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11-01
NeoClouds Biz Model. Neoclouds like NBIS and CRWV buys AI chips and rents out to hyperscalers like OpenAI and Anthropic. Their claimed forward revenues seems positive. But I see problems with this biz model. Firstly, they borrow huge amount of cash to buy the chips. Secondly, cost of capital is rising. Thirdly, the chips they are bought are current or even past models. And technology is fast evolving with faster and better chips being developed every day. Fourthly, the forward revenue, or order books, are mostly not guaranteed. The customers may not go ahead with the purchases. This Is a bit like buying a piece of land, engaging a contractor to build a shopping centre, based on the promise that the entertainment operator will come and open a complex at your pr
TOPJanetFast: Tech moves fast by default, but early capacity still matters. If demand keeps outrunning supply, older chips can still print for a while
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11-01
An environmental screen would matter to me, but only after I understand what it actually changes in the portfolio. The interesting part of this ETF is not simply the “low carbon” label. It cuts the heavy concentration in Singapore banks and introduces greater exposure to REITs, industrials, technology and companies such as Sea and Trip.com. That diversification comes with a trade-off. The STI’s huge bank exposure has been a major advantage recently, which helps explain why the Low Carbon ETF has lagged badly in 2026 YTD despite performing well in earlier years. I would therefore compare long-term risk-adjusted returns, sector concentration and the 0.53% TER before choosing it over a cheaper STI ETF. A lower carbon intensity is a positive feature, but I would not accept materially weaker d
TOPSector mix matters more in different regimes. If banks stop doing the heavy lifting, that wider spread could look better, but the fee drag needs years to justify itself.
5.62K
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11-01
$DBS(D05.SI)$ Dbs bank - Chart wise, bearish mode. She may go down to test 72.50. Breaking down would see further selling down pressure. 3rd quarter results will be our on 5th Nov. Will it be able to support the price from going lower. Lets await the market to tell us. Once the bank started to fall, STI would likely fall further. Pls dyodd. 25 October 26: Dbs bank - Chart wise, bearish mode. She may go down to test 72.50. Next, she may go further downward towards 70 and below. Beyond 70, she may head further South towards 65. Pls dyodd.
TOP[symbol:D05.SI|DBS (D05.SI)] is the most expensive of Singapore’s three major banks on price-to-book, but it also offers the highest indicated dividend yield and the strongest reported ROE. Bank P/B Dividend yield ROE Comparison with DBS DBS (D05.SI) watchlist 2.96x 4.27% 16.17% — UOB (U11.SI) watchlist 1.38x 3.84% 9.22% DBS trades at a 114.5% P/B premium ; DBS yield is 0.43 percentage points higher OCBC Bank (O39.SI) watchlist 2.05x 3.04% 12.74% DBS trades at a 44.4% P/B premium ; DBS yield is 1.23 percentage points higher Read-through: DBS’s premium is substantial, particularly versus UOB, so it is not the apparent value choice on book value. The market appears to be paying for materially better profitability: DBS’s ROE exceeds OCBC’s by 3.43 percentage points and UOB’s by 6.95 percentage points . Importantly, DBS also combines that premium valuation with the highest current indicated yield, which makes the relative valuation less demanding than a premium P/B alone suggests. Botto
2.07K
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11-02 08:00
Bitcoin is up 22% in 3 months. Bitcoin miners are down 46%. What actually drives them now
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ Prices to the US close on Fri 30 Oct 2026, the latest available. Over the last three months, Bitcoin rose 21.6%. Over the same three months, an equal-weight basket of nine AI-pivoting miners (IREN, Cipher, TeraWulf, Core Scientific, Hut 8, MARA, CleanSpark, Bitdeer, Applied Digital) fell 46.2%. If these were still Bitcoin stocks, that gap should not exist. So what are they now? Our answer, from the filings and from our own return data: they trade as AI-credit stocks. CoreWeave, not Bitcoin, sets their daily direction. 1) What the miners actually signed The seven miners we could check in filings have about 3.9 GW of AI and HPC capacity under contract. The chart lists each lease with its customer, value and
TOPI would trust decoupling more. A 63 day corr can break before R squared really confirms what is driving the tape though
1.71K
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11-02 17:06
Coinbase’s biggest opportunity may no longer be simply riding Bitcoin’s next rally. Despite weaker industry trading activity, Q3 Adjusted EBITDA rose 60% QoQ to $333 million, while Subscription and Services contributed 49% of net revenue. Its crypto trading market share also climbed to 10.7%, marking four consecutive quarters of gains. More importantly, prediction markets have surpassed $200 million in annualized revenue. Stablecoins and derivatives could make Coinbase less dependent on retail trading cycles. However, investors should not confuse accounting profits with sustainable growth. Q3's $719 million net income included substantial crypto investment gains. My view: COIN deserves a bullish long-term outlook, but I would avoid chasing before recurring earnings confirm the recovery. T
TOP49% from Subscription and Services is the part that matters more now. If prediction markets are already above $200M annualized, the next proof is whether that mix can hold up when retail volume fades
1.77K
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11-02 15:50
Alibaba’s Apple Partnership: A Bigger AI Opportunity Than It First Appears
$Alibaba(BABA)$ is attracting renewed attention after reports that Apple has selected Alibaba’s Qwen AI models to support Apple Intelligence features in China. Citi analysts view the partnership as a meaningful endorsement of Alibaba’s AI technology, with the potential to generate additional demand for Alibaba Cloud. Alibaba shares gained 3.23% in US trading, while its Hong Kong-listed shares also moved higher. I think this development is worth watching because the opportunity could extend well beyond a short-term share-price reaction. Alibaba has traditionally been associated with e-commerce, but its longer-term investment story is increasingly connected to cloud computing and artificial intelligence. The Apple partnership could help a
TOPCloud is the bigger lever here. If Qwen turns Apple traffic into enterprise demand, Alibaba Cloud gets the real rerating, not just a headline pop.
