After Disappointing Q1, Can Q2 Stage a Rally?

How's your portfolio performing in Q1? What's your trade plan for Q2? Which stock is oversold now?

avatarKYHBKO
04-14
Quick analysis of S&P500 S&P500 closed the day with 6886.24, a gain of 1.02%. Analysts have claimed that the Gulf War losses were wiped out. Let us look at some of the technicals. MACD is on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the 50- and 200-day moving average (MA) lines on the daily interval. This implies bullish in both the short and long term. The 3 exponential moving average (EMA) lines are on the up trend. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains in the selling region even though there is increasing buying momentum. What is concerning is the volume. Volume is the momentum of the trade that is not supported, meaning that the current run may not last. Let us exercise caution and do our due diligence. @TigerStars
avatarKYHBKO
04-12

Part 4 of 5 > News Highlight from past week (13apr2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (13Apr2026) JD Vance says the US delegation will return to America WITHOUT a deal with Iran, but that this outcome is MUCH worse for Iran than the US. “We've been at it for 21 HOURS. We've had substantive discussions...but the bad news is, we have NOT reached an agreement.” “That's bad news for Iran MUCH more than it is bad news for the USA.” - X user Nick Sortor US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called Wall Street leaders to an ‘urgent meeting’ on concerns that the latest AI model from Anthropic will ‘usher in an era of greater cyber risk’, according to Bloomberg report. OpenAI is pausing its Stargate project in the UK due to high electricity cost + regulatory environment - X user Nik Nearly half of the plan
Part 4 of 5 > News Highlight from past week (13apr2026)
avatarKYHBKO
04-12

Part 1 of 5 > Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026) Existing Home Sales Existing home sales for March are projected to reach 4.05 million units. This figure serves as a reliable indicator of the overall health of the American real estate market, reflecting both buyer demand and market activity. Home Builder Confidence The home builder confidence index is expected to decrease to 37, down from 38 in the previous month. This index is an important gauge for the residential and real estate industry, providing insight into the sentiment of builders regarding current and future market conditions. Producer Price Index (PPI) One of the most closely watched macroeconomic reports in the upcoming week is the core Producer Price Index (PPI) for March. The PPI measures inflation affecting producers,
Part 1 of 5 > Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 13Apr2026)
avatarBBzai
04-12
Good start get and  sdssddddddddddddddddddxdxx
avatarTBI
04-12

[45] LRCX, PM, VST

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[45] LRCX, PM, VST
Q1 was clearly not what the market hoped for — sentiment weakened, volatility picked up, and many high-growth names saw pullbacks. But here’s the real question: is this weakness temporary, or the start of something deeper? Personally, I see Q2 as a potential turning point, not because everything suddenly becomes perfect, but because expectations have already been reset lower. A few things I’m watching closely: • Earnings revisions – If companies stop guiding down, that alone can support a rebound • AI & tech spending trends – Still strong structurally, despite short-term fears • Macro pressure – Rates, liquidity, and any policy shifts will drive sentiment fast • Positioning – A lot of fear is already priced in, which creates upside if news is “less bad” Markets don’t rally when things
avatarkkxxx
04-09
No, Trump will side ways the market and only TACO right before mid terms
avatarTBI
04-06

[44] AON, KVUE, MDLZ

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[44] AON, KVUE, MDLZ
Nope i don't think so. Collect more cash wait for market crash and check in
avatarTBI
04-06

[1-M] SPY, IWM Outlook

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[1-M] SPY, IWM Outlook
avatarTBI
04-06

[2-M] SPX Outlook

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[2-M] SPX Outlook
avatarECLC
04-06
Q1 is indeed disappointing. Q2 is expected to be volatile and transitionary with rotation between sectors. Cautious on geopolitical risks.

