Since July this year, weak economic data from the United States has further exacerbated market fears of a recession and led to greater volatility.However, as the market gradually stabilized, investors' expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September became clearer and the market has fully priced in the possibility of a rate cut.From a macro perspective, economic data have been erratic, related to the different stages of the current economic cycle and the "green-tinged" policy environment.Currently, corporate earnings data provides a more micro perspective to help further understand market sentiment.9-5_EI InfographicOverall trend: Q2 earnings performance exceeded expectations, revenue growth and cost control to drive up net profit marginsAt the overall level, U.S. corporate

#JOLTS #Non-Farm Payrolls As investors eagerly await the release of Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, there is growing speculation about the state of the U.S. labour market and its potential impact on the stock market. Recent job openings, quits, and services activity data suggest a complex picture of the labour market that could guide expectations for the NFP report. With job openings dropping to their lowest level since January 2021 and quits rates edging higher from 2020 lows, there are clear signs of moderation in the labour market that could influence Friday’s report and, in turn, stock market movements. Key Labor Market Indicators The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that job openings fell by 237,000 in July to 7.673 million, below market expectation

$lululemon athletica (LULU)$, one of the worst-performing components of the $S&P 500 (.SPX)$ index this year, has rallied 4% after reporting Q2 results.Although it is not worth mentioning compared to its performance this year, but it is also a microcosm of the overall consumer sector.PerformanceTotal Revenue: $2.4 billion, up 7% year-over-year, and up 8% on a currency-neutral basis.Earnings per share: Adjusted earnings per share of $3.15, up 18 percent year-over-year.Gross Margin: Gross margin was 59.6%, up from 58.8% in the same period last year, primarily due to lower product costs and fewer discounts.Performance by business category:Women's apparel revenue growth of 6%Mens

Options traders bought call spreads on $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ expiring in September, spending upwards of $9 million.This trade hedges against the VIX rising above 22 from its current level around 15, with profits capped if the index reaches 30. A jump to that level would bring the VIX back to where it was Aug. 9, when the market was recovering from a sharp selloff.In the past 5 and 10 years of the election year cycle, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has typically shown a downward trend in October. Although the red line (current trend) has performed strongly at the end of August, historical data suggests that in the coming months, particularly in October, the index could face downward pressure.However, reality do

As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time this year and the US election at the end of the year approaches, the recent trend of major assets has become increasingly lackluster. This opportunity, which seems to be brewing to break through the market, is actually not highly operable. Coupled with the lack of trading cost performance of several varieties with significant trends, we tend to see more and move less at this stage, which may be a better choice.First of all, on the three carriages mentioned earlier, gold is already very close to the target price expected at the beginning of the year (2575 +). If you get on the bus now to do long positions, it is easy to waste time at high positions or be washed away due to shocks. Although the trend of U.S. stocks is still good,

Overview:  The U.S. stock market has enjoyed four consecutive months of gains, with the S&P 500 Index $S&P 500(.SPX)$  rising 2.3% in August and nearing historical highs. As September approaches, historically known as the worst month for stocks, investors are wary of the "September Effect." Since 1990, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.04% loss in September, with a track record of declines in recent years. However, this year could be different due to the influence of an election year and potential rate cuts. Investors are considering strategies to protect their portfolios from potential volatility. The "September Effect": What's Behind the Volatility?  September's reputation as a challenging month for stocks stems from s

August has been a month of mixed fortunes for the market, and my trading strategies have reflected this volatility. Recently, I shared my views on $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ and $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$. I also took options trades for these 2 companies. Let's delve into the performance of my trades on PDD and DELL, along with insights for future opportunities. PDD Daily Chart My stance of a short term bounce on PDD was validated by a short-term price increase following the huge drop after earnings report. However, I chose to take profits as the implied volatility (IV) began to decline, indicating a potential loss of momentum. The decision to exit at a profit was a calculated move to secure gains and avo

Even though gold $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ prices are still trading high, their upward momentum seems to wane with the arrival of September, a trend sometimes referred to as the “September Curse” in the gold market.Nicky Shiels, the Head of Metals Strategy at MKS PAMP, recently highlighted that since 2009, gold prices have averaged a 2.4% drop in September. Analysts also note that since 2017, gold has averaged a 3.2% decline during this month.It’s not just gold, silver also suffers in September. Over the past 15 years, silver prices have dropped an average of 3.7% in the last month of Q3.Why does gold tend to fall in September?Several factors might be at play. Analysts suggest that traders might adjust their asset allocation strategies during