Australia-based data centre operator, is a good example of both sides of this story. The company reported stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue, driven by growth in its AI cloud business. However, it also announced delays to some infrastructure deliveries under its agreement with Microsoft and outlined another US$15 billion spending commitment. This creates an interesting investment dilemma. IREN is clearly benefiting from growing demand for AI computing, but can it build infrastructure quickly enough and generate sufficient returns to justify the enormous capital required? 1. The Microsoft agre
TOP20% gap up says the market likes the deal, but -115% net margin against 383% asset growth still screams buildout mode. If Microsoft ramps cleanly, the capex can age well
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11-09 07:43
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA: The CEO admitted the affair. The board opened a probe. Do I sell puts? What actually happened • Sunday, Nov 8: Jensen Huang emailed Nvidia staff. In his words: "I was unfaithful to my wife. My actions hurt her and our children. There is no excuse for what I did." He said he had "fallen short" of his responsibility to shareholders and employees, and that he is "fully committed to Nvidia." • The same day, Nvidia's board opened an independent investigation, run by independent directors with outside counsel. The board said it "has no reason to believe that either national security or NVIDIA secrets were compromised," but that its inquiry "will examine all available information." It also said it has confidence in Huang and
TOPBoard-led independent review matters more than the headline drama. If the probe stays ring-fenced and leadership continuity holds, the long-term thesis probably takes less damage than the IV suggests.
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11-07 23:32
$Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ DAL: sold my positions on DAL at $82 for a small profit after my covered call closed in the money at $87.2. Bought them at 81.71 on 21st Sept to sell covered call and had been able to sell for few rounds including the period when the stock was trading below holding price. Nevertheless was able to sell this final round slightly above cost as well as profiting for the multiple rounds of premium collection via covered calls selling. Overall profitable trade and partial hedge on oil movement trade. So when oil price came down this week, airline stock went up.
TOPFuel hedge is the cleaner read here. When oil eased, DAL margin relief showed up fast too
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11-08 01:01
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ The recent massive pullback across the AI and semiconductor sectors has caught my attention, and I have started collecting more Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) gradually. The market seems to be shifting from excitement about AI growth towards concerns about monetisation and return on investment. With technology giants continuing to pour billions into AI infrastructure, investors are becoming increasingly impatient about when these massive capital expenditures will translate into meaningful revenue and sustainable profits. This has triggered selling pressure across semiconductor stocks, even among companies with relatively strong fundamentals and promising long-term growth
SOXL
11-07 07:05
USDirexion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 44.56 | +24.16% Holding |
TOPthanks for sharing
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11-08 01:10
$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ The recent correction across the AI and semiconductor sectors has given me another opportunity to accumulate more $Arm Holdings (ARM)$. Similar to my approach with SOXL, I see the latest weakness as an opportunity rather than a reason to panic. Market sentiment has turned increasingly negative as investors question whether massive AI capital expenditures can generate sufficient returns. The recent US midterm election results and concerns over potential Democratic policies towards AI development have added further uncertainty, triggering another wave of selling across technology stocks. However, I feel ARM has been caught up in this broader market pessimism, and the extent of its pullback looks excessive to me. What makes me
TOPthanks for sharing
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11-09 14:31
Texas Is Freezing AI Data Centres. Deutsche Bank Sees SpaceX at $250. But I Think the Real Battle Is Over $16.4 Billion.
SpaceX investors have just experienced a wild few sessions. November 5: SPCX -9.05%. Closing at: $123.62. November 6? +8.62%. Closing at: $134.27. And Deutsche Bank is maintaining its: $250 PRICE TARGET. That's approximately 86% above Friday's closing price. So why is Wall Street suddenly so divided? Texas is tightening restrictions on new AI data centres. The new governor-elect wants stronger protections for electricity, water and local communities. That sounds bearish for AI infrastructure. But Deutsche Bank sees another possibility. WHAT IF RESTRICTING COMPUTE SUPPLY MAKES EXISTING CAPACITY MORE VALUABLE? I think that's a powerful argument. But I found another number that deserves just as much attention. $16.4 BILLION. And it could determine whether the SpaceX AI story becomes an extrao
TOPThe rebound can wait. I want to see when compute revenue actually covers capex and what the customer mix looks like first
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11-09 14:33
Jobs Beat Expectations — Is CPI About to Shake Up Tech Stocks?
The latest jobs report has complicated the outlook for US technology stocks. Employment growth came in much stronger than expected, with 165,000 jobs added against forecasts of just 59,000. Unemployment remained at 4.1%. At first glance, stronger employment is positive for the economy. It suggests businesses are still hiring and consumers may remain resilient. But for the stock market, particularly high-valuation technology companies, the reaction is less straightforward. The concern is that a strong labour market could give the Federal Reserve less reason to cut interest rates. If inflation also proves stubborn, expectations for rate cuts could be pushed further out, putting additional pressure on growth stocks. Friday’s market performance showed this tension. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gai
TOPResilience only helps if it starts showing up in earnings breadth, not just delayed cuts. Which leading indicators would you trust first for that shift?
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11-09 14:47
🎁 What the Tigers Say | How are Tigers positioning for hedge strategy?
Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to "What the Tigers say." 👋 Technology-sector weakness and doubts about returns on AI infrastructure spending connect this week's three posts, with US midterm uncertainty adding another layer to positioning decisions. The community explores defensive rotation, whether to hedge or buy the dip, and what sharp index losses reveal about market risk. Before today's session played out, the community was already doing the heavy lifting. Let's rewind to the three sharpest takes from @nerdbull1669, @Isleigh, @D1ane,and @UOB Asset Mana
TOPI believe the biggest lesson from this selloff is that the market is no longer willing to reward growth at any price. AI demand remains strong, but demand alone does not guarantee attractive returns. When technology giants commit hundreds of billions to infrastructure, investors must look beyond revenue growth and examine free cash flow, capital efficiency, and return on invested capital. My strategy would be selective, not blindly defensive. I would avoid chasing expensive technology stocks, but equally, I would not abandon companies with strong balance sheets, sustainable cash flows, and genuine competitive advantages. Gold and defensive sectors offer diversification, but no guaranteed protection. Ultimately, elections may trigger volatility, but earnings and cash generation determine long-term value. The best opportunities emerge when market expectations fall faster than business fundamentals. @TigerClub [正经]
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11-09 10:38
The TSMC Paradox: Commercial Monopoly vs. Geopolitical Vulnerability
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is the ultimate paradox in modern finance: it possesses perhaps the most unbreakable commercial moat in corporate history. In this article, we would like to share how we are assessing a comprehensive portfolio allocation framework evaluating market dominance, onshoring headwinds, and supply chain resilience. 1. Introduction: The Foundational TSMC Paradox In institutional asset allocation, defensive securities are traditionally defined by earnings stability, low beta to economic downcycles, robust pricing power, and essential product utility. By classical operational measures, $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ exceeds every criterion of an economic fortress. It manufactures the critical hardware
TOPAdd it, but the stickier moat is process migration discipline. If 2nm ramps cleanly and the top HPC customers keep concentrating leading-edge demand there, geopolitics stays a discount factor, not the core thesis
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11-09 10:55
3. The Muse: Politics of a Duress Economy (09Nov2026)
3. The Muse: Politics of a Duress Economy (Benson’s read — analysis, not reporting. Facts underneath it are sourced; the interpretation is mine.) The Democrats’ sweep hands them something that looks like power but behaves like a trap. They can pass bills, but President Trump holds the veto — blocking is cheap, governing is expensive. And they now own an economy under notable duress: a questioned AI bubble, commercial real estate still healing, private credit creaking, tariffs, geopolitics, natural and man-made disasters, and the lingering possibility of AI going rogue. If the economy falters on their watch, the blame lands on them — and the country hands power back to the Republicans. That is not a prediction; it is the incentive structure both parties are now acting inside. Expect lawsuit
TOPProcess risk matters, but how does it actually transmit into VIX from here: credit spreads first, earnings cuts, or just headline churn?
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11-09 10:54
2. The Week That Was (2–6 November)
The Weekly Investing Preview - Week of Monday 9 November 2026 In this issue: the AI audit begins — last week’s crash and what really repriced; The Muse: the politics of a duress economy; the calendar for 9–13 Nov (CPI Tuesday, Cisco Thursday, PPI Friday); the earnings board; teaching case: Cisco, the toll road of the AI buildout; the news long-list with your captures; and why this is a week for hedging, not leverage. 1. Executive Summary Observation. Last week the market stopped applauding the AI story and started auditing it. On Thursday 5 November a single session erased roughly US$3 trillion of US stock value — the Nasdaq’s worst day in 19 months — after the midterm results raised the odds of slower data-center building. Underneath, the real economy did not blink: employers added 165,00
TOP165k jobs with unemployment at 4.1% is not a recession tape. Feels more like valuation audit than economic damage
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11-09 10:51
Anthropic's $3.4 Billion Queue-Jump Puts Caterpillar's Backlog at the Center of AI
The deal: an AI lab bought a two-year-old queue ticket On Sunday, November 8, the Financial Times reported that Anthropic, the developer of Claude, agreed to pay about $3.4 billion to take over commitments for 1.7 gigawatts of heavy-duty gas generators from OnePWR Solutions, a San Antonio, Texas-based equipment supplier. It is, per the FT, the largest known single power-equipment purchase by an AI lab. The structure is the interesting part. Anthropic did not buy a power plant, sign a power purchase agreement, or acquire OnePWR — no employees transferred. What it bought was a purchase order: OnePWR had ordered those generators from Caterpillar roughly two years ago, before equipment prices surged, and could not secure the financing to close. Piper Sandler, which advised OnePWR, confirmed a
TOPThe 1.7GW angle matters, but CAT's real tell is whether that backlog converts to free cash flow cleanly through Q4
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11-09 10:57
7. News Long-List (7 November 2026)
7. News Long-List (7 November 2026) (Your 14 captures, consolidated to nine stories — 13 images embedded; one capture dropped as a duplicate. Attribution below; unverified items flagged.) 1. The crash, dissected. Thursday’s US$3-trillion rout was driven by forced selling, per your TokenPost capture: hedge-fund liquidations and team shutdowns, not a collapse in fundamentals. The HF loss list reads like an obituary column — Renaissance Insitutional Equities down 23% on AI tech, Jump Crypto down 49% on the year. Expect more shutdowns; margin lenders do not wait for the narrative. Liquidations, not fundamentals. Source: TokenPost, via your capture. The shutdown list. Source: per your capture (unverified by me — attribution reads Spanish crypto outlet). 2. Fund managers next? eFinancialCareers
TOPA 3T forced unwind usually reprices vol faster than spot. If deleveraging keeps spreading, VIX term structure probably stays bid even after the first panic flush.