Q2 Won't Be "Straight Line Up". Look At Quality Growth And Energy Sector Strength

The disappointment of 2026 Q1 was largely driven by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, a spike in Brent crude above $100/barrel, and a shift toward a "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative. However, as we enter the first full week of April, the tone is shifting from panic to a "pensive" recovery. Q2 Market Outlook & Sentiment The consensus for Q2 is cautiously bullish. While Q1 felt like "catching a falling knife," analysts see strong support levels forming. The "TACO" Trade: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pivot by the administration (the "Trump Always Comes Off" trade) to prevent an equity meltdown. Earnings Growth: S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow by 19.1% in Q2, with 9 out of 11 sectors expected to show year-over-year growth. Sentimen
Q2 Won't Be "Straight Line Up". Look At Quality Growth And Energy Sector Strength
avatarTBI
04-06

[43] BK, DE, EBAY

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[43] BK, DE, EBAY

Relief Rally Weekly: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112; Earnings Season Kicks Off

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112 Relief rally: Major U.S. indexes gained 3–4% last week, snapping a five-week losing streak. Resurgent oil: U.S. crude climbed to ~$112/barrel Friday—highest since mid-2022—amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions. Golden rebound: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ recovered March losses, rising nearly 4% to trade around $4,700 on last friday. Yields reverse course: Treasury yields slipped after four weeks of gains that pushed 10-year rates to eight-month highs. March decline: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell ~5% in March for back-to-back monthly losses;
Relief Rally Weekly: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112; Earnings Season Kicks Off
avatarJC888
04-06

US Economy - Last Reports Before Earnings.

As the US-Iran war goes into its 6th week of fighting, we have to be mentally prepared for a worsening of the situation, not unless US stick to its peaceful retreat and not execute another foolish stunt. While the world wait for US to exhibit proof of sincerity, it marches on as it is “business as usual”. Is it really so, when everyone is sucked into this black hole - willingly or otherwise ? Below was US reports released for the week ending 02 Apr 2026. This will be a “last” look at the US economy before quarterly earnings season “takeover”. 31 Mar 2026 - Jobs opening & labour turnover surveys (February). 31 Mar 2026 - US Consumer confidence (March). 01 Apr 2026 - ADP non-farm payroll (March). 01 Apr 2026 - US Retail sales (February). 02 Apr 2026 - Jobless claims - weekly & contin
US Economy - Last Reports Before Earnings.

This quarter is really about mix improvement. China same-store sales improved, overseas kept expanding, and TOPTOY stayed high-growth. MINISO now looks more like a global IP consumer platform.

$名创优品(MNSO)$   $名创优品(09896)$   This quarter is really about mix improvement. China same-store sales improved, overseas kept expanding, and TOPTOY stayed high-growth. MINISO now looks more like a global IP consumer platform. @名创优品 
This quarter is really about mix improvement. China same-store sales improved, overseas kept expanding, and TOPTOY stayed high-growth. MINISO now looks more like a global IP consumer platform.
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026) Hedge funds' net selling of US tech and communication stocks last week was the largest since September 2024 and the 3rd-largest in 5 years. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump's "48-hour warning" to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires at 10:05 AM ET on Monday, April 6th. This also happens to be 35 minutes after the US stock market reopens after the 3-day weekend. "BIG SHORT" INVESTOR MICHAEL BURRY WARNS: US FINANCIAL MARKETS AND ECONOMY WILL CRASH. "THE PROBLEM IS TOO BIG TO SAVE." Poolside’s Project Horizon just lost CoreWeave as anchor tenant and its $2B Nvidia-led funding round at the same time. The deal collapsed after Poolside couldn’t stand up its first GPU cluster to CoreWeave’s timeline. The capital followed the
(Part 4 of 5) News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026)
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 technical analysis (06Apr2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 technical analysis (06Apr2026)
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar - PCE, CPI, ISM & bonds (06Apr2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 06Apr2026) Market Closures Hong Kong and China will be closed on Monday, April 6, in observance of the Ching Ming festival. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed on Tuesday, April 7, for the Easter public holiday. Key Economic Releases The ISM non-manufacturing prices for March will be released, with the previous index reporting 63, indicating clear and strong inflationary growth. The ISM non-manufacturing PMI is forecasted at 54.8, suggesting continued expansion in the services sector. However, the elevated prices are likely to be passed on to consumers. Durable goods orders for February are anticipated to decline by 1.0% month over month, offering insight into current consumption trends. Bond Market Activity The upcomi
(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar - PCE, CPI, ISM & bonds (06Apr2026)