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11-02 15:45
AI Capex Reckoning · 2 Nov 2026 (Market Snapshot)
Last week’s AI selloff wasn’t a crash — it was a rotation. But two bills landed at once: the AI capex bill and the first real AI credit bill. Our read on the week ahead — Apple, midterms, chip earnings, jobs — and the three ways it could break. Through My Asian Lens · Market Snapshot The AI Capex Reckoning As of Monday, 2 November 2026 (pre-US open). Figures through the Friday 31 Oct close, plus Monday's Asian tone. One-page visual summary — the full snapshot at a glance. Assumptions: "The week" means Mon 2 – Fri 6 Nov 2026. US data releases run on schedule. The Iran-oil and AI-credit backdrops persist but do not escalate into a system-wide event. Probabilities below are our judgement, not a forecast — treat them as medium-low confidence. Executive summary Observation Big Tech's Q3 earning
TOPRotation still makes more sense than crash here. I would watch sector ETF flows first because if money is just leaving mega cap tech, VOO can stay steadier than the tape feels
1.22K
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11-02 17:02
Apple Earnings Tonight. I Think Everyone Is Watching the Wrong Quarter.
Apple reports tonight. Wall Street expects roughly: Revenue: $113.4B EPS: $1.99 Apple is sitting around: $344 near record territory. So naturally everyone is asking: CAN APPLE BEAT AND HIT ANOTHER ALL-TIME HIGH? I think that is the wrong question. Because Apple's most important new product: THE IPHONE DUO is barely relevant to the quarter Apple is reporting. It launched AFTER the quarter ended. So tonight's biggest number may not be Q4 revenue. It may be: THE Q1 FY2027 GUIDE. That is where the real battle begins. 🔥 TONIGHT IS REALLY A PREVIEW OF APPLE'S NEXT CYCLE The reported quarter gives us: iPhone 18 launch-week demand Services growth gross margin China supply constraints. Useful. But the December quarter captures something much more interesting: IPHONE DUO + HOLIDAY DEMAND. Wall Stree
TOPGuide matters more here. What mix are you watching inside Q1 outlook: services growth, gross margin, or buyback pace?
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11-02 17:09
AMD Has the AI Orders. Tomorrow We Find Out Whether It Has the AI Economics.
Apple and AMD report this week. Apple has the iPhone replacement cycle. AMD has something potentially much bigger: GIGAWATTS OF AI DEMAND. OpenAI. Meta. Anthropic. Microsoft. These are not speculative customer names. AMD has built one of the most impressive AI customer pipelines outside Nvidia. Yet AMD around: $516 creates a very different problem. The market no longer needs proof that customers WANT AMD chips. It needs proof that AMD can turn those commitments into: REVENUE → MARGIN → CASH. That is the real earnings test. 🔥 AMD'S AI STORY HAS QUIETLY CHANGED A year ago, investors were asking: Can AMD genuinely challenge Nvidia? I think that question is becoming outdated. Look at what has happened. OpenAI intends to deploy up to: 6 GW of AMD GPUs. Meta intends to deploy up to: 6 GW. Anthro
TOPMargins over the revenue beat for me. If FCF still lags after all that AI demand, the rerate gets harder even with big customer names.
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11-02 17:37
QQQ Fell 3.5%. I Don't Think This Is the AI Bubble Bursting. I Think the Market Just Changed the Rules.
