Nope i don't think so. Collect more cash wait for market crash and check in

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Q1 is indeed disappointing. Q2 is expected to be volatile and transitionary with rotation between sectors. Cautious on geopolitical risks.

The disappointment of 2026 Q1 was largely driven by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, a spike in Brent crude above $100/barrel, and a shift toward a "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative. However, as we enter the first full week of April, the tone is shifting from panic to a "pensive" recovery. Q2 Market Outlook & Sentiment The consensus for Q2 is cautiously bullish. While Q1 felt like "catching a falling knife," analysts see strong support levels forming. The "TACO" Trade: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pivot by the administration (the "Trump Always Comes Off" trade) to prevent an equity meltdown. Earnings Growth: S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow by 19.1% in Q2, with 9 out of 11 sectors expected to show year-over-year growth. Sentimen

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112 Relief rally: Major U.S. indexes gained 3–4% last week, snapping a five-week losing streak. Resurgent oil: U.S. crude climbed to ~$112/barrel Friday—highest since mid-2022—amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions. Golden rebound: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ recovered March losses, rising nearly 4% to trade around $4,700 on last friday. Yields reverse course: Treasury yields slipped after four weeks of gains that pushed 10-year rates to eight-month highs. March decline: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell ~5% in March for back-to-back monthly losses;

As the US-Iran war goes into its 6th week of fighting, we have to be mentally prepared for a worsening of the situation, not unless US stick to its peaceful retreat and not execute another foolish stunt. While the world wait for US to exhibit proof of sincerity, it marches on as it is “business as usual”. Is it really so, when everyone is sucked into this black hole - willingly or otherwise ? Below was US reports released for the week ending 02 Apr 2026. This will be a “last” look at the US economy before quarterly earnings season “takeover”. 31 Mar 2026 - Jobs opening & labour turnover surveys (February). 31 Mar 2026 - US Consumer confidence (March). 01 Apr 2026 - ADP non-farm payroll (March). 01 Apr 2026 - US Retail sales (February). 02 Apr 2026 - Jobless claims - weekly & contin

News and my thoughts from the past week (06Apr2026) Hedge funds' net selling of US tech and communication stocks last week was the largest since September 2024 and the 3rd-largest in 5 years. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump's "48-hour warning" to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz expires at 10:05 AM ET on Monday, April 6th. This also happens to be 35 minutes after the US stock market reopens after the 3-day weekend. "BIG SHORT" INVESTOR MICHAEL BURRY WARNS: US FINANCIAL MARKETS AND ECONOMY WILL CRASH. "THE PROBLEM IS TOO BIG TO SAVE." Poolside’s Project Horizon just lost CoreWeave as anchor tenant and its $2B Nvidia-led funding round at the same time. The deal collapsed after Poolside couldn’t stand up its first GPU cluster to CoreWeave’s timeline. The capital followed the

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The first quarter of the year has come to a close, and for many investors and market watchers, it ended with more questions than answers. Heading into the year, expectations were cautiously optimistic. Many believed the global economy had weathered the worst of the turbulence from the past few years. There was hope that easing inflation, stabilizing supply chains, and a gradual shift in monetary policy would provide the foundation for stronger market performance. However, Q1 proved to be far more challenging than anticipated. Markets experienced persistent volatility as investors navigated a complex mix of macroeconomic pressures, shifting central bank signals, geopolitical uncertainties, and uneven corporate earnings. Instead of the strong momentum many had hoped for, the quarter delivere

Stayflation will come that is confirm

Q1 Left Us Bruised — Will Q2 Bring a Breakout or a Breakdown? Q1 2026 was a brutal masterclass in market chop. Between unexpected geopolitical shocks, sticky inflation data, and vicious sector rotations whipping portfolios back and forth, many traders are just happy to have survived. But with the S&P 500 stubbornly holding its ground near 6,580 and the Nasdaq digesting its gains around 21,800, the board is officially resetting. The question now isn't about what happened in Q1—it’s about how you are positioning for the Q2 catalyst. Here is what active traders need to know as we transition into the new quarter, and where the smart money is quietly hunting for alpha. 1️⃣ The Q1 Digestion Phase Was Necessary Let’s be honest: the market came into 2026 running way too hot. Q1 acted as a nece

The start of the Iran conflict on February 28, 2026, has significantly altered the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ landscape. While historical patterns suggest that geopolitical shocks often lead to short-term volatility rather than long-term bear markets, the specific "transmission channels"—primarily oil prices and inflation—are dictating clear winners and losers across sectors. Sectors Likely to Benefit Energy: This is the most direct beneficiary. Brent crude has surged above $107 per barrel, driving a 21.7% gain in the sector since February. Investors are utilizing the "inflation playbook," as higher prices boost margins for oil producers and oilfield services. Defense & Aerospace: Heightened geopolitical tensions typically lead to increased military

Mine is doing OK, however I'm sure if I hold strong it will bounce back to greater heights. I'm sure a lot of stocks will rise following the war , whenever that ends