QQQ closed Friday at: $690.49 down: 3.47%. The Nasdaq fell almost 3%. Semiconductors were crushed. AMD fell 10.9%. Nvidia fell 4.2%. Intel collapsed 28.6%. And suddenly the question everywhere is: IS THE AI TRADE FINALLY BREAKING? I don't think that is what Friday told us. I think something more important happened. For two years, the market rewarded companies for: SPENDING ON AI. Now it is beginning to ask: WHO ACTUALLY EARNS A RETURN FROM IT? That is not necessarily the end of the AI bull market. It may be: THE END OF EASY AI MONEY. And that distinction completely changes how I would buy this dip. 🔥 FRIDAY WAS NOT A NORMAL RISK-OFF DAY Look underneath the indices. QQQ: -3.47% S&P 500: -1.82% Dow: -1.09% Nasdaq: -2.86% That dispersion matters. If investors suddenly believed the entire
TOPValuation reset, not bubble pop. QQQ still works, but the next leg probably rewards actual AI cash flow instead of capex stories
7.70K
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11-02 18:09
Tesla Upgraded, Intel Cut: U.S. Upgrade and Downgrade Radar
Hey Tiger🐯, Tesla and Broadcom attracted fresh bullish calls last week, while Alphabet’s search monetization and Intel’s recovery outlook faced closer scrutiny. But the most interesting signals went beyond “Buy” and “Hold.” Rivian received an upgrade without a higher price target. Texas Instruments moved from Sell to Hold. Intel attracted opposing rating changes on the same day. Here are the selected calls worth a closer look—and the business developments that could determine what happens to their shares next. 1|Early-week upgrades: Tesla and Broadcom regain support Dates refer to reported analyst actions. These are selected calls, rather than a complete market tally. Tesla: A higher target with a deal-sensitive thesis Barclays analyst Dan Levy upgraded $TSLA to Overweight and raised his t
TOPBroadcom or alphabet are the Best Buy. Both has dropped about 30% from all time high which present a great opportunity. As long as companies still earn tons of money, stock drop to $1 also never mind. PE 1 is the best time to buy a company
4.29K
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11-02 17:56
Midterm Election Preview: A Republican Setback Could Trigger the Worst-Case Scenario
The congressional midterm elections, the biggest political event in the United States this year, finally go to a vote this week. Trump has gone to extraordinary lengths ahead of the election, first capturing Venezuela's president and then assassinating Iran's supreme leader. He had hoped that these unconventional measures would free up more crude oil supply, push oil prices down and bring inflation under control. Instead, Iran closed the strait, which remains shut. Oil prices surged, and inflation began rising again. Current market forecasts suggest a significant chance that Republicans will lose control of both the House and the Senate. If that happens, Trump will find it difficult to implement his policies over the remaining two years of his term, or will once again be drawn into protrac
TOP4000 points has been broken, but 3950 to 3980 points feels like gold's first real rebound zone. If the area remains unchanged, this erosion could soon reverse.
936
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11-02 12:04
Intel Fell 28.58% in One Day: A Buying Opportunity or a Valuation Reset? Why the Crash Didn't Make Intel's Puts Worth Selling Written Monday 2 Nov, SGT, using Friday's US close. What happened Intel closed Friday at $65.76, down 28.58% from Thursday's $92.07. According to CNBC, it was the stock's worst day since 1974. The only worse session in more than five decades was a 29.9% drop on July 5, 1974. Volume hit 455.6 million shares, more than four times the 107.7 million average. Market value is now about $347.6 billion. The odd part is that the quarter itself was good: - Revenue: $16.5 billion, up 21% year over year - Adjusted EPS: $0.52, against about $0.41 expected - Non-GAAP gross margin: 44.1%, up 4.1 points The market sold the outlook, not the quarter. The guidance that broke it For Q4
TOP38% gross margin is the real stress point. If that stays sub-40, how does Intel fund foundry ambition without the PC business wearing the pain?
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11-02 15:37
Intel Down 28.6%: Government Backing Isn’t a Substitute for Profits
$Intel(INTC)$ suffered a brutal 28.58% decline on Friday, closing at $65.76. The reported $11 billion paper loss on the US government’s investment adds another layer of concern. For investors, this raises a bigger question: has the market overreacted, or is Intel facing a more fundamental problem that government support cannot solve? I think this is a stock worth watching, but I would be careful about calling it a bargain simply because the share price has fallen sharply. 1. Government support has limits The US government’s investment in Intel reflects the strategic importance of domestic semiconductor manufacturing. Reducing reliance on overseas chip production is a long-term national priority. However, government backing does not guarantee
TOPStrategic backing matters, but a 28.6% flush can still be an overreaction if the fab turnaround finally shows up in margins and cash flow
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11-02 15:55
AI Bubble Fears Grow as Nasdaq Falls 2.86%: Who Will Pay for the AI Boom?
The AI trade is facing another reality check. The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.86%, as concerns emerged around the financing requirements of major AI companies. Reports that OpenAI’s fundraising commitments fell short of its original target, alongside a negative Wall Street assessment of Anthropic’s financial position, have added to investor anxiety. For much of the past year, the market has rewarded companies connected to AI expansion. Semiconductor manufacturers, cloud providers and data-centre operators have benefited from expectations of enormous future demand. But investors are beginning to ask a more difficult question: how much capital can the AI industry continue absorbing before the financial returns become visible? I think this is an important turning point for the sector. 1. AI deman
TOPA short lived rebound followed by more free falling. Welcome to the stock market, sentiments can swing wildly in a very short time frame like weeks. Everything changes.
624
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11-01
$INTC 20260717 122.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260717 122.0 PUT$ if only I held those puts or rolled till date...
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11-01
Alphabet paid a US$5.2 billion EU fine, and it built up US$3.2 billion of chip systems it will sell to customers later. Even after adding both back, free cash flow is still slightly negative. Over the last 12 months it was US$19.7 billion, against US$73.3 billion for 2025.,the spending is not slowing. Alphabet expects US$195 billion to US$205 billion of capex this year, and says 2027 will “increase significantly” from there. That spending comes back as a cost later. About 65% of it went into servers and networking, which Alphabet writes off over six years. Depreciation was US$8.4 billion this quarter, up from US$5.6 billion a year ago. The chief financial officer said it will “continue to weigh on the P&L”. In plain words, today’s capex is tomorrow’s expense, and most of it has not sta
TOPDepreciation is the quieter problem here: capex hits cash now, but the P&L drag keeps building for years. That margin pressure has barely started.
587
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11-01
$Manulife(MFC)$ 🐱 $Manulife (MFC) – My Value Investment Is Up 36.41%! 💰 Sometimes, the best investment opportunities are not necessarily the hottest technology stocks or the companies making headlines every day. I also like looking at established financial companies that have solid businesses, global operations and the potential to reward long-term shareholders. Today, my Manulife (MFC) position is showing an unrealised profit of 36.41%! 📈 For me, this is a good reminder that patience and value investing can pay off. I do not always need to chase stocks that have already rallied aggressively. Sometimes, buying established businesses when valuations are more reasonable can provide an attractive opportunity. 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now?
TOPAsia growth is the part that keeps this interesting, and the dividend looks sustainable if underwriting stays disciplined.
825
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11-01
$TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ This is my long term investment with bull case below. Monopoly-like Position: TransMedics is essentially revolutionizing organ transplant therapy. Its Organ Care System (OCS) allows organs to survive significantly longer outside the body than traditional cold-storage methods, drastically increasing the pool of viable transplant organs. Vertical Integration: To combat logistics bottlenecks, the company aggressively acquired a private aviation fleet (TMDX Aviation). High flight hours suggest strong, durable demand for their dedicated organ-transport services. Massive Long-Term Goals: The CEO has stated a long-term target of facilitating 30,000 transplants by 2032, generating over $2 billion in annua
TOPMonopoly story is strong, but short term this still looks priced for perfection. If transplant growth or flight utilization cools even a bit, this can pull back hard.
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10-31
1 Trillion dollar wiped out from tech, Binance hacked, what’s next?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Long and behold, the AI bubble has finally showed signs of popping. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ endured its worst day in history with 26% drop. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ was not spared as well, dropping almost 15% post earnings. Even $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has not been spared, albeit a stellar earnings report, it struggled to hold its gains. I have been anticipating this true correction for months, and it has finally arrived. With such lofty expectations on their shoulders for AI related companies, this i
TOPTaking the cited $66.77 zero-gamma level as given, the Nov. 6 positioning is directionally consistent with a more unstable, downside-sensitive regime : TQQQ closed at $62.01 on 2026-11-02 , already 7.68% below that level. Below zero gamma, dealer hedging is generally pro-cyclical—selling into declines and buying into rallies—so downside moves can travel farther rather than being dampened. For ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) watchlist : The reported Nov. 6 $60 put purchase was 4,658 contracts at $1.57 , or about $731,306 gross premium , executed when TQQQ was $63.54. The $60 strike was 3.24% below the current $62.01 close; that buyer’s trade-level breakeven was about $58.43 , 5.77% below spot. The current Nov. 6 $60 put chain is very active: 8,892 contracts traded, 12,109 open interest , and a +771 open-interest change. Its delta is -0.372 and gamma is 0.048 . If the flow represents fresh customer demand absorbed by dealers, those dealers would be short put